"That you are likely to be transferred in labour in order to pre-empt problems because the midwives are aware this is your first baby. It is not likely they would allow you to get to a stage where you would need to be transferred on a blue light."
Why is transfer such a problem, if it's for failure to progress or because of the mother wanting an epidural? I'm a homebirth support bod in my local area and I talk to loads of mums who want/have had homebirths, and I can tell you that I have never met anyone who transferred who didn't say afterwards 'even though I transferred, I'm so glad I started off at home. The experience would have been much worse if I'd been in hospital earlier'. I have transferred in from a homebirth myself, and was fine about it.
In other words - even women who transfer from a homebirth are generally still very glad they booked one, even when it ends in transfer!
"Please read my posts before you comment. I haven't said first-time mums/babies have worse outcomes after homebirths. I said a homebirth for a first baby is higher risk as your pelvis is untested"
But if the outcomes for first time mums birthing at home are no worse than for first time mums giving birth in hospital, then I think you'd have to conclude that having an 'untested pelvis' is not really a material risk is it?
Athena - nobody is arguing that people are 'wrong' to have planned c-sections or hospital births, only that the evidence doesn't support the view that they are safer for low risk mums!