We are not sending DS1 and DD back to school (Reception) and nursery until September at the earliest.
However, other European countries where children have returned to schools are not reporting any further spikes starting. It is early days, I know, but they aren't as yet. I plan to keep an eye on that and may send them back if that continues to be the case.
The more I hear about this virus the more baffled I am about how we are in such a mess. We have an enormous death rate compared to most other countries. We also have a much higher death rate amongst cases we classify, for data purposes, as 'serious/critical'- other countries lose far fewer of those cases.
We were told that when the virus reached Africa and other areas of the world less developed, it would wreak havoc- it hasn't. Look at Worldometer or John Hopkins live data if you haven't already. Our data, however you cut it (and remember we are told there are potentially 10-20x the number of infections we know about) is dire.
Much of the data produced by the government is irritatingly unclear because different bodies (eg ONS and PHE) produce data differently.Today I read the R rates have been released and the North-East has the highest in the country at 0.8.
I suspect at the end of all of this we will all realise that the risk to the vast majority of people is very low and what we are doing is to protect the most vulnerable and prevent the NHS being overwhelmed- and even then only 2% of them would die with the virus. (according to the Deputy Chief Medical Officer for England in the Downing Street Briefing 2 days ago). Any death is awful and I am not minimising that. I just think there has been an enormous fear factor thrown at us in all of this to keep us all at home when actually some targeting of specific groups and intense support for them would have worked more effectively. Alongside that some commonsense things that we didn't do and patently should have much earlier (masks on tubes and in shops and cities), enforced quarantine of anyone who came into the country starting before lock down, specific Covid hospitals, a huge focus on track and test. Now we lack certainty and clarity about it all, have awful death rates and the economy is shot to shit.