@LilacTree1acTree
Patrick Vallance is the man who was encouraging/validating the government's decisions to pursue herd immunity - a decision which likely resulted in the UK locking down significantly later than most other countries. I would take any claims he makes in that context.
(from FT, 13th March))
Britain’s chief scientific adviser stoked controversy on Friday when he said that about 40m people in the UK could need to catch the coronavirus to build up “herd immunity” and prevent the disease coming back in the future.
Defending Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s decision not to follow other European countries by closing schools and banning mass gatherings, Patrick Vallance said it was the government’s aim to “reduce the peak of the epidemic, pull it down and broaden it” while protecting the elderly and vulnerable.
But Sir Patrick told Sky News that experts estimated that about 60 per cent of the UK’s 66m population would have to contract coronavirus in order for society to build up immunity.
“Communities will become immune to it and that’s going to be an important part of controlling this longer term,” he said. “About 60 per cent is the sort of figure you need to get herd immunity.”
This was in mid-March, when, for example, Ireland had already shut schools and was practicing strong social distancing - while the UK was still enjoying Cheltenham, Twickenham rugby games, CL matches, marathons, pop concerts.