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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

AIBU The global fertility crisis is the biggest crisis humanity has ever faced?

542 replies

plantsdieinmyhouse · 22/06/2025 17:14

We’re in a ‘global fertility crisis’.

I’m astounded that global (even UK/European) fertility decline to below the replacement rate of 2.1 (thought to have happened now) isn’t in the forefront of most people’s radar. There are barely even any politicians acknowledging it let alone devising policies to tackle it.

Thee are even people who still think we’re in the 70s/80s/90s and ‘overpopulation’ is still an issue.

Once everyone who’s alone now is dead the human race will be in terminal decline.

Nothing else matters if there’s none of us left!

Even on a personal level a large proportion of women don’t have the number of DCs they expect to.

https://www.thetimes.com/article/43a9bd63-25c9-4941-bc99-fc9f7e42c12a?shareToken=29bf27cb9dafe9af7a006bc25355e411

We’re in a ‘global fertility crisis’. Does this woman have a solution?

Countries across the world are fretting about falling birthrates. Now one academic believes she’s discovered the cause – and has a plan to address it

https://www.thetimes.com/article/43a9bd63-25c9-4941-bc99-fc9f7e42c12a?shareToken=29bf27cb9dafe9af7a006bc25355e411

OP posts:
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13
IrritatableandHot · 22/06/2025 18:50

Papyrophile · 22/06/2025 18:38

I read this, or similar, all the time and I can't help thinking that no rhinoceros or elephant is ever going to create anything to rival the Sistine Chapel. Humans are deeply flawed and endlessly fallible, but also infinitely more creative than any other species. So you are wrong IMO.

I think our planet is perfectly glorious enough without our input.

MuckFusk · 22/06/2025 18:51

IrritatableandHot · 22/06/2025 18:50

I think our planet is perfectly glorious enough without our input.

Amen to that.

Womblingmerrily · 22/06/2025 18:53

At the moment the elderly have a greater share of the wealth but instead of them using that wealth to pay for the resources that they need as they age, they are being given more by taxpayers with the ridiculous expectation that they can keep their own 'wealth' for their children, whilst other people's children who have paid for their retirement - their standard of living gets worse and they have no resources of their own in retirement.

The older population needs to be paying with it's wealth AND it's resources - their housing, their second properties for what they are using. They need to pay for other older people as well.

If they having nothing to pass on then good, wealth inequality is reduced. Yes I will personally suffer from this but it can't continue this way.

The real problem is that we need to somehow get hold of the very wealthiest's unearned income that they have unfairly taken and redistribute that - but individual government's find that very hard to do because they tend to live across several countries.

So no. We shouldn't have more babies to feed the old and rich. The old and rich can feed themselves or starve.

Snorlaxo · 22/06/2025 18:53

In the West, women in straight relationships are often paying 50% of the bills while doing more than 50% of the housework. There’s lots of stories on here where the woman is the breadwinner yet the man works fewer hours and does less than 50% of the child rearing and housework. I can see why younger generations of women (including my own dd) would stick to paying their share of the bills and not have kids. They’ve seen how men can leave, avoid paying child maintenance and if they are lucky, see the kids at Christmas and on their birthday. They see the trad wives being left and being fucked.

Warmhandscoldheart · 22/06/2025 18:53

@EasternStandard

I have 2 DC and 3 DGC and love them all with every ounce of my being.
I'm not a doom person but I do feel humans are more destructive than any other creatures.

mysecretshame · 22/06/2025 18:53

babyproblems · 22/06/2025 18:42

You’re mistaken in the first half of your post! We need more younger people than old- that’s exactly the point!
bang on in the second.

But those young people will then grow old .... and more young people will be needed. It would never end.
There needs to be some kind of "one in one out policy" with everyone contributing to society.
I don't see much hope for future generations, but I hope my kids get some kind of life before it all goes tits up.

taxguru · 22/06/2025 18:54

The World's population got too big - THAT was the problem. Now we NEED a correction and hopefully it won't get too low. It was unsustainable to keep growing the World population, as ultimately, we WILL run out of water and food. In fact, the forecasts for water consumption over the next few decades are very worrying and could start wars!

BoldGreenDreamer · 22/06/2025 18:55

Could I ask the folks who think humanity dying out is a good thing expect to have access to state pension, state Healthcare and alike? Or should you get to live in relevant comfort, and have your kids or grandkids' generation take a bigger hit?

