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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

Results like these at a general election would mean Tory annihilation

702 replies

noblegiraffe · 20/10/2023 07:49

Says a BBC headline this morning.

Anyone else stockpiling popcorn?

OP posts:
Thread gallery
21
OnlyTheBravest · 20/10/2023 11:04

Whoever gets into power is facing major issues.
Labour traditionally does improve public services but this time there is no money. Workers have been squeezed for so long there is no way they could put up tax, with 50% dependent on the state, it would be extremely unpopular to makes any changes to Universal credit/lha rates.
My issue with Labour is they are not being realistic when stating where the money is coming from to put their policies in place.
The UK has been in decline for years. It will take a major shake up to change this and I am not sure if any party is innovative enough to handle this situation.

beguilingeyes · 20/10/2023 11:05

@JaneyGee Last year net migration was 600,000....you do know who's been in power for the last 13 years right? The Tories have failed to control anything and somehow they've managed to convince everyone that Labour will be worse.
No serious people? Have you met Yvette Cooper? She makes Cruella look like the vacuum that she is.

Coveescapee · 20/10/2023 11:06

Yes @OnlyTheBravest you are right. The only major policy I've seen is vat on school fees which is likely to cost MORE as private pupils will be forced into the state sector. There needs to be abit more honesty there is no money.

user1497207191 · 20/10/2023 11:06

Graciebobcat · 20/10/2023 10:59

The Tories still claim to have a strong economy in spite of continuing to borrow at unprecedented levels with fuck all to show for it.

You're making the mistake of thinking I prefer the Tories. I don't. I hate both parties equally as they're both in it for themselves rather than the general public and both are generally incompetent. My point is that people expecting some kind of magic wand from a Labour government that will improve everything are sadly going to be very disappointed, when, in 5 or 10 years' time, things aren't actually better at all. We need to recognise that the UK, like many other Western economies are now in a period of decline, which was inevitable as we've spent decades dismantling our industries and virtually handing them on a plate to China and other countries, thinking that we'll be OK because of our service industries. We need to wake up and smell the coffee. We need the service industries AND manufactuing/agricultural industries unless we're going to be far too dependant on the goodwill of other countries to provide us with the goods and utilities we need! All Starmer/Labour will do is to re-arrange the deckchairs on the Titanic, move things around a little, but ultimately, we're still on course for continual decline without really big decisions and changes. Unfortunately neither party will do that, so the next decade will be much of the same, just being done by people wearing red instead of blue!

Notonthestairs · 20/10/2023 11:08

Coveescapee · 20/10/2023 11:06

Yes @OnlyTheBravest you are right. The only major policy I've seen is vat on school fees which is likely to cost MORE as private pupils will be forced into the state sector. There needs to be abit more honesty there is no money.

The IFS says it will raise £1.3 billion even accounting for some movement to state.

Coveescapee · 20/10/2023 11:09

I think the final straw was the massive amount spent on Covid lockdowns etc. and Starmer wanted to spend even more!

user1497207191 · 20/10/2023 11:10

verdantverdure · 20/10/2023 11:03

Well a lot of people were very enthusiastic about Boris Johnson and Brexit.

Because they didn't want Corbyn. Let's be realistic, Labour would be in power today had they put in a moderate/sensible leader. Instead they committed electoral suicide by appointing Corbyn.

OhCrumbsWhereNow · 20/10/2023 11:11

Notonthestairs · 20/10/2023 11:08

The IFS says it will raise £1.3 billion even accounting for some movement to state.

That's what? 2% of the education budget?

Did the IFS take into account all those schools suddenly being able to recoup all the VAT they've paid out on new science blocks and theatre blocks?

It'll be tied up in the courts for years.

TheThingIsYeah · 20/10/2023 11:12

@Startingagainandagain

...The Johnson/Truss/Sunak governments are far right...

Far right? Lol.

The Tories doped the population on furlough to the tune of £1bn a day. The NHS chomps through a £1bn every two days. I daren't look up how much UC costs the taxpayer. This would have been the stuff of Corbyn's dreams 4 years ago.

There's also the matter of 600,000 net migration to the UK every year.

The Tories are nowhere near right wing, nevermind "far"

Coveescapee · 20/10/2023 11:13

Notonthestairs · 20/10/2023 11:08

The IFS says it will raise £1.3 billion even accounting for some movement to state.

Yes their prediction may be right (or wrong) but that is a drop in the ocean when the govt is due to spend £1109 billion this year!

