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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

I'm unbelievably ill informed and stupid.

376 replies

Lola247 · 31/10/2024 10:58

Can anyone explain the budget to me in simple terms please?

OP posts:
Thread gallery
9
cardibach · 31/10/2024 14:06

DaniMontyRae · 31/10/2024 13:11

Labour can't have been doing a very good job in Opposition if they didn't realise this. Shows how little they held the government to account.

Tories lied. They didn’t even give the OBR the correct figures.

cardibach · 31/10/2024 14:08

Grmumpy · 31/10/2024 13:17

i don’t understand how your estate includes your sold house value..so two people 650000. But people also say two people plus house can be worth up to one million pounds before forty per cent inheritance tax.

Because there’s an extra allowance for the main residence of the deceased.

EasternStandard · 31/10/2024 14:08

It looks like people are digesting what it means today

From the BBC https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cgj72wxw8jxo

Citing the Resolution Foundation

The Resolution Foundation's James Smith agreed.

"Even if it doesn't show up in pay packets from day one, it will eventually feed through to lower wages."

"This is definitely a tax on working people, let's be very clear about that."

And Britain's gilt yields spike after UK budget, reversing earlier fall

https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/britains-gilt-yields-spike-after-uk-budget-reversing-earlier-fall-2024-10-30/

A woman looks at a computer screen in an office while using the mouse, she has blonde hair and looks pensive while wearing a blue and orange patterned shirt.

Workers' warned Budget tax rises will hit their pay

Economists say tax rises in the Budget will mean employers have less to give as pay rises.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cgj72wxw8jxo

cardibach · 31/10/2024 14:09

BigSmallFigBall · 31/10/2024 13:22

Thank you.

Full access to the figures the government shares. The OBR have confirmed they lied about what had been budgeted for and about how much of that budget had been spent.

CurlewKate · 31/10/2024 14:10

@Lola247 I'd listen to Martin Lewis rather than random Mumsnetters! There's also a podcast called The Newsagents which has some interesting analysis-it helped me to understand a bit better.

indigovapour · 31/10/2024 14:10

FelixtheAardvark · 31/10/2024 13:11

First, I am not a Labour voter, but I think it was a remarkably good budget in the circumstances and certainly better for the country than any delivered by the previous Tory Chancellors.

As proof, the markets like it and (as Truss and her Chancellor found out) that's all that matters.

As for "Labour lied", just remember party election manifestos are not documents sworn upon oath and circumstances alter cases.

For the first time in a long time, I am starting to feel optimistic.

Gilt yields are up, swap costs are up and the ftse's headed for a 2% drop since yesterday morning. In what sense do markets like it?

Zebedee999 · 31/10/2024 14:12

cardibach · 31/10/2024 11:41

They didn’t lie. The only commitment they made was no increase to income tax or employee NI. The country is in a mess. Money has to come from somewhere. For some reason ( 🧐) the media is being very negative, but the stock market and the Federation of Small business (for a start) are very positive about it.

I've not heard a single business person say it won't affect how many people they employ and their expansion plans. We all know Labour always leave office with more unemployed than when they gain office, a cynic would say they need to keep people poor.

Overall I thought it was reasonably well balanced. I'd have liked to have seen road license become pay per mile or something.

CurlewKate · 31/10/2024 14:12

@Fightingfat "God, at what point to labour fans stop blaming the tories to justify labours shit show."

Well, the Tories were blaming Labour for 14 years.....

Zebedee999 · 31/10/2024 14:15

BigSmallFigBall · 31/10/2024 11:43

They also found that the Tories had left government finances in shambles and they now have to find funds somewhere.

I have never understood why governments can only ever think about raising taxes. Saving money (like ordinary people have to do when times are tight) never enters their brain.

Incidentally don't fall for the baloney about a surprise £20Bn black hole. The opposition are briefed on government finances and plans etc. It's not a good look imo to say before the election you're ready for government and then post election admit you hadn't done your home work.

GertrudePerkinsPaperyThing · 31/10/2024 14:15

There’s still a lot of unfairness to single parents. I’m very annoyed that the government is doing nothing about the CB cap to make it fairer to those in single income households, whether there’s a single parent or one person is a SAHM.

Also the council reduction for a single adult household should be 50% and not 25%.

GertrudePerkinsPaperyThing · 31/10/2024 14:16

CurlewKate · 31/10/2024 14:12

@Fightingfat "God, at what point to labour fans stop blaming the tories to justify labours shit show."

