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Lindsay clancy trial

901 replies

Widowwith2 · 10/08/2026 21:04

Has anyone else been following the lindsay clancy trial? What is everyone thinkin? I dont think she done it

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DannyDeever · 04/09/2026 07:06

kkloo · 03/09/2026 23:56

I disagree, they've already came back twice saying they couldn't reach an agreement so I think they would have just came back a third time saying they couldn't reach an agreement if that was the case, to me it seems far more likely that this person is using arguments and reasons for their decision which are showing the other jurors they're not applying the law as they've been instructed to.

If the holdout is not applying the law as instructed they can be removed.

So if the holdout is saying "I think there's doubt here, I can't be sure but on balance I think she might possibly be guilty and therefore I will only accept a guilty verdict." they can be removed. That's called "Refusal to deliberate". So given all the attention to the deliberation I find highly unlikely that's what's happening or they'd have beem removed yesterday. Seems more likely the other Jurors think the holdout's conclusion is so wildly inconsistent with the evidence that the holdout must be failing to apply the correct burden of proof. That's just the jury disagreeing, which is allowed.

UnderTheSeaOverTheMoon · 04/09/2026 07:21

I actually quite like that the US televises trials. Doing so adds a level of transparency and awareness that keeps the government and police accountable in some ways. It also gives the general public the ability to see what the legal process looks like. I can also understand how it can be problematic. In some cases, huge coverage and massive public interest can lead to jury interference/bias, wild speculation, and all sorts of legal issues. The restrictions in the UK prevent much of this.

I can think of many cases that would have been even more massively discussed had the trials been televised (Soham, Baby P, Lucy Letby, Southport, Sara Sharif, Joanna Dennehy, Beverley Allitt, etc.).

UnderTheSeaOverTheMoon · 04/09/2026 07:36

Really, isn't it (the standard of proof beyond a reasonable doubt) all quite subjective and a matter of opinion? The fact that hung juries occur in the first place tells me that it is. The fact that the same case can be tried twice with the same evidence presented and two different juries can come to vastly different conclusions/verdicts tells me that it is. The prosecution argues the case and is tasked with proving it beyond a reasonable doubt, but different people are going to come to different conclusions on whether they have proven it beyond a reasonable doubt. We don't know the exact details of what's being said amongst the jury, but it's not enough to say that a juror isn't following the law because they have reached a different conclusion than the majority.

PuppyKeep · 04/09/2026 07:56

Why isn't the judge removing them??

DannyDeever · 04/09/2026 08:21

Really, isn't it (the standard of proof beyond a reasonable doubt) all quite subjective and a matter of opinion?

That's my take. It's totally subjective and the stuff the judge has to read out seemed wrong to me. The test isn't "certainty" if it was nobody would ever be convicted of anything and instead of something wooly like "beyond reasonable doubt" they could just say "certain".

pastadish · 04/09/2026 08:26

DannyDeever · 03/09/2026 21:45

Becaise it's true that the jury (likely) said one juror was not willing to follow the law but then the holdout (and the other Jurors) said they were willing to follow the law.

So despite what the jury say it sounds more like the holdout's opinion just differs from the others rather than the holdout is not willing to correctly apply the burden of proof: I very much doubt the holdout is saying "I don't GAF about the burden of proof." in the Jury Room and then saying they are happy to obey the law in the court.

Edited

It doesn’t sound like that at all. Twice previously the jury has come back to say they cannot reach a unanimous decision now they’ve come back and stated one juror is not following instructions. It certainly sounds like that one juror has said something to make the rest of the jury think they’ve made a non evidence based decision. That’s why the judge specifically reminded them of reasonable doubt. It sounds very much like the holdout is saying Idgaf about the burden of proof

EESHT · 04/09/2026 08:29

I think that at least some, if not all, of the jurors have talked about the trial with close family members or searched for it online. (Do you really think 'John' is going to refuse to talk about the trial with his wife if she asks about it in the privacy of their home after he comes home from a long day at court? Do you really think 'Jennifer' is going to resist the urge to have a quick google out of curiosity after she's seen all of the cameras and media attention in the courtroom? Do you really think they'd admit to having done so?) I do not put that much confidence and trust in all 12 random people to be truthful and have integrity + self-control. It's human nature to seek out additional information. It's a bit naive to think otherwise. They should have been sequestered!