Princessandthepea0 · 20/10/2023 11:13

Notonthestairs · 20/10/2023 11:08

The IFS says it will raise £1.3 billion even accounting for some movement to state.

Is this the same IFS that released a report this week? The same IFS which stated that our tax system is breaking the economy as those most productive to society are pissing off. Yeah, Labour have thought that one out well, as well as making the childcare cliff edge worse.

verdantverdure · 20/10/2023 11:13

I'm assuming the state of everything after 14 years of the Tories crumbling concrete above our children's heads, shit on beaches, pesticides killing off the birds and bees, can't rely on getting an ambulance or the police or tomatoes when you need one, etc will mean that rational folk won't want to vote for more of the same.

The state of the economy especially.

We're paying a Tory Tax on everything from energy to food to our mortgages as the price of their poor governance and corruption.

There's "no money" because they've spent it, put our country on record debt, and don't even a) service the debt properly (As chancellor Sunak cost the country £4billion and then didn't bother to investigate the billions wasted in covid fraud or on useless PPE from companies that didn't exist 3 weeks ago.

TheThingIsYeah · 20/10/2023 11:14

@JaneyGee Someone gets it

Princessandthepea0 · 20/10/2023 11:16

TheThingIsYeah · 20/10/2023 11:12

@Startingagainandagain

...The Johnson/Truss/Sunak governments are far right...

Far right? Lol.

The Tories doped the population on furlough to the tune of £1bn a day. The NHS chomps through a £1bn every two days. I daren't look up how much UC costs the taxpayer. This would have been the stuff of Corbyn's dreams 4 years ago.

There's also the matter of 600,000 net migration to the UK every year.

The Tories are nowhere near right wing, nevermind "far"

This. Highest tax on record. Another report has come out this week - taxing the workers so much. Robbing left, right and centre from those who work - this is now breaking our economy. People are leaving, people are changing economic behaviour. Multiple reports out on this issue now - the most recent this week. They are more socialist than Blair ever was.

mewkins · 20/10/2023 11:16

TogetherWeLearn · 20/10/2023 08:56

Labour won’t get in where I live though, it’d be Lib Dem.

I suspect the same here although at the last local elections we had something of a Greenwash which is interesting!

Janinejones · 20/10/2023 11:16

@Passepartoute Clearly Sunak's tactic of pandering to the right is putting off his own voters.
I think this is the wrong way round. How about: Hunt & Sunak trying to be prudent because we are broke but the nutters Kwarteng, Truss, Boris &Co have blocking sensible policies and campaign for tax cuts. Andrew Mitchell wants to send our money to countries around the world as if we are rich with no poor of our own to look after.

user1497207191 · 20/10/2023 11:17

Princessandthepea0 · 20/10/2023 11:13

Is this the same IFS that released a report this week? The same IFS which stated that our tax system is breaking the economy as those most productive to society are pissing off. Yeah, Labour have thought that one out well, as well as making the childcare cliff edge worse.

Be prepared for the posters who claim they'll be glad to see the back of those "rich" people if they're not prepared to pay more tax!

Talk about cutting off your nose to spite your face!

The UK, as a whole, is worse off when rich people leave the UK and move abroad in many ways, not just lost tax revenue, but lost spending power (and vat thereon), lost employment (most rich people employ others), lost revenue from appearances/performances from sportspersons, musical/theatre artists etc.

It's exactly why tax haven countries become tax havens - they want to attract the rich people to spend their money and employ people in their countries!

Hey ho - our loss will be their gain!

Notonthestairs · 20/10/2023 11:19

@Coveescapee your argument was it would cost more.

Coveescapee · 20/10/2023 11:20

Yes I think it will. The IFS are not infallible!

ArseInTheCoOpWindow · 20/10/2023 11:24

Coveescapee · 20/10/2023 11:09

I think the final straw was the massive amount spent on Covid lockdowns etc. and Starmer wanted to spend even more!

I assume you are watching the government getting trashed for their crap behaviour during the pandemic at the moment?

Janinejones · 20/10/2023 11:25

See my earlier post about sensible stuff being argued against. Braveman understands about the costs of immigration. She and Sunak want to take action. but Labour, some Tories and ECHR prevent her policies.
We are eating our own limbs whilst we are still alive.

Princessandthepea0 · 20/10/2023 11:25

user1497207191 · 20/10/2023 11:17

Be prepared for the posters who claim they'll be glad to see the back of those "rich" people if they're not prepared to pay more tax!

