Sorry in advance for this longer rant (I will be simplifying A LOT so ask if you want more detail).
I have been in the space now for a few years and it has changed my life. I should explain that I retired very early due to investing in other scarce assets so I have more or less studied this every day).
Through studying the Austrian School of Economics, in which Bitcoin fits so perfectly - in that Mengerian sense, I have come to change my time preference completely. It has made me realise that the current system of debt, credit creation and quantitive easing is as unsustainable as it is futile (I urge anyone to study the Cantillon Effect), and only geared for parting with your money in order to further fuel the Ponzi that is Neo-libral Keynesian economics. The negative rates and further QE (FED, BoE, ECB, BoJ) will only exacerbate the problems further. In fact despite being a life-long Labour supporter I now realise party affiliation means nothing anymore. They all want to further increase supply. Labour in order to re-nationalise utilities etc, Tories in order to fund tax breaks etc. In BOTH cases it severely impacts purchasing power, which mainly affects those the least well off. We desperately need to switch to a hard money system, like the one we had before we severed with gold standard. So while I have made insane gains through investing in Bitcoin it is the global social change that Bitcoin will facilitate that has made me stay in the space.
But in pure investment terms why BTC?
As the current financial system deteriorates by way of every government debasing their own currencies in order to prolong the inevitable, hedge funds, family offices, pension funds, rich individuals will go into BTC. They may not believe in it yet like I do, but they will at the very least want to leverage their wealth in the ways they can. Bitcoin has outperformed every other asset since its inception 10 1/2 years ago by a factor of a lot. These entities will need an escape pod for their money and that will partly be gold and increasingly it will be Bitcoin.
BTC has a FIXED supply of 21mill coins of which 17.8mill are already in circulation. The more money flows into the economy the more the value of each satoshi (bitcoin's cent), each bitcoin, will grow in value.
This scarcity and the set in stone monetary policy (as well as it's decentralised, distributed nature - meaning it is immutable, anti-fragile and censorship resistant) is what makes it special - NO OTHER "crypto" has this, hence why they are not to be touched (I could talk about pre-mines, the fallibilities of PoS systems etc but just trust me on this).
Oh there are so many things I want to mention that seem absolute crucial. In terms of price prediction I am very confident that we will see a $100k bitcoin in the next two years and a $1mill in the next five. This is based on mathematical models base don Stock to Flow with an extremely high R2 value (accuracy of 95%). I would say it is inevitable that Bitcoin will become the new global reserve currency and eventually a global UoA.
I would advice this: 1) Take a position in Bitcoin and hold it for min 2years. 2) Never touch any shitcoin. Stick to bitcoin ONLY. 3) We are in the infancy of this - we are trying to establish it as a Store of Value before it can become a medium of exchange, let alone a unit of account. Because of this it will continue to be volatile (hence a lower time pref is needed) 4) Download a wallet and buy a little bit for now, then educate yourself as you're pulled further in.
Educate yourself!!! Read The Bitcoin Standard by Saifedean Ammous and venture down the rabbit hole from there.
I have included some incredible resources incl podcasts. Get involved!
Good luck and I'm always open to questions and discussion :)
Articles:
medium.com/@vijayboyapati/the-bullish-case-for-bitcoin-6ecc8bdecc1
medium.com/@100trillionUSD/modeling-bitcoins-value-with-scarcity-91fa0fc03e25
nakamotoinstitute.org/shelling-out/
www.unchained-capital.com/blog/enders-game/
For more top level reading: nakamotoinstitute.org/literature/
Podcasts:
anchor.fm/s/7d083a4/podcast/rss
anchor.fm/s/7d083a4/podcast/rss
anchor.fm/s/7d083a4/podcast/rss
anchor.fm/s/7d083a4/podcast/rss
feeds.megaphone.fm/offthechain
feeds.megaphone.fm/offthechain
anchor.fm/s/558f520/podcast/rss
anchor.fm/s/558f520/podcast/rss