If remain is included along with two leave options in a "People's Vote" wouldn't that just make it an automatic remain win by splitting the leave vote? I mean I know a lot of people want that but wouldn't it look a bit like a fix?
No, it wouldn't have to. But it depends whether you've got faith in the electorate not to be confused by more than one question.
You have two questions:
- Leave vs. Remain
- If Leave, Deal vs No Deal
That way everyone's vote counts for both options, the straightforward Leave or Remain? and then a preference for the offered Deal vs. No Deal? if Leave wins the first question.
There are other ways of doing it with a single question and either three or four choices of answer. But I think the two question option is more likely to be understood and gives all votes equal value.
I concur. I also think they should have negotiated possible deals and reported on the impact of them all before holding a referendum in the first place.
No one expected Leave to win. Even Farage was making excuses on the night that 52:48 (to Remain, he expected to lose) would leave the question unanswered and wouldn't be decisive enough. Johnson wanted to lose, it was his bid for the Tory leadership - look brave and decisive on Europe whilst being a gracious loser.
Why would the EU have wasted it's time on negotiating something that at the time looked like an internal Tory party issue and wasn't going to amount to anything?
But in any case, the economic forecasts for many possible deals were run in advance and published, but dismissed as Project Fear.