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How many kids have left the school? (VAT)

407 replies

limeandwater · 23/03/2026 13:38

It's been long enough now that I think we can make a reasonable conclusion on how bad it has hurt school.

To be honest at our school I only know 3 pupils that have left because of the VAT so not as bad as many feared.

Still heartbreaking for the kids though.

OP posts:
Thread gallery
6
LoftyPlumLion · 24/03/2026 08:00

FoxyHedgehog · 24/03/2026 07:50

Your point is what? Not taxing children’s education is a tax loophole? It makes no sense LOL

my two kids went private

Ok.

VAT exemption is a tax break and the private schools that are now closing because it has been closed were failing organizations propped up by this tax breaks

(although i actually suspect this is only partially the case as the falling pupil numbers is a large contributor factor but as the poster I responded to had a flounce about how the govt were attacking all children I felt compelled to reply)

make sense?

SapphOhNo · 24/03/2026 08:04

FoxyHedgehog · 23/03/2026 22:24

It can definitely function as a luxury, but it’s about education choice. Is it Eton and Winchester closing or is it your local preps with less than a 100 kids? Would you rather more choice for more children or less choice for fewer children? Schools that specialise in sports? Dance? Academics? Drama?

I’ve never seen anyone claim to do it to ‘ease the burden’ even though it does, it’s obvious it’s a good deal for the tax payer especially since independent kids grow up to be higher tax payers on average.

i think some people can’t afford it and don’t want it for other children, so dress it up in all this nonsense. It essentially comes down to wanting to spite some children.

Edited

“Function as a luxury” is so disingenuous. It is a luxury. People pay for it for the advantage. The “higher taxpayers later” point just justifies inequality. And calling it choice ignores that it is only a choice for a privileged few.

Pay your VAT on your luxury service. Ta.

LoftyPlumLion · 24/03/2026 08:14

SapphOhNo · 24/03/2026 08:04

“Function as a luxury” is so disingenuous. It is a luxury. People pay for it for the advantage. The “higher taxpayers later” point just justifies inequality. And calling it choice ignores that it is only a choice for a privileged few.

Pay your VAT on your luxury service. Ta.

Put far better than I could, agree 100%

soundslikeDaffodil · 24/03/2026 08:29

Spacemountain · 24/03/2026 07:41

Not many have left DCs prep but pre VAT maybe 1 child went state secondary that number is now around 6. The far bigger impact has been those not joining at all. The difference between year 2 and reception in terms of numbers has made it clear that many families who had planned to privately educate have not entered the private school system. I know a few who planned private the whole way but are now waiting for secondary.

This is the case at our prep.Year 2 and above are all healthy, but Y1 and Reception are less than 50% of a normal intake. The difference is stark and unprecedented.

FoxyHedgehog · 24/03/2026 08:36

randomchap · 24/03/2026 07:58

More lies.

The OBR predicts it to make £1.4 billion in tax annually.

Link here: https://obr.uk/forecasts-in-depth/tax-by-tax-spend-by-spend/vat/

Even including the changes in pupil numbers with some moving from private to state it's predicted to be a net positive

And again, not education taxation, just private education taxation.

It looks like you can't defend your position without resorting to lies and misleading rhetoric.

What are the lies? Read the documents regarding the advice the government were given they were forced to reveal during the court case. Also have a quick read up on the definition of ‘net’, I understand it is ignorance fuelling this aggression, but try and tone it down a bit. I’m not the one trying to close your child’s school.

Its really silly to keep arguing with me about this , the legislation is very clear that this a tax on ‘full time education and vocational training’ of people aged between 4 and 18 in northern Ireland and 5 and 18 in the rest of the U.K. It applies to every single child unless they are in a tax payer funded school. That’s just a fact.

SALaw · 24/03/2026 08:39

I don’t believe that there has been an increase in the number of private school closures. Annually tens of private schools have been closing over the past decade or so and the numbers remain pretty constant. The difference is now when one closes everyone blames VAT. Clearly more consolidation in the market will happen in coming years.

