To ask for your Brexit predictions?

[Namingetiquette]

What do you think is going to happen on the 31st of October?

My thought is that the pound will equal 1 US dollar, inflation will be hellish, and everything will become much more expensive. I have heard people saying that others should wait to buy property because of maybe a crash? I don't think so though, I think property will become more expensive as a result of the pound becoming devalued. Savings accounts will be hurt the most.

What are your thoughts?

Our reptilian over lords will rise.

Depends what happens in the snap general election we have at beginning of October

"I think Boris will resign before the 31st, stating that he cannot get the Brexit he wants through Parliament, saying he wants no part of a bad Brexit deal,
Or gets a no deal Brexit through by some means and immediately calls a GE, not wanting to be in charge if it goes tits up, heads he wins, tails he wins"

I can see this happening definitely self serving arse he is!

What I fear is more likely is a no deal brexit leading to

Initially (first days/weeks)
Pound dropping like a fucking stone!
Prices rising - especially petrol will rocket
Mostly ineffective continued and rising complaints on SM and voxpops on news

Medium term
People losing homes due to inability to pay rent/mortgages, including the effects of amateur landlords having to sell because they don't have a savings buffer to withstand the effects on the economy
Crime and general unrest starts to increase - especially in food shops and pharmacies
Increase in arson - insurance jobs (nobody seems to have considered this, including me! It was a couple of friends of mine who's husbands are firefighters said to me they are genuinely concerned this could happen and fire services are apparently preparing accordingly)

Longer term

I can absolutely see the fucking up of the U.K. In this way could well lead to it splitting.

I'm in Scotland I voted no in indyref, I'm very much seeing/hearing on here and in real life an increasing appetite for another referendum where yes would likely win if Westminster doesn't get a fucking grip on this shitfest!

I've also got family/friends in NI and while I would never profess to be an expert on NI, I'm hearing there are mutterings about them splitting from uk too.

England and Wales end up alone, on the bones of their arse BEGGING to rejoin. Not what I or anyone wants, but yes I can see it becoming a possibility

On a (supposedly) slightly lighter note - a sea of name changes on mn - by beleavers!

"Lots of people who voted Leave will start denying they ever voted for this." I've already seen this happening on some Facebook groups I'm on, myself and other group members been calling them out on it! Some more clever/invested than me have even posted screenshots of the lying members posts prior to their opinion change!

"Unexpected consequences not thought of will crop up." Yes I dread to think what they might be. Given the EU was at least partly responsible for maintaining good relations between member states another European war I fear cannot be completely ruled out.

Possibly starting in Ireland due to the tensions likely to be caused with the border issue there and the still very recent history of tensions, but I also think it would be naive not to consider that the Gibraltar/Spain border could become problematic - not least because Johnson is also exactly the type of idiot to try and pull a thatcher/Falklands election boost out of such a situation!

I'm fucking dreading it and desperately hoping Johnson:

Calls a GE and loses & Labour sorts the mess out

Resigns and someone more sensible takes over

The whole bloody thing gets called off by ANYONE and we remain

I’m putting all my money into smelling salts shares.

I wish anyone could predict what will happen on the 31st October. I believe that even knowledgeable political commentator do not know either. We are all in for a "bumpy ride".
The only (reasonable) likelihoods are

1. Whatever goes wrong, Boris will blame it on the EU (Justifiable)
2. The Guardian will implode into an incoherent, frothing rage -pretty much same as every day. (Certain))

Nothing is going to happen, because Brexit will not happen🤷

Here is a link to Brexit board
www.mumsnet.com/Talk/eu_referendum_2016_

It's only August. We will drown in Brexit post by September

& and Labour sorts this mess out
Labour is unable to sort itself out presently, so there's not a hope in hell of salvation from that quarter.

Well we've already tried letting the tories sort it, and they're not exactly coherent and agreeable as a party themselves!

I don't see why letting labour have a chance as that controversial or unrealistic.

@GrumpyMiddleAgedWoman hear hear

31Rue suppose food prices go up 24% and fuel 28%, but the Government says the official inflation rate is only, say, 3%, with interest rates pegged below 1%. How's that actually going to feel in your real life?

