Nobel, perhaps I can help a little
"Outstanding public sector pension liabilities will not need to be paid off in a single year, but if they continue to grow, they would lead to very high annual costs that would largely fall on taxpayers. If, as discussed in Chapter 1, the ratio of workers to pensioners falls, these annual costs may well become intolerable."
A) Aren't they shown to be falling?
B) If people start to drop out of the scheme, won't that add to the intolerable cost?
"In 2010-11, £18 billion is projected to come from taxpayers (£13.5 billion of employer contributions and £4.5 billion from the Treasury)"
So - we are looking at a shortfall of £4.5billion - doesn't sound so much compared to the hefty amount needed to bail out the Banks does it?
^"To understand these annual costs, we must examine how the annual payments to current retirees are met. Because the schemes are unfunded, payments this year to retirees are met by this year?s employer and
employee contributions, with the Treasury making up the difference."^
Again, the high drop out rate and probably the number of job cuts, is going to add to those figures
However...^The Treasury does not provide a breakdown of employee and employer contributions, merely giving the aggregate figure (as shown in the table above). Despite this lack of transparency, it is possible to provide a
robust estimate of the employer share.^
So, looks a little more like there is room for negotiation there, doesn't it iggly perhaps not needing all three strikes as they are trying.
Out of interest, I wonder how much money they recieve back from tax? Oh and I wonder if the future projections are based on everyone staying in the scheme for 40+ years?
www.public-sector-pensions-commission.org.uk/wp-content/themes/pspc/images/Public-Sector-Pensions-Commission-Report.pdf