MyTrivia · 24/03/2026 08:40

Hallamule · 23/03/2026 13:56

What about all those children whose parents could never afford a private education, is it heartbreaking for them too?

One of the few private schools local to us shut down but that had been struggling financially since 2019. The others all benefited from that closure.

I have a child in a private school and I agree with this.

FoxyHedgehog · 24/03/2026 08:41

Phlerp · 24/03/2026 07:37

I actually laughed out loud at this 😂

Loads of posters on here have made snide comments about how pupils leaving private schools will be taking up places in the good state schools/grammars ... making comments like "I hope the parents of the children who would otherwise have taken those places voted labour because then the family got what they asked for". They clearly are arguing that private schools ease the burden on state (just in a bitchy, sideways way).

And it’s a good deal for the tax payer especially since independent kids grow up to be higher tax payers on average 😂😂😂 you mean they'll take the higher paying jobs and perpetuate the inequality - oh yes, such a great deal for everyone else 😂

you mean they'll take the higher paying jobs and perpetuate the inequality - oh yes, such a great deal for everyone else

I think this is real crux of people who support education taxation, it’s tall poppy syndrome. It’s the mistaken belief that by pulling down others, you improve your life .., until you want a Dr anyway. It seems to run through all labours economic policy with quite predictable results,

MyTrivia · 24/03/2026 08:41

SALaw · 24/03/2026 08:39

I don’t believe that there has been an increase in the number of private school closures. Annually tens of private schools have been closing over the past decade or so and the numbers remain pretty constant. The difference is now when one closes everyone blames VAT. Clearly more consolidation in the market will happen in coming years.

Yes, in my town most of the closures started to ramp up after 2010. Many have merged rather than closed. None have actually closed since the VAT.

randomchap · 24/03/2026 08:45

FoxyHedgehog · 24/03/2026 08:36

What are the lies? Read the documents regarding the advice the government were given they were forced to reveal during the court case. Also have a quick read up on the definition of ‘net’, I understand it is ignorance fuelling this aggression, but try and tone it down a bit. I’m not the one trying to close your child’s school.

Its really silly to keep arguing with me about this , the legislation is very clear that this a tax on ‘full time education and vocational training’ of people aged between 4 and 18 in northern Ireland and 5 and 18 in the rest of the U.K. It applies to every single child unless they are in a tax payer funded school. That’s just a fact.

You fundamentally misunderstand. Is this deliberate?

It's a tax on private schools. 7% of children. It's not a tax on education.

Care to link to these court papers?

TartanCurtain · 24/03/2026 08:46

RhaenysRocks · 24/03/2026 07:29

This is incorrect. Where i live outside the SE, loads of parents are very ordinary professionals. No they're not on min wage but fairly standard grad salaries. Lower housing costs mean they can (just) afford fees but they absolutely are not 'very wealthy' . As has been pointed out, the truly wealthy are unaffected by this. Eton isn't closing. Want to talk about false narratives? The idea that all fee paying parents are instead 1%..there you go.

This never makes sense.

DH and I earn well (pay HR tax and can't claim CB) but would need at least £20k from post tax salary per child to pay for private. That would be for a mediocre private school with no amazing facilities hundreds of miles from London. Houses and mortgages are not in anyway cheap unfortunately.

We may have been able to do it for one child but never 2 (or the 3 we have).

We both come from families where private schools were the norm a generation and 2 back - grandparents who were doctors, barristers, head teachers. None of our extended family (all of whom have good solid jobs with decent pay) can afford private for their own dc.

FoxyHedgehog · 24/03/2026 08:48

LoftyPlumLion · 24/03/2026 08:00

VAT exemption is a tax break and the private schools that are now closing because it has been closed were failing organizations propped up by this tax breaks

(although i actually suspect this is only partially the case as the falling pupil numbers is a large contributor factor but as the poster I responded to had a flounce about how the govt were attacking all children I felt compelled to reply)

make sense?

LOL no it doesn’t make sense. Children’s education has always been tax free, it’s just emotive use of language to try to try and convince people that some 6 year old girls in boaters are in some way stealing from them.

