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Energy bill price cap predicted to go to £3850 - 3 x what it was a year ago

667 replies

cakeorwine · 27/07/2022 20:40

There is an AIBU here - but really it's posting for traffic

Russia is having 'maintainance issues' so has reduced the gas flow to Europe to a low level.

Gas prices have soared again.

Price cap prediction - £3850 - about 3 x what it was a year ago.

This is going to affect all of us

www.theguardian.com/money/2022/jul/27/uk-energy-bills-forecast-to-hit-3850-pounds-russia-cuts-gas-supply-further-europe-pipeline

OP posts:
Thread gallery
7
LakieLady · 28/07/2022 13:23

Itisasecret · 27/07/2022 21:11

Fixed until Sept 2023 crystal ball shows increase from 2.5k to 10k

Mine's fixed until Nov 23. If it goes up by the sort of factor your crystal ball is predicting, I'll be paying £320pcm.

I can't see how I'll ever be able to afford to retire at this rate. £320 a month would be almost a third of my pension income. I only hope there's a decent state pension increase this year.

Rinatinabina · 28/07/2022 13:28

JS87 · 28/07/2022 13:12

Yes, I expect the main way that we will save money on our increasing bills is by energy rationing. We may well find ourselves using less gas and electricity as a result of it being rationed rather than just because it will be so expensive.

Yeah depressing thought.

SkeletonFight · 28/07/2022 13:30

Lunaduckdrop · 28/07/2022 09:28

Most of us are going to have to find ways of using less. Hopefully the government will protect the vulnerable properly as very old people and the chronically sick need heated homes.. I'm considering an air-fryer instead of my electric oven, and will turn the heating down to frost-stat. The power/ oil companies are making massive profits and this should be stopped or taxed at 90%.

Wealth is very unevenly distributed in the UK. Somebody upthread said they could actually afford to pay £10,000 p.a. for fuel. That is disgusting when so many can't even afford £1000.

There is also no justification for standing charges going up so much. That is an attempt to recoup the cost of so many energy companies going bust. The government should have covered this cost themselves as it is a consequence of the silly "market" system they have operated. It is safer and fairer to have a national system (not necessarily nationalised, could still be run by a private company or companies but with very closely-capped profit margins) where every customer pays the same rate. I know people will say it will just be put onto general taxation but income tax is at least less regressive than the standing charge mechanism which hits the poorest households disproportionately.

I don't really agree with having standing charges at all. I prefer all the charge on the unit rate so I have control over my own spending. There have been times in the past when this was the case and it worked perfectly well.

Somebody upthread said they could actually afford to pay £10,000 p.a. for fuel. That is disgusting when so many can't even afford £1000

Why?

DingleyDel · 28/07/2022 13:31

Yes I get the chimney swept yearly, but I know loads of people who don’t because they only light occasionally. The PP who said there will be more house fires is about right I think. Yet another public service that is just about coping will be pushed to the limits of what is acceptable and safe.

the80sweregreat · 28/07/2022 13:33

Yes, it's just a bit depressing to think we might be rationed. I think many people will struggle or the companies will insist on all of us having smart meters too. It's all about control.
My neighbours have had their chimney swept today ready for winter. They are probably doing a roaring trade at the number

the80sweregreat · 28/07/2022 13:34

Moment

justasking111 · 28/07/2022 13:34

For those asking why when we only import a little gas why are we suffering. Well we haven't got the storage any more. We dismantled our gasometers. Our local ones are now a small housing estate

MarshaBradyo · 28/07/2022 13:34

the80sweregreat · 28/07/2022 13:33

Yes, it's just a bit depressing to think we might be rationed. I think many people will struggle or the companies will insist on all of us having smart meters too. It's all about control.
My neighbours have had their chimney swept today ready for winter. They are probably doing a roaring trade at the number

High prices will likely force reduction rather than explicit rationing

cakeorwine · 28/07/2022 13:38

There will be people who can happily use energy to heat indoor swimming pools, run jacuzzis, power washers etc whilst others struggle to afford energy to keep their house at even a relatively ok temperature or to cook their food.

Maybe there could be a scale - so you pay a certain amount for so many KWH and then extra if you go above it

OP posts:
justasking111 · 28/07/2022 13:39

1.34billion profit from British gas does anyone know how many customers they have to do the math

FourTeaFallOut · 28/07/2022 13:41

Some of the most vulnerable users, those who rely on electrical equipment to be able to manage their lives at home, are among the highest users.

How would you account for these people when you intend to target those high use users who you deem use electricity negligently?

cakeorwine · 28/07/2022 13:41

Government missing in action

In her interview on the Today programme this morning Nadine Dorries, the culture secretary, appeared to play down the impact of the huge rise in fuel costs that people are going to face this winter. When it was put to her that bills would be going up by £2,300 this autum, Dorries replied: “Some, some people’s bills may increase by that amount.” The italics illustrate the words she was stressing. Dorries highlighted measures already taken by the government to help people with their bills

OP posts:
cakeorwine · 28/07/2022 13:43

FourTeaFallOut · 28/07/2022 13:41

Some of the most vulnerable users, those who rely on electrical equipment to be able to manage their lives at home, are among the highest users.

