I don't think it's an unreasonable, as part of concerns around issues in education resulting in many children ending up struggling to make steps into adulthood. I have noticed, at least in my area, a strong uptick in different kinds of support for young adults with no to few qualifications or otherwise struggling in the early parts of adulthood, including dedicated support for those with disabilities. I'm not sure it's enough or even at times the right support, but that growth in adult education options I think is a step in the right direction when we're looking at the wide gaps in what children are getting, no matter whether they're home-, school- or mixed education.
I home educated for many years due to my kids' disabilities. There have always been parents whose idea of education is doing whatever's easiest and that attitude having severe consequences. One only has to look at homeschool recovery groups to see that.
Whether such parents are a higher percentage of home educators now with the influence of social media or there are more because home education has statically grown since the lockdowns or some other explanation of them being more visible, I'm not sure we have any good evidence on this.
One of the problems in discussing this is that home education spaces on the general are on the defensive, have been since well before the Badman Review years, so discussing that yes, there are parents who use our very, very lax home education laws to neglect their kids' education is only going to end up much like this thread.
Another problem is the comparison are generally either with the best or the worst of schools against the worst or best of home education, depending on agenda, rather than getting into what many kids experience across the board and how it could be better for everyone.
I very much doubt whether these people will home educate for the whole of their children's childhood, especially without having some contact from the LA, who will have a conversation about what they are offering - which is required to be adequate to the child's age and ability. If not - they can take steps to challenge this.
From the rough data I've seen, yes, you're right that most children who are pulled out of school do return within a few years. The data is fairly weak as others mentioned, it rarely includes those who've home educated from the start so not deregistered or where there is a move or other reason a child is missing from the data.
The idea that the LA will absolutely have a conversation about what the parents are doing in any meaningful way and challenge in any meaningful way for any home educator, nevermind those who are using home ed to hide educational neglect, is sadly not my experience.
LAs have few staff on this and it's fairly normal once you've ticked boxes to get ignored. I was registered and known for a couple decades - over half of that I had no LA contact. It was useful being registered when randoms reported us, but in general, they tick the box as soon as possible and moved on. Even in the years we had contact, there was never any meaningful conversation - they got the reports, they spoke with the kids, that was it. What it takes to tick that box varies by council, but it's rare they will keep contact up over an extended period of time unless the family actively pursues it. They don't have the people or will to do so meaning things may be great at 6 and fall apart at 12 when even the basic conversation Education Welfare Officers are having ae long gone.
Also, again, home education spaces are on the defensive and have become very good at keeping the line. There have been templates and guides on how to get out of dealing with the LA well before I was on the scene, and there is even more now. There is the little they can do when parents don't engage until things get really bad - and many parents don't, unsurprisingly, if they're coming from a place where institutions like school have caused harm. While I speak out against the issues home education defensiveness causes, there are often for very good reasons behind it even when the execution of it can be troubling.
I've also been a school governor as is often recommended for those concerned about education. I have sat in area-wide meetings for Chairs and Vice-Chairs of governing boards with the LA where Education Welfare Leads openly discuss their opinions of home educators and the rise of home education. If anything was going to put off parents from engaging with LAs, it would be listening to how much those who lead the Education Welfare Officers think of us when they think everyone is on their side. The systems are not set up for those discussions to be meaningful, they're set up to see how well we fit the box they're looking for (and don't dare ask for help).
Homeschooling often involves “education pods” where students have tutors and learn alongside other homeschooled children, albeit in much smaller groups....There is no way she would have had this start if she were in a regular school 8hrs a day.
Regular schools are 6 hours a day, some private schools have longer days.
And no, home education doesn't often involve "pods" and tutors, that's like the private school version of home education that is not accessible to most people. Some home educators have that, but it's the lovely experience of the few, and there is no benefit to portraying like that's how most home educate. I've met far more people home educating based nearly entirely on free curriculums and local clubs than people using tutors or pods, especially for early years.