Mr Rollmops here,
I trained as a physicist and worked for the Met Office in the '80s and have a number of chums who are still there.
In short, it's bolleaux. There is no allowance made in any of the climate models for the increased absorption of CO2 by trees and marine algae. They increase their metabolic rate in response to improved growing conditions. Why is this ignored, well reduced predictions equals reduced research funding equals reduced reasons for taxes equals reduced control of a gullible population who will fund governments to pursue the aims of the politicians etc. etc. etc.
Every time I read that the rainforests are the lungs of the planet, my bullshit meter goes off the scale. The rainforests are hugely important and unique eco-systems with the vast majority of almost all of this planet's very precious species. We should save them at all costs but they do not contribute significantly to sustaining life. The vast northern forest that stretches all around the northern hemisphere from Norway to Newfoundland in an almost unbroken band combined with the huge annual algal blooms that turn the oceans green contribute to almost all of our atmospheric oxygen...... and almost all of our CO2 absorption. The theory that this will turn our oceans acidic is crap. Dissolve CO2 in water and you make a very weak acid, absorb CO2 by growing micro skeletons and you make calcium carbonate which locks the CO2 away. Hint, look at those shiny white cliffs at Dover which were once the sea bed.
We're going through an interim period of cooling at the moment and there may be a case for long trend overall warming. Google the Nasa studies on the warming of Mars and you don't have to be a genius to suss out that the sun is a major factor. Combine this with the fact that most air temperature recording sites are now surrounded by tarmac and concrete which warm up fast in the sun and retain their heat into the evening and hey presto, the recorded air temperature at those sites is observed to increase over a period of decades. Heathrow airport use to be mostly grass and now the nearest large field is miles away.
I read some headlines recently that sea levels are rising in Western Australia. I have no doubt that is true. Our family holiday home is in the Baltic and the high tide mark has receded by some 100m in the last 50 years as the sea level has fallen. (Land is a good investment eh ?). Which story made the headlines, well it's not that Mr Rollmops has a bigger garden. The polar icecaps are receding as we are coming out of the last ice age. The Earth's crust is elastic over geological time so take away 3 vertical miles of ice and what do you expect will happen in the North ? The earth's crust pushes up. The water has to go somewhere so what will therefore happen closer to the equator which incidentally is where the maldives are ?
Before the sandal wearers who knit their own lentils jump down my throat, burning our finite carbon fuel resources is a daft idea as when they're gone, they're gone. Just don't tax me up to the nuts on the back of your flawed theories.
Our new log burner is being installed tomorrow and I look forward to spending the winter in front of it. Wood grows on trees after all and there are billions of them where I live.