How would you account for these people when you intend to target those high use users who you deem use electricity negligently?

Look at personal circumstances

OP posts:
cakeorwine · 28/07/2022 13:44

cakeorwine · 28/07/2022 13:43

Look at personal circumstances

And people who need to use such equipment definitely need support.

OP posts:
MarshaBradyo · 28/07/2022 13:48

Just to get this straight - or be corrected

Gas and oil companies based in U.K. sell on global market and due to supply / demand situation prices are higher. Hence greater profits

Consumer based energy suppliers buy from them or from o/s at global market rate - which is going up hence price cap rise so they don’t keep going bust

One suggestion is nationalise but we’d have to buy at market rate which is how much?

Another is to do windfall tax again and pay lower incomes which did happen, as profits are still abnormally high could repeat

the80sweregreat · 28/07/2022 13:51

Of course the government officials will just say ' we have done this and that ' because ( to be fair ) they have. Those on benefits have had extra money too.
I've never had any money towards fuel bills before now and I'll be grateful for it in October , but they can't dine out on this forever and it won't stretch that far for many anyway.
Not sure what the answers are though unless they make the fuel companies turn over the profits to the government. I'm not sure how that might work or be feasible or even be lawful? They will argue that they have already done this once.
I think they might just kick the can down the road on this. Hope it'll be ok and keep saying what they are doing now rather than look at the bigger picture ?

justasking111 · 28/07/2022 13:54

If you have a smart meter you have no control over when its switched off and on. Hopefully it will be in short bursts so our freezers don't go kaput food wise. The pamphlets will be written for the printers royal mail warned that this is what will happen this winter and this is what you need to do to prepare. . we've got a couple of months to prepare then.

Big companies will be in the know to supply hot water bottles etc. It's on a need to know basis at the moment

justasking111 · 28/07/2022 14:01

If you have essential medical equipment in your home it would be wise to invest in a generator if things get really bad. BUT please don't buy from Aldi Lidl bq some unknown make we can't get spares to repair them. Find a physical shop that sells, services and repairs. Honda comes to mind. We lived in the back of beyond for twenty years overhead lines lots of trees. Our generator ran the central heating and a few plugs

MarshaBradyo · 28/07/2022 14:05

Also talk of VAT dropped for one year and removal of green levy

This will help a bit, measures which help businesses too like these will be beneficial over just money in banks

PinkSparklyPussyCat · 28/07/2022 14:08

ginghamstarfish · 28/07/2022 12:26

My MIL does, and turns it up even more rather than put a jumper on. It's stifling, and I'm extremely uncomfortable every time I'm there. Oven on for one potato, dishwasher on after every meal, etc, washes a couple of items, tumble dries the same couple of items, several times a day, and so on. Drives me bonkers to see such wasteful use of energy! She's very comfortably off though, doesn't give a thought to how much anything costs, and will no doubt continue to do this. I guess there are quite a few like this, but to others who've been accustomed to giving energy use little or no thought, they're going to be in for a big shock.

We would have the heating on like that in the winter. DH is retired and is home all the time and I'm working from home part of the time. He has joint problems which get worse in the cold. Our flat is always freezing in winter and the air is always cold even with a layers on. We've had a second radiator installed to try and make it warmer (due to the layout of the room the other one is partially covered) so hopefully that will make a difference.

On the other bits in your post, we tumble dry socks and underwear in the winter and I will use the oven for a jacket spud - much nicer than in a microwave.

AndreaC74 · 28/07/2022 14:14

MarshaBradyo · 28/07/2022 14:05

Also talk of VAT dropped for one year and removal of green levy

This will help a bit, measures which help businesses too like these will be beneficial over just money in banks

Approx £300 per year, on a price cap predicted to be around £4000.

Meanwhile Johnson says Pain is inevitable & its a bit like an athlete in training...

Sorry but thats a pathetic response... but not surprising.

Why does nationalisation of the NS Gas industry, have to be at the market rate? surely its at whatever rate the Govt decide?

MarshaBradyo · 28/07/2022 14:17

I don’t know how it works but presumably you have to buy off shareholders who own it

What figure are you thinking?

MarshaBradyo · 28/07/2022 14:18

Meant to quote Andrea

AndreaC74 · 28/07/2022 14:18

Another is to do windfall tax again and pay lower incomes which did happen, as profits are still abnormally high could repeat

I thought there would be no windfall tax IF they invest etc... so as they have been investing, there has been no tax?

A bit of a catch all - as we seek to de carbonise, the energy industry have too invest in renewables or they will fold.

AndreaC74 · 28/07/2022 14:21

MarshaBradyo · 28/07/2022 14:17

I don’t know how it works but presumably you have to buy off shareholders who own it

What figure are you thinking?

No idea.. but unless radical action is at least considered, then all the Govt can do is give us all a little bit more money, which will add to national debt and end up in the pockets of Centrica etc.

However, EDF which owns France's Nuclear energy industry was bought out for 11 billion euros.

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