I do think the view that we need fewer humans is a valid one, but the people who embrace it should be particularly willing to forego state support in their old age.

pointythings · 22/06/2025 18:57

plantsdieinmyhouse · 22/06/2025 18:09

I’ve never had my point proved so quickly on Mumsnet.

‘fertility’ in the context of demography means ‘the number of births per woman per lifetime’ not ‘ability of one woman to get pregnant’. Sorry for the confusion on that.

Birth rates have fallen so quickly in most countries that pensions & elderly care will no longer be provided by the state in our lifetime. Just think about what that means- your DCs starving & dying in cardboxes on the pavements.

But this is a global problem. Do you realise China’s population will drop to 700m during your DCs life?

Immigration won’t save any country when all countries are declining.

You can’t compare the upcoming drop to 5BN you remember as it will be a disproportionately elderly global population not the disproportionately working age 5BN we had.

All economies are built on the assumption of more workers than dependents. For the first time in human history this won’t be the case & we aren’t prepared for it.

Let it happen. Humans aren't the be all and end all. Let humanity die out, why the hell not? The planet will be better off without us.

My DC are not going to have kids. I am fine with that.

Mobylome · 22/06/2025 18:57

@BoldGreenDreamer Can you really not think of any other solution to this problem than having more babies, though? Honestly?

taxguru · 22/06/2025 18:58

BoldGreenDreamer · 22/06/2025 18:55

Could I ask the folks who think humanity dying out is a good thing expect to have access to state pension, state Healthcare and alike? Or should you get to live in relevant comfort, and have your kids or grandkids' generation take a bigger hit?

I do think the view that we need fewer humans is a valid one, but the people who embrace it should be particularly willing to forego state support in their old age.

The Earth's resources are finite. It's impossible to keep increasing the population without a massive decline in living standards.

Myrobalanna · 22/06/2025 18:59

BoldGreenDreamer · 22/06/2025 18:55

Could I ask the folks who think humanity dying out is a good thing expect to have access to state pension, state Healthcare and alike? Or should you get to live in relevant comfort, and have your kids or grandkids' generation take a bigger hit?

I do think the view that we need fewer humans is a valid one, but the people who embrace it should be particularly willing to forego state support in their old age.

The point is that the generation who might provide the offspring who’ll fund services aren’t living in relative comfort. They’re living with their parents or in godawful flat shares. That’s one reason why they aren’t knocking themselves out to procreate

HeyThereDelila · 22/06/2025 19:00

YABU.

There will be a problem for a “bulge” generation where there aren’t enough workers to pay in to the state pension, but our island and world is overpopulated, climate change and industrialisation are destroying the planet, we don’t have enough housing and we can’t go on expanding the world’s population forever.

There are far more pressing issues which bother me.

EasternStandard · 22/06/2025 19:01

Warmhandscoldheart · 22/06/2025 18:53

@EasternStandard

I have 2 DC and 3 DGC and love them all with every ounce of my being.
I'm not a doom person but I do feel humans are more destructive than any other creatures.

Edited

I completely agree the population should fall naturally. Which it seems to be.

There are too many of us. And resources are stretched.

But I want people to continue in a better world, with say half the population or whatever is more comfortable.

BoldGreenDreamer · 22/06/2025 19:01

Mobylome · 22/06/2025 18:57

@BoldGreenDreamer Can you really not think of any other solution to this problem than having more babies, though? Honestly?

Yes - significantly raising the retirement age now, then phasing out things lile the state pension in the and access to state healthcare for retirees over the next few decades.

But nobody will go for that, either.

gotmyknickersinatwist · 22/06/2025 19:02

Good.

Womblingmerrily · 22/06/2025 19:02

@BoldGreenDreamer I don't expect state healthcare or pension if I have resources to provide for myself, not whilst young people suffer and live a worse life than me, even though they're getting up every day to work.

Retirement was not meant to be 30/40/50 years of cruising/holidays/eating out and endless piddling about.

Yet that is what some people have had - I know many people who retired early in their 50s and are still going at 90 and have been having a whale of a time of final salary pensions as well as state pensions, plus extra state benefits

I am absolute furious at the Winter fuel payment U turn.

It is time for pensioners to pay up. They are getting a far better deal than anyone else at the moment. (as a group - I'm sure everyone will reply with the mythical poor pensioner who can't afford soup)

flowertoday · 22/06/2025 19:03

It is western / developed economies where populations are in decline.
Educated women want less children for all sorts of sensible reasons.
Expectations of adult life are high. People don't want children or delay parenthood to allow for other possibilities.

