I thought one of the reasons birth rates have dropped is because the generation who would currently be having children are having to contend with soaring house prices, insane energy bills and increasing rents. This means its taking them longer to reach a point of stability where they can have a child and for some they are not reaching that point at all.
Whilst I do think something needs to be improved around childcare costs, I never agreed with child benefit being capped, and I would love to see the return to sure starts etc and the underfunding of the schools is horrendous I'm not sure personal allowance increases for individuals is the answer.
The personal allowance is 12.5k. If you double that when you have a child it's 25k, 2 children and you are up to 37.5k.
The median salary is around 31k so we are talking about over 50% of people not paying any tax for 18 years (or would it just be allocated to one parent in which case 25% of the population not paying any tax for 18 years)
Even at 25% of the population not paying tax for 18 years there would be a drop in funds available for things like education or people without school ages children would have to be taxed higher
So unless there is some wierd "pre-children" tax break then people struggling currently to afford to get to a position where they can have children would struggle more. Thereby potentially dropping the birth rate further. Or more children would be born into unstable situations so people could get tax breaks to afford to live
Surely sorting out the soaring house prices, insane energy bills and increasing rents, bringing back child benefit for all children (which is likely to reduce the abortion rate) and better subsidised and invested in childcare and education would be better?