There will be inflation but there will also be unscrupulous companies that use No Deal Brexit as an excuse to raise prices even more.

I think we will leave without a deal. Then everything will go horribly wrong and within a few months we will sign the withdrawal agreement or something very similar.

The Tories acting like a bunch of bungling incompetents does mean that Labour isn't acting like a bunch of bungling incompetents too.

To be fair there are capable, sensible people in both parties, but one is tearing itself apart over Brexit and the other is engulfed in an internicene struggle between the Hard Left and The Rest.

British politics is an embarrassing shambles atm. I'm honestly astounded at the way the Tories have chucked away a certain reputation for getting on with the job (however unpopular the job might have been with half the population) and Labour has gone through a time warp back to the Militant Tendency days - and even more amazed that they've done it at the same time. Corbyn is a national embarassment. Boris is a national embarassment. Both parties need leaders that MPs (and their voters) can unite around. It just ain't happening.

Just a thought, but could it be that American corporations are paying off members of both parties to play the part of being in a staged shit show so they can "Oops" us all in to the worst result for profit?

It’s such an interesting question. Up until now I think effects have been quite regional. London has obviously seen house prices dropping, but here in a leave voting area (SW), the housing market is pretty hot with places selling over the asking price.
I wonder at what point reality will bite here, or if as the majority wants Brexit to work, people will ‘just get on with it’.
I voted remain btw but all I hear locally is still ‘just get on with it’!

Even if I accept both tories and Labour bungling incompetents. The current bunch of bungling incompetents have had their chance, why not give the other bungling incompetents a chance to do at least slightly better?

At this point I think we would have more success if we just put the monarchy back in power.

We will crash out, I think.

House prices will fall. Good time to buy potentially but risk of negative equity for many.
Mortgage interest rates lowered because of recession. Could be good for some but risk is then sudden increases that make repayment difficult.
Interest on savings in the U.K. will be reduced significantly so better off investing overseas - with greater losses to U.K.
Sterling will collapse. Move your money to the Yen ahead of October. The result for most people will be far less money to buy things. European holidays will be very expensive.All imported items will either be scarce or expensive. Inflation will spiral.
Pensions will be affected and may not deliver as expected.
The inevitable recession will see businesses fold and unemployment rise. Luckily as we lose all the EU labour, there’ll be lettuce picking and taxi driving jobs.
Travel insurance will be expensive.
We’ll see a worsening staff shortages in health and social care. Fewer doctors, fewer nurses, fewer radiographers and physiotherapists. Just as winter pressures start and in a year the flu vaccine is likely to be ineffective.
Schools may well see shortages of teachers.
Erasmus funding will disappear leaving language degrees for the rich.
Scientific and medical research will be offered to other countries.
Farming subsidies will,be maintained in short term but aren’t sustainable.
Funding for areas of rural and coastal poverty will drop.
Drug shortages are likely.
Water quality may be affected due to difficulty importing the purification chemicals.
In the longer term, human rights, maternity rights, animal welfare and equality legislation could be affected.

Not quite the sky falling in but it’s not likely to be pretty.

I forgot fuel shortages and civil unrest.

There will be food/fuel shortages because of mass hysteria. People will start panic buying when the media begin discussing shortages around September time.

Surely we can just eat all the Halloween sweets and leftover pumpkins, and adopt resilient attitudes? What could possibly go wrong?

There will be a slow and steady economic decline. Like the puncturing of a balloon.

There will be a slow and steady economic decline. Like the puncturing of a balloon

I like the balloon analogy, but the UK is not going to be sitting in the corner slowly leaking air. Johnson is deliberately untying the knot and when he lets go, the UK Brexit balloon will fly aimlessly around making loud farting noises until coming to a limp and ignominious end, ignored and discarded. Which will hopefully be the fate of Johnson himself.

Nobody can say for sure what will happen after we leave on the 31st October, but...

I will be tuning in to the James O'Cryon show at 10 o'clock. It's gonna be an epic laugh.

Petrol prices will shoot up, and we'll see queues and rowing at petrol stations, plus a lot more threads about CF workmates who can't get to work and want a free lift.