It less developed economies the birth rate is still high. Logically in time it will fall if those countries can enjoy the advantages and opportunities of the west.
Lower birth rates are best for women.
The planet could do with less people in the longer term.
Perhaps immigration is not so bad after all. Whilst there is alot of hand wringing and worse about it the people coming in will stabilise numbers to an extent. And of course in this country highly educated and dedicated workers from outside of this country and entirely propping up health and social care across the NHS and private sector.

BoldGreenDreamer · 22/06/2025 19:03

Myrobalanna · 22/06/2025 18:59

The point is that the generation who might provide the offspring who’ll fund services aren’t living in relative comfort. They’re living with their parents or in godawful flat shares. That’s one reason why they aren’t knocking themselves out to procreate

Yes, thats part of it. So we need to decrease the (exponentially increasing) tax burden of supporting an elderly population, and make life more affordable for younger generations.

AloeVeraAloeFred · 22/06/2025 19:05

We need ideally to drastically reduce the human population if we are to better manage earth's resources. So population decline is a good thing so long as at some point, ideally at a much lower level, it stabilises. And that it's not so rapid/uncontrolled/unmitigated for that it collapses civilisation.

Ideally, population stabilisation at the right level would not only be through having the right number of children, by also by extending the healthy human lifespan and reducing all causes of mortality - particularly amongst the young. That's the model for an advanced utopian society really.

The challenge right now is not population decline but demographic shift. That is, how do we continue to function and possibly even continue to advance (socially, morally not just technologically) with a declining, older population. Keeping people healthier and functioning for longer (as a priority over actual life extension) and ramping up the investment in all children to maximise their lifetime health, happiness and productivity are the obvious answers but sadly don't seem to be happening.

Worst case scenario outside of a mass extinction event which includes us (which hopefully becomes less likely with population decline) - is not that we die out, but that we lose our civilisation and are unable to restore it due to no repeat of the industrial/technological revolution because we have used all of the immediately available natural resources necessary. So get stuck at pre-industrial civilisation just in a partially ruined / less nice earth. To be fair I think a lot of people don't see that as a very bad thing but I do - I see it as a wasted opportunity to meet our potential. It would be condemning humanity to a lot of unnecessary suffering when the alternative could have been so much better. But maybe humanity simply doesn't have the potential that I hope it does to manage advanced technology responsibly.

godmum56 · 22/06/2025 19:08

well I guess its something else to guilt women about so that will make a change....I wonder if she has written a book? Well the RC church has tried it and so I believe did France. Honestly iIbelieve that the ship sailed with the increase of reliable birth control options for women's use including the MAP.

5MinuteArgument · 22/06/2025 19:08

We have nearly a million NEETs in the UK (young people not in employment, education or training).

UK population has gone up massively over the last 20 years. We don't need to have more children, we don't need to import more people. We just need to get our own young people into productive work, for their benefit and everyone else's.

OonaStubbs · 22/06/2025 19:09

I think population decline is a fantastic thing. The world was never meant to hold 8 billion people.

Valeriekat · 22/06/2025 19:09

UndermyShoeJoe · 22/06/2025 17:23

We are currently over populated. We have more elderly than young in the uk I believe. You cannot always keep the young out numbering the old because you run out of room eventually.

Also cost of living is high. If you want people to have more children you need to make it worth while in the sense of people not paying thousands in childcare a year.

And you started off so well!

BoldGreenDreamer · 22/06/2025 19:09

Womblingmerrily · 22/06/2025 19:02

@BoldGreenDreamer I don't expect state healthcare or pension if I have resources to provide for myself, not whilst young people suffer and live a worse life than me, even though they're getting up every day to work.

Retirement was not meant to be 30/40/50 years of cruising/holidays/eating out and endless piddling about.

Yet that is what some people have had - I know many people who retired early in their 50s and are still going at 90 and have been having a whale of a time of final salary pensions as well as state pensions, plus extra state benefits

I am absolute furious at the Winter fuel payment U turn.

It is time for pensioners to pay up. They are getting a far better deal than anyone else at the moment. (as a group - I'm sure everyone will reply with the mythical poor pensioner who can't afford soup)

Then I think thats fair enough. As I said, I think the view we need fewer humans is entirely valid but, unfortunately, too few seem willing to accept that it should come at even a mild inconvenience to them (or retirees, generally).

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