@taxguru
If electrically powered vehicles were so good, why did they virtually disappear for a century??
Hydrogen will likewise evolve over the years as more and more research is done, just like electrically powered vehicles did.
I kind of hoped I wouldn’t have to do this, but since you ask, here goes 😀
Electrically powered vehicles were very good when first developed, and indeed challenged the ICE and steam engines for supremacy in personal transportation, but did suffer from some of the same things as modern EVs do for sure (range, charging infrastructure and times yada yada)
Petrol engines weren’t a nailed-on certainty either, at a time when gasoline was only available in small quantities from pharmacies. There were no fuel pumps and certainly none of this nonsense about “I just want to get in my car and drive 500 miles” for ICE back in the day.
In one of histories delightful little ironies, what rescued the ICE engine was the battery powered motor invented to start the things, rather than using a knuckle scraping cranking handle. It didn’t harm that oil gushers had been found a little earlier than that, which birthed the modern oil industry.
So lead-acid batteries, motors and generators/alternators became a critical component of the success of the ICE, with traction batteries used only in milk-floats for one very important reason - they are much quieter than ICEVs.
But electrically powered vehicles didn’t go away. In one transport mode the power and torque curves, together with the relatively light weight, of the electric motor has come to utterly dominate - every single one of 1,000s of high speed railway locomotives is 100% electrical.
Several recent developments have then come together to allow passenger cars to be electrified in their turn: rare-earth permanent magnets, Lithium-ion batteries, high-power electronics and computers, none of which existed in the late 1800s/early 1900s.
So it is disingenuous in the extreme to argue that a modern EVs suffers the same issues as the early ones (even if they have the same headings) so will therefore suffer the same fate.
And now to hydrogen, which you seem to think will take the Model-T role in your story of technological supremacy over modern EVs.
Hydrogen is an element that likes bonding to other elements. So much so that it takes a lot of electrical energy to split it from one of its favourite partners on this Earth - Oxygen. Once split from H2O, it forms a gas that is very difficult to store and handle, and converting it back to water, either in a fuel cell or heat engine, in order to deliver useful energy to provide traction incurs very high losses.
So while it’s theoretically possible to power cars with hydrogen, the process is wildly less efficient than simply storing the original electrical energy in a battery and then delivering it directly to the traction motor of an EV. Your dream that this process can somehow be improved will remain that, a dream - the constraints on the conversion efficiencies of electrical energy -> H2 -> electrical energy -> kinetic energy are not ones of knowledge but of the laws of physics and thermodynamics.
When studies have been done by people like the ZEMO partnership, to establish whether hydrogen will ever make sense in any vehicle, the conclusion is always the same. Far more energy is wasted using H2 as an energy storage medium, in all the conversion losses, so battery electric vehicles win out.
And the final nail in the coffin of the “hydrogen is the future” argument is that created by learning curves. Every doubling of installed capacity reduces cost by a given % each year. Even if hydrogen technology were to benefit from some mystical and unforeseen Eureka moment that overcame the laws of physics, the installed base of EVs and grid scale batteries will have grown to such a scale that usurping them would be practically impossible.
And remember that we are only in the foothills of battery development - that mythical hydrogen tech won’t be competing with Nickel-manganese-cobalt chemistry but with some combination of Sodium-ion, Lithium-iron-phosphate and various flavours of solid and semi-solid state batteries.
The future is bright; the future is battery electric.