I agree it's a genuinely interesting time, but not necessarily in a good way. Burnham is better than anyone in Labour so far at explaining what our contributions are for, but I've not seen or heard anything else that says he'd be better for the country. I agree with the aim behind GB Energy, protecting us from energy price shocks, but whether it does what it says on the tin, time will tell. And to be fair, I'd go along with a lot of the rest of what he spoke about, getting young people back into work, better and free busest. I'd never turn my nose up at that, buses were a luxury when I was growing up. Universal social care though, that's a hard no from me.
On his offer. If he wants to lead everyone, why set North against South? He wants "a North Pole that balances the South Pole." Around a fifth of England lives north of Manchester, closer to a quarter of the UK if you include Scotland. For them Manchester is the South! And if a second office is so essential, why not the Midlands, which is actually the middle of England? I'm not against devolution in principle, but a lot of councils aren't well run, and more devolution without sorting that out just gives us another postcode lottery to add to the ones we've already got in health, education etc.
As for Kemi and the Conservatives, I'm still not sold on what they're offering either. But I don't think "more money in our bank accounts" is fair. What they're saying is working people should keep more of what they've already earned, and I agree with that. Even Beveridge said the state "should not stifle incentive, opportunity, responsibility," and that the national minimum should leave room for people "to provide more than that minimum for himself and his family." Benefits should be a safety net, not something that just keeps growing.
Taxing the very wealthy? Most of that wealth is already locked away in trusts set up years ago. The Duke of Westminster will be fine. The self-employed electrician, the middle manager or the ordinary worker who's saved into their own pension won't be, especially when their pension pot gets caught by inheritance tax from 2027. Labour haven't said exactly what they're going to do re: wealth yet, but given the mood music I'm not convinced it'll be a fair offer.
And they haven't even touched what IMO is the biggest fairness issue of the lot. Public sector pensions, c. £1.2 trillion in liabilities and mostly unfunded. A teacher pays in on average 9.6% of their salary, the taxpayer currently puts in 28.68%, three times as much. A private employer only has to put in 3%! These pensions are guaranteed for life, risk free and can never run out. Add in the job security, holidays and flexible working in a lot of office based public sector jobs and "the public sector is paid less" looks a bit different. The private sector worker funds their own pension, carries all the risk, and pays for everyone else's guarantee on top. Then from 2027 whatever's left in their pot when they die is taxed a couple of times more. How is that fair?
So what's he offering the Reform voter? He says he understands why people are turning to Reform, but nothing in his policies deals with it. Look at Piddington. Up to 1,256 men put in a former military base half a mile from a village of a few hundred people. Take race out of it completely and it still doesn't work. When it was an army base there was a chain of command, limits on who could be on leave, and the army had its own police and prison system to deal with any trouble. None of that now. Just hundreds of men with no structure, nothing to do and next to no money, and any problems land on Thames Valley Police on top of everything else they're dealing with. Then add race and religion back in - any dangerous or misogynistic behaviour will be blamed on that, with bias on both sides making everything even worse. As the hotels close this will happen up and down the country. It's just kicking the can down the road, and local communities (especially women) and the migrants themselves will pay the price. Meanwhile the politicians go home to whichever of their homes they fancy and get a good night's sleep. I listened to Burnham bluster his way through a phone-in caller asking about exactly this, and he couldn't give a straight answer. It wasn't inspiring, considered or hopeful.
So yes, bring on the battle of ideas. But they need a credible "how", not just a good speech.