Well, the Tories were blaming Labour for 14 years.....

And it’s only been a few months!

cardibach · 31/10/2024 14:19

prh47bridge · 31/10/2024 13:52

I am not advocating pay freezes for public sector workers. It is, however, a fact that, as Rachel Reeves said, the pay rises awarded added £9.4billion to government spending beyond what was allowed in the previous budget. That is part of the alleged £22billion black hole. It was Labour's decision to give those pay rises. So no, it is not rubbish. Almost half of the black hole is due to a decision Labour made. I'm not saying it was the wrong decision, but it was their decision, not something they can blame on the Conservatives.

Edited

What was the cost of not agreeing the pay rises - which, don’t forget, were based on the recommendations of independent pay review bodies?

Shakeoffyourchains · 31/10/2024 14:20

Fightingfat · 31/10/2024 12:12

God, at what point to labour fans stop blaming the tories to justify labours shit show. I mean cmon. It’s cringe now. The whole yes it’s very bad but it’s their fault is just bullshit we are in austerity on steroids and I categorically assure you it will make fuck all improvements, the money will be swallowed up and we will all be poorer, in fact I’d bet good money on it.

But when that plays out, inflation rises, costs rises, growth stagnates, the nhs stays as shit as it is, you can bleat it isn’t labours fault it’s all those nasty tories.

Speaking of cringe, your lot blamed the Blair/Brown government for 14 years straight, so I think today's Labour can go for on for little longer than 118 days.

To the OP, this budget's actually very binary.

If you're of Tory or Reform persuasion then it's the worst thing to every happen to the UK and you'll need to sell or eat your children to survive this winter.

To everyone else it's a middle of the road budget. It didn't scare the markets, a la Truss and Kwarteng, but didn't wow them either. All in all, it is pretty reflective of what we've seen of labour so far; uninspiring but stable and mostly competent and that's a massive improvement on what we had.

cardibach · 31/10/2024 14:20

hamstersarse · 31/10/2024 13:51

It is a whole different thread but it worth saying that something incredibly scary happened with the Truss fiasco.

The democratically elected person, Truss, was brought down by unelected institutions in the city who didn't like her low taxation and low regulation budget.

Just think about that for more than 5 seconds. The unelected institutions crashed the economy to get her out. Because they didn't like it.

Unelected.

Are you actually OK with that?

Truss wasn’t really democratically elected. Her party were. But what she did had never been voted on by an electorate. And they didn’t crash the market out of spite. It’s the mechanism of capitalism - Confidence went and with it, the money.

NamedAfterABeatlesSong · 31/10/2024 14:21

Fightingfat · 31/10/2024 12:12

God, at what point to labour fans stop blaming the tories to justify labours shit show. I mean cmon. It’s cringe now. The whole yes it’s very bad but it’s their fault is just bullshit we are in austerity on steroids and I categorically assure you it will make fuck all improvements, the money will be swallowed up and we will all be poorer, in fact I’d bet good money on it.

But when that plays out, inflation rises, costs rises, growth stagnates, the nhs stays as shit as it is, you can bleat it isn’t labours fault it’s all those nasty tories.

Tell me you’re a Tory voter without telling me you’re a Tory voter.

Catza · 31/10/2024 14:21

Fightingfat · 31/10/2024 12:50

But it’s ok to blame a previous goverment and then improve the situation.
it is not ok to blame a previous goverment and then make it worse as reeves did yesterday,

every single respected authority from the imf on has now downgraded our path, inflation to increase, growth to decrease, unemployment to rise. From the imf on.

thays not the tories fault, that’s what Labour did yesterday. Blame away and fix it. Blame away and break it even more, and nah, that’s far from acceptable,

I see you fell for online misinformation campaign where search engines display an article titled "IMF openly criticises the budget" under the picture of Starmer and when you open the article, it is actually in reference to 2022 budget under Truss.
I see no information supporting your claim. The last known info so far as I can see is IMF's favourable economic forecast about a week before budget. Please do post the links if you know otherwise.

SmileyHappyPeopleInTheSun · 31/10/2024 14:21

All the major channels TV and Radio have tried to explain it as well.

Basically employers will have to pay more - though there are some protections for smaller employers - but it may have some knock of effects - rest are details that depend if they will affect you - MoneySavingExpert News good place to start looking.

