Why the housing ladder doesn't exist anymore - https://on.ft.com/4cqHfzw
'The housing ladder used to be a pathway towards family-sized home ownership. But it's not anymore. Now it is a myth that young people cling to, without any basis in reality.
Let’s imagine you have a deposit of £30,000, and you decide to buy a £300,000 two-bed flat. Your salary is £54,000, and the most you can borrow on the mortgage market is limited to five times your income. You borrow the maximum £270,000, and use it to buy the flat. You expect to own it for about five years, after which you anticipate moving to a house.
The kind of house you expect to eventually buy is going for £600,000, far out of your price range. Let’s firstly assume prices in the markets for flats and houses are closely correlated. Over five years, both rise by 10 per cent. Your flat is now worth £330,000. The house is now worth £660,000.
You now have £30,000 from your deposit, £30,000 in capital gains, and an uncertain amount from repayments. The amount depends on the term of the mortgage, and the interest rate. With a 25-year mortgage and an interest rate of 4 per cent, you will have paid down around £35,000 over 5 years.
This gives you a total of £95,000. The house costs £660,000. You can only borrow five times your income. This means, in order to transition from flat to house, you need to have an income of £113,000. Your income needs to have risen 109 per cent, or more than ten times faster than house prices, over the five year period.'
The maths is correct. I am also someone who bought a 2 bed flat when i was 26 where I plan to raise my first and only child 6 years on. I do not plan to upsize. Ironically it is cheaper for me to buy a buy to let for 300k (small flats have stagnated everywhere) instead of upsizing which I can rent out. Even if I don't cover the mortgage totally with it, it would be a place for my son to live in as an adult rather than living in his childhood bedroom
Family-sized housing has increased well above wages, flats have not though they are still a place to live in and my block is residents managed.