SapphOhNo · 24/03/2026 08:50

FoxyHedgehog · 24/03/2026 08:41

you mean they'll take the higher paying jobs and perpetuate the inequality - oh yes, such a great deal for everyone else

I think this is real crux of people who support education taxation, it’s tall poppy syndrome. It’s the mistaken belief that by pulling down others, you improve your life .., until you want a Dr anyway. It seems to run through all labours economic policy with quite predictable results,

Do you really think kids going to private school are inherently smarter "taller poppies"? Or is it just that they’re given more resources, smaller classes, better networks and a head start that others don’t get. That’s not merit, that’s advantage. And calling any pushback “tall poppy syndrome” is just a convenient way to avoid engaging with the fact that the system itself reinforces inequality

Pay your taxes on your luxury advantage-granting services.

GreenMarigold · 24/03/2026 08:51

My child is in y7 in private and her year is under half the size of the y10 there.

1 in 4 children in her year has left since September or is planning to by the end of the year. I don’t know their reasons but it is very worrying.

FoxyHedgehog · 24/03/2026 08:55

randomchap · 24/03/2026 08:45

You fundamentally misunderstand. Is this deliberate?

It's a tax on private schools. 7% of children. It's not a tax on education.

Care to link to these court papers?

It applies to all children not 7% of them, what’s so difficult to understand? Just go and put your child in a non state school and you’ll be paying a 20% tax. People nip and out of independent education, maybe for GCSEs or a levels, being bullied, specialist help, receive scholarships or bursaries. No child is exempt from education tax, no child. You can take the tax payer funded allocation snd go where you’re told and or pay 20% tax to fund your own child education. This is a fact, if you don’t like it then stop defending it.

tarheelbaby · 24/03/2026 08:56

CurlewKate · 23/03/2026 22:11

Yes. It’s frustrating that so few people acknowledge this. A number of private schools have been closing or on the brink of closure before VAT was introduced. And the schools that have closed were largely vulnerable for other reasons too.

And it's not just VAT. In some ways, that's the least of it.

The indy schools also lost relief from business rate taxes and, like many other businesses, had to restructure their finances to accomodate the increase in NI contributions. I think these, especially the business taxes, have hit schools' finances much harder, even the strong ones. One bursar reckoned these other factors had added £1million to the school's budget.

So when an indy school closes, I think VAT was only a part of the financial story.

And PPs are correct that the low/decreasing birthrate also plays a part.

randomchap · 24/03/2026 08:57

FoxyHedgehog · 24/03/2026 08:55

It applies to all children not 7% of them, what’s so difficult to understand? Just go and put your child in a non state school and you’ll be paying a 20% tax. People nip and out of independent education, maybe for GCSEs or a levels, being bullied, specialist help, receive scholarships or bursaries. No child is exempt from education tax, no child. You can take the tax payer funded allocation snd go where you’re told and or pay 20% tax to fund your own child education. This is a fact, if you don’t like it then stop defending it.

Then my child would be in that 7%.

It's only the children in private schools that are included.

Trying to say it's for all children is bizarre.

RhaenysRocks · 24/03/2026 09:00

TartanCurtain · 24/03/2026 08:46

This never makes sense.

DH and I earn well (pay HR tax and can't claim CB) but would need at least £20k from post tax salary per child to pay for private. That would be for a mediocre private school with no amazing facilities hundreds of miles from London. Houses and mortgages are not in anyway cheap unfortunately.

We may have been able to do it for one child but never 2 (or the 3 we have).

We both come from families where private schools were the norm a generation and 2 back - grandparents who were doctors, barristers, head teachers. None of our extended family (all of whom have good solid jobs with decent pay) can afford private for their own dc.

Well I'm not lying. I am hundreds of miles from London. The school I pay for doesn't have amazing facilities because its old and its costs a bloody fortune to maintain. But it does have small classes, amazing pastoral care and a huge amount of flexibility to allow kids to work in a way that makes it possible for them to be in mainstream education. I live in an ex council semi that cost less than 150k. It makes perfect sense if you don't assume that being out of the SE is unthinkable.