DannyDeever · 04/09/2026 08:29

pastadish · 04/09/2026 08:26

It doesn’t sound like that at all. Twice previously the jury has come back to say they cannot reach a unanimous decision now they’ve come back and stated one juror is not following instructions. It certainly sounds like that one juror has said something to make the rest of the jury think they’ve made a non evidence based decision. That’s why the judge specifically reminded them of reasonable doubt. It sounds very much like the holdout is saying Idgaf about the burden of proof

It sounds very much like the holdout is saying Idgaf about the burden of proof

If so that's "Refusal to deliberate" and they can be removed.

For the two reasons I've stated that seems unlikely.

pastadish · 04/09/2026 08:30

BreatheAndFocus · 03/09/2026 17:43

Obviously I don’t know. All I have is an opinion. Initially I thought she did it because she was insane at the time, but having heard the trial and read more, I now doubt that. I think she was aware what she was doing was wrong and wasn’t ’out of her mind’.

Why did she do it? My guess is ongoing stress, exacerbated by a lack of sleep, so that she was worn down and kind of ‘flat’ emotionally. Stress, depression, lack of sleep all affect your reasoning and personality. Whether she then decided to kill all the children and planned that, or whether she snapped and killed one and then felt she ‘had to’ kill the others, I don’t know. I think she was frustrated - at them and at herself. When you’re exhausted and ‘flat’, sometimes the answer that comes to you isn’t one that would come to others or, even, one you might reach at a better time of your life, but at that time it seems the answer.

So what you’ve described is essentially a state of psychosis. When various factors come together at a point to affect reasoning and personality and lead to a decision others would not come to and one which you would not reach at a better place in life.

pastadish · 04/09/2026 08:35

DannyDeever · 04/09/2026 08:29

It sounds very much like the holdout is saying Idgaf about the burden of proof

If so that's "Refusal to deliberate" and they can be removed.

For the two reasons I've stated that seems unlikely.

Refusal to deliberate is not the same as not following the judge’s instructions on the law. You can deliberate all you like but if it veers towards ‘this is what I think’ rather than ‘the evidence shows’ especially at this point in the trial and deliberations then the juror should be removed. They have to follow the instructions, the whole point of any jury is to do that and show reasonable doubt or not based on the evidence they have heard and seen.

DannyDeever · 04/09/2026 08:35

pastadish · 04/09/2026 08:30

So what you’ve described is essentially a state of psychosis. When various factors come together at a point to affect reasoning and personality and lead to a decision others would not come to and one which you would not reach at a better place in life.

No. That's not psychosis, and doesn't pass the M’Naghten test.

"Affected reasoning" isn't enough.

pastadish · 04/09/2026 08:42

DannyDeever · 04/09/2026 08:35

No. That's not psychosis, and doesn't pass the M’Naghten test.

"Affected reasoning" isn't enough.

If reasoning is affected in such a way that a person is not capable of understanding what they’re doing at the time the are doing it then it does pass the test

pastadish · 04/09/2026 08:48

Also even if LC knew what she was doing, ie that she knew she was killing the children, she would have to know it was wrong. This is also part of m’naughton.

Savvysix1984 · 04/09/2026 08:49

Somanyrabbitholes · 03/09/2026 21:43

I'm guessing it's currently 11 - 1 NGRI with one juror saying guilty.
Reading between the lines it sounds like that juror does have reasonable doubt but is still saying guilty or am I misunderstanding?

In Reddingtons interview after all this happened he said that the one juror had ‘reasonable doubt’ but wasn’t willing to use that in their verdict.

NoseOrIsItKnows · 04/09/2026 08:52

I'm convinced that she understood what she was doing AND understood that what she was doing was wrong and unlawful. There's a reason that she didn't do any of this in front of Patrick or with him in the house, and I can't be convinced that it's because she heard a voice directing her to do so after he had already left the house. I don't think she was in some sort of trance or delusional state.

DannyDeever · 04/09/2026 08:53

Refusal to deliberate is not the same as not following the judge’s instructions on the law.