Talk about cutting off your nose to spite your face!

The UK, as a whole, is worse off when rich people leave the UK and move abroad in many ways, not just lost tax revenue, but lost spending power (and vat thereon), lost employment (most rich people employ others), lost revenue from appearances/performances from sportspersons, musical/theatre artists etc.

It's exactly why tax haven countries become tax havens - they want to attract the rich people to spend their money and employ people in their countries!

Hey ho - our loss will be their gain!

The politics of envy has dumbed down this country so much. The Tories have continued to make it that work doesn’t pay - highest state dependency on record. Far right they ain’t. However, the multiple reports on this have said - it’s putting our economy into terminal decline - less for everyone.

Labour will make those little quirks of our tax system worse. Childcare and school fees but to name 2. I’d love to know how Labour will fix this. No-one can answer it. Financial institutions have been saying this for a long time, we are damaging tax take and productivity. Without that, who is paying for over half of adults to take out? Where is the money coming from.

Anyone with an ounce of economic education or remembers the 90% of the past. There is a tipping point of how much you can take from working people. We are there.

Graciebobcat · 20/10/2023 11:33

user1497207191 · 20/10/2023 11:06

You're making the mistake of thinking I prefer the Tories. I don't. I hate both parties equally as they're both in it for themselves rather than the general public and both are generally incompetent. My point is that people expecting some kind of magic wand from a Labour government that will improve everything are sadly going to be very disappointed, when, in 5 or 10 years' time, things aren't actually better at all. We need to recognise that the UK, like many other Western economies are now in a period of decline, which was inevitable as we've spent decades dismantling our industries and virtually handing them on a plate to China and other countries, thinking that we'll be OK because of our service industries. We need to wake up and smell the coffee. We need the service industries AND manufactuing/agricultural industries unless we're going to be far too dependant on the goodwill of other countries to provide us with the goods and utilities we need! All Starmer/Labour will do is to re-arrange the deckchairs on the Titanic, move things around a little, but ultimately, we're still on course for continual decline without really big decisions and changes. Unfortunately neither party will do that, so the next decade will be much of the same, just being done by people wearing red instead of blue!

I agree with you, but the point is you have to vote for someone and a change of government is certainly needed. Things may not get better overnight with Labour, it didn't last time, but the fact is that things can and will get much much worse with the Tories.

jgw1 · 20/10/2023 11:34

JaneyGee · 20/10/2023 10:41

Well, if Labour do get in, kiss goodbye to what's left of the British countryside. However useless the Tories may have been, under Labour mass immigration will get much, much worse. Whatever drivel they come out with in front of the cameras, behind the scenes they will make it easier for people to get in and easier for them to remain. Last year, net migration was 600,000. Let that sink in for a moment. That is the population of Manchester. Anyone who lives in London and thinks they are going to "retire to a peaceful little village" is deluded. By the time you retire, there won't BE any villages, just endless housing estates.

I live in the Essex countryside, and my village is being destroyed. Half my local woods have been hacked down to make way for a new estate (including blocks of flats), and at the other end of the village they are building a new estate that is so large it's more like a new town. The traffic is so awful I barely go out at the weekends, and, at times, I feel like I'm suffocating. But it's never enough. No matter how many of these ghastly rabbit hutches they jam together, we need more, more, more.

We need to talk seriously about this issue. If we are going to have a centre-left government, they must be held to account. Politically, I'm a centrist, so the prospect of a Labour government neither excites nor depresses me. But mass immigration does worry me. Remember, the migration crisis is only just beginning. Africa has the highest birth rate in the world. In parts of Africa, women have seven children, on average, and the population of Africa is going to double by 2050. How on earth are we going to build a new Manchester every year? Where are we going to build it? We really need to talk about this.

What worries me most is the nasty, spiteful edge to many Labour voters. The left accuse the right of being hate-filled, but the left are every bit as hate-filled. It's just the target that is different. Debate this issue on social media, and you quickly realize that a lot of left-wing people love the thought of middle-class NIMBYs having their lives ruined.

Housing is a very important issue. All this building that you talk about does rather beg the question why the government permits by some estimates over a million homes in England to sit empty.

jgw1 · 20/10/2023 11:38

Coveescapee · 20/10/2023 11:09

I think the final straw was the massive amount spent on Covid lockdowns etc. and Starmer wanted to spend even more!

Locking down sooner as Starmer advocated would have caused fewer deaths and cost less.