Hiya!
Goodness - apologies to those who asked where I'd gone... It'd be that darned work stuff; can't spend all day on the Internet looking at mumsnet!
Ok. So I come back to the potential threat to the 15hrs (which is unclear at the mo); the underlying narrative about the value of working over and above stay-at-home & carers in general.
Looking into the 30 hrs a bit more, the office for national statistics (ONS) apparently cites 30hrs as full time (which links minimum wage for 30hrs to the £10k tax threshold... Details looked up by DH).
Interestingly, I work in a professional job where full time would usually be nearer to an average of 48hrs (allowing for nights & weekends). At the mo, I don't do that (I work three 'normal'/office hours days a week). Would I need to prove I was full time to claim extra 15hrs? Who knows....
And several ppl have assumed that astronomic childcare costs are limited to the SE; they aren't. (Based in SW; nursery approx £56 per day; after school about £12). And, yes, preschool childcare for 2 was more than I earned...
I've looked a little into the evidence base on childcare vs SAH & outcomes for children. It's mixed. And v political (very few academics are prepared to say that childcare at an early age is detrimental to children; I know only one and she regularly gets shot down because what she's saying is so unpopular). (DOI; I've been v critical in the past because I think it feeds the notion of "working mums" being less good than "SAH mums", which I don't think helps the debate - we all need to support each other - esp in complex lives where many have relatively little support given the increasingly fragmented nature of families).
So. IF the detail of this bill keeps the 15hrs; that's ok. IF only full time working parents benefit, that's not great (I still don't think that's unreasonable esp if the over-the-year average is much less than 24hrs, which wouldn't come close to a full-time week for anyone much - I can't work that out in my head!).
Still come back to the narrative, tho. SAHP seem to be not part of the "hard working family", which I find, frankly, bizarre (& I'm a working parent). If I'm honest, I think this should be focussed around the needs of the child; and yes, bunging DC in for 30hrs when you're SAH does seem quite a lot (think I've said that before). Gap between preschool education and childcare. But I guess children don't vote for a long time, so maybe it doesn't matter...
And, finally, looking at an economic model which doesn't place a value (in monetary terms) on childcare would be, to say the least, shortsighted. As would a model which didn't consider life-time earnings; or a failure to try to capture something on the intangible benefits of work and stay at home. (If that sounds crazy, it's done in academic research quite a bit and used in practical settings; an example would be a QALY or a DALY, which are used to help determine healthcare spending).