- YouTube

Enjoy the videos and music that you love, upload original content and share it all with friends, family and the world on YouTube.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6n7QQ5cL7OE

Alottodoaboutssomething · 31/10/2024 14:23

cardibach · 31/10/2024 11:41

They didn’t lie. The only commitment they made was no increase to income tax or employee NI. The country is in a mess. Money has to come from somewhere. For some reason ( 🧐) the media is being very negative, but the stock market and the Federation of Small business (for a start) are very positive about it.

I had to laugh when California was mentioned, and private jets! Rishi couldn't look up, and was scrambling frantically through the papers to look for a fine bone! Good riddance!!

CoralReader · 31/10/2024 14:23

KimberleyClark · 31/10/2024 12:17

They’ve been in power four months. Exactly how long did you think it would take them to sort out the mess resulting from 14 years of a Tory shitshow?

Hi Kier

LBFseBrom · 31/10/2024 14:24

Question Time will no doubt be full of it tonight.

As a pensioner none of it seems to affect me much.

Everyone has a moan about the budget, I've heard it all my life and am nearly 75.

Life goes on regardless.

Alottodoaboutssomething · 31/10/2024 14:26

CoralReader · 31/10/2024 14:23

Hi Kier

Hi Rishi

Catza · 31/10/2024 14:26

Zebedee999 · 31/10/2024 14:15

I have never understood why governments can only ever think about raising taxes. Saving money (like ordinary people have to do when times are tight) never enters their brain.

Incidentally don't fall for the baloney about a surprise £20Bn black hole. The opposition are briefed on government finances and plans etc. It's not a good look imo to say before the election you're ready for government and then post election admit you hadn't done your home work.

Why never? Did you forget the austerity under Tories? Unfortunately, saving money led to public services being decimated and the Tory government borrowing more money than ever. Running the country isn't quite the same as running a family budget. Or maybe it is... you can save by not replacing a broken boiler but eventually your house gets filled with mould and will be more expensive to fix.

EasternStandard · 31/10/2024 14:27

Shakeoffyourchains · 31/10/2024 14:20

Speaking of cringe, your lot blamed the Blair/Brown government for 14 years straight, so I think today's Labour can go for on for little longer than 118 days.

To the OP, this budget's actually very binary.

If you're of Tory or Reform persuasion then it's the worst thing to every happen to the UK and you'll need to sell or eat your children to survive this winter.

To everyone else it's a middle of the road budget. It didn't scare the markets, a la Truss and Kwarteng, but didn't wow them either. All in all, it is pretty reflective of what we've seen of labour so far; uninspiring but stable and mostly competent and that's a massive improvement on what we had.

The Resolution Foundation are not in this binary world you cite, they too have an issue with the budget

The Resolution Foundation's James Smith agreed.

"Even if it doesn't show up in pay packets from day one, it will eventually feed through to lower wages."

"This is definitely a tax on working people, let's be very clear about that."

The IFS isn't that glowing either

It also warned that lower wage rises would mean the measure would raise significantly less than the £25bn pencilled in by the government.

The IFS calculates the impact on income tax and NICs would mean net revenue from the policy would be only £16bn.

Paul Johnson, head of the IFS, also warned of likely further spending and tax increases part way through the parliament.

Mr Johnson described the forecasts as "pretty awful".

cardibach · 31/10/2024 14:29

Why do we always allow business to pull this crap? They will never, ever, let profits drop in order to help the workers either with decent pay or by paying their share so their work force can be properly educated, kept healthy, be able to get to work over useful roads, so their businesses are protected by the police and fire services and the peace of the country overseen by the forces. Oh no. We can’t have any of their money or they’ll all sack everyone and close down.
Pisses me off.

Sleepysleepycoffeecoffee · 31/10/2024 14:30

Fightingfat · 31/10/2024 12:12

God, at what point to labour fans stop blaming the tories to justify labours shit show. I mean cmon. It’s cringe now. The whole yes it’s very bad but it’s their fault is just bullshit we are in austerity on steroids and I categorically assure you it will make fuck all improvements, the money will be swallowed up and we will all be poorer, in fact I’d bet good money on it.

But when that plays out, inflation rises, costs rises, growth stagnates, the nhs stays as shit as it is, you can bleat it isn’t labours fault it’s all those nasty tories.

Yes I’m sick of the constant blaming, very childish and it doesn’t fill me with any confidence that Labour have any clue what they’re going to do next

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