Phlerp · 24/03/2026 09:00

FoxyHedgehog · 24/03/2026 08:41

you mean they'll take the higher paying jobs and perpetuate the inequality - oh yes, such a great deal for everyone else

I think this is real crux of people who support education taxation, it’s tall poppy syndrome. It’s the mistaken belief that by pulling down others, you improve your life .., until you want a Dr anyway. It seems to run through all labours economic policy with quite predictable results,

I was going to respond to this but @SapphOhNo has done it for me. I'll just add that former state school pupils make just as good doctors as former private school pupils.

LoftyPlumLion · 24/03/2026 09:03

FoxyHedgehog · 24/03/2026 08:48

LOL no it doesn’t make sense. Children’s education has always been tax free, it’s just emotive use of language to try to try and convince people that some 6 year old girls in boaters are in some way stealing from them.

You are conflating private schools with all children’s education for self interest and potential political dogma.

FoxyHedgehog · 24/03/2026 09:03

SapphOhNo · 24/03/2026 08:50

Do you really think kids going to private school are inherently smarter "taller poppies"? Or is it just that they’re given more resources, smaller classes, better networks and a head start that others don’t get. That’s not merit, that’s advantage. And calling any pushback “tall poppy syndrome” is just a convenient way to avoid engaging with the fact that the system itself reinforces inequality

Pay your taxes on your luxury advantage-granting services.

No. Tall poppy syndrome would be attempting to cut down those who succeed, in the context of the pp I responded to who thinks taxing children’s education will stop these kids ‘getting all the best jobs’ as if limiting education options will in some way help anyone. Crabs in a bucket, attempting to pull each other down. It’s core Labour. Like o say goes straight out the window, when someone needs a Dr

TartanCurtain · 24/03/2026 09:05

We are the kind of people in the margins of being able to afford private school in the past - if we had less children/cheaper house/grandparents support. We have got as far as looking around on a couple of occasions.

Regardless of VAT, we would absolutely never consider it now. Our mortgage went up massively due to rate changes, our council tax is now obscene (really really ridiculous), our food shop is out of control, our dc play a sport where training and competing fees have hugely increased, dh bonus scheme has been modified (and he doesn't get it anymore), the fees for the private school near us have gone up as have things like the coach fees (thousands) and trip costs.

Many families are being priced out of private schools - more through CoL increases and wage depreciation than solely due to vat. Couple that with plummeting birth rates and increased Home Ed and the customer pool is shrinking fast.

School based sixth forms are closing en masses due to the huge variety of post 16 qualifications now available at colleges that schools can't offer.

FoxyHedgehog · 24/03/2026 09:06

LoftyPlumLion · 24/03/2026 09:03

You are conflating private schools with all children’s education for self interest and potential political dogma.

The tax is on the child, all be it who pays the fees, not the schools. It is you who are conflating the two .

SapphOhNo · 24/03/2026 09:12

FoxyHedgehog · 24/03/2026 09:03

No. Tall poppy syndrome would be attempting to cut down those who succeed, in the context of the pp I responded to who thinks taxing children’s education will stop these kids ‘getting all the best jobs’ as if limiting education options will in some way help anyone. Crabs in a bucket, attempting to pull each other down. It’s core Labour. Like o say goes straight out the window, when someone needs a Dr

Edited

You do know great doctors come from state educated children too?

Do you disagree that private education is a luxury service that grants advantages to children?

FoxyHedgehog · 24/03/2026 09:12

Phlerp · 24/03/2026 09:00

I was going to respond to this but @SapphOhNo has done it for me. I'll just add that former state school pupils make just as good doctors as former private school pupils.

Nobody is saying they don’t. Why try and attempt to paint the state school children as victims in some way when they are not the ones being forced out of their schools? There’s more than enough demand for Drs without us having to close successful schools that produce a higher net proportion of Drs.
If you want independent school options closed then just say so, don’t pretend it’s for any other reason than ideology,

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