They are obliged to follow the Judge's instructions and can be removed if they don't. It's called "The Thomas Rule", and it will specifically applie if the "holdout is saying Idgaf about the burden of proof".

DannyDeever · 04/09/2026 08:54

pastadish · 04/09/2026 08:42

If reasoning is affected in such a way that a person is not capable of understanding what they’re doing at the time the are doing it then it does pass the test

Yes, but that's not what you said.

pastadish · 04/09/2026 08:56

DannyDeever · 04/09/2026 08:54

Yes, but that's not what you said.

Yes it is

DannyDeever · 04/09/2026 08:57

Savvysix1984 · 04/09/2026 08:49

In Reddingtons interview after all this happened he said that the one juror had ‘reasonable doubt’ but wasn’t willing to use that in their verdict.

He said that, but it's his job to make the case that the juror should be kicked off becaise it helps his client. On the other hand the prosecution seemed quite happy with the Juror's performance.

The judge's response seemed the correct one to me.

DannyDeever · 04/09/2026 09:10

NoseOrIsItKnows · 04/09/2026 08:52

I'm convinced that she understood what she was doing AND understood that what she was doing was wrong and unlawful. There's a reason that she didn't do any of this in front of Patrick or with him in the house, and I can't be convinced that it's because she heard a voice directing her to do so after he had already left the house. I don't think she was in some sort of trance or delusional state.

That's my take. Plus she answered the phone and seemed OK during the "episode" so she was capable of communicating in a lucid way whilst also concealing what she was doing. There were also rational texts going back an forth. The theory that she had a brief psychotic episode just long enough to kill the kids without being guilty feels bat shit to me. Far more likely she was a different kind of mentally ill.

I think if I was a juror I'd go with NGRI purely out of sympathy for a nightmare situation but I think there IS evidence beyond reasonable doubt that she fails the M’Naghten test. (So I'd be the one failing to follow instructions 'cos I'd go for NGRI despite thinking that she was clearly lucid enough to fail the M’Naghten test.)

BreatheAndFocus · 04/09/2026 09:12

pastadish · 04/09/2026 08:30

So what you’ve described is essentially a state of psychosis. When various factors come together at a point to affect reasoning and personality and lead to a decision others would not come to and one which you would not reach at a better place in life.

No, I haven’t. I’ve described a bad decision. Being exhausted and stressed isn’t psychosis. We’ve all made decisions we might not have made in other circumstances, albeit far less awful decisions.

I don't believe she was suffering from psychosis when she killed her children. That is, she was legally sane and knew right from wrong.

Victorius19 · 04/09/2026 09:14

I've had a very firm belief for many years that Juries should never be made up from members of the public. They should be paid professionals who can understand the law and its consequences, not pig shit ignorant folk who believe what they read on TikTok.

BreatheAndFocus · 04/09/2026 09:15

NoseOrIsItKnows · 04/09/2026 08:52

I'm convinced that she understood what she was doing AND understood that what she was doing was wrong and unlawful. There's a reason that she didn't do any of this in front of Patrick or with him in the house, and I can't be convinced that it's because she heard a voice directing her to do so after he had already left the house. I don't think she was in some sort of trance or delusional state.

Neither do I. She said the command voice stopped after she’d killed the last child. So, now she was apparently free of the voice that compelled her to kill her children, why didn’t she phone 911 or Patrick or attempt to help her children?

BreatheAndFocus · 04/09/2026 09:18

DannyDeever · 04/09/2026 09:10

That's my take. Plus she answered the phone and seemed OK during the "episode" so she was capable of communicating in a lucid way whilst also concealing what she was doing. There were also rational texts going back an forth. The theory that she had a brief psychotic episode just long enough to kill the kids without being guilty feels bat shit to me. Far more likely she was a different kind of mentally ill.

I think if I was a juror I'd go with NGRI purely out of sympathy for a nightmare situation but I think there IS evidence beyond reasonable doubt that she fails the M’Naghten test. (So I'd be the one failing to follow instructions 'cos I'd go for NGRI despite thinking that she was clearly lucid enough to fail the M’Naghten test.)

I agree with all of that except I wouldn’t go with NGRI out of sympathy because I wouldn’t believe it was true. I might be persuaded to go with Manslaughter not Murder 1 but the pre-planning would make that stick in my gut.

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