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Ukraine Invasion: Part 61

1000 replies

MagicFox · 28/04/2026 15:57

Welcome to thread 61 with many thanks to all So many thanks to all contributors and a special salute to those providing daily updates. For the 61st time, Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦

**
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C. Discussion and debate is welcome, but please keep it respectful
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notimagain · 28/06/2026 14:40

The following French documentary is about a year old and was rebroadcast here last night as part of a one hour programme about Ukraine and drone warfare... if nothing else it maybe shows that despite the tech life on the front line can still be grim and dangerous.

At least one of the individuals shown in this one short piece of the complete doc has been killed in the last year.

If I can find a link to the whole programme I'll post it.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=nsROXfYGwfE

blueshoes · 29/06/2026 03:42

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-june-28-2026/

Key Takeaways

  1. Russian President Vladimir Putin used his speech to the ruling United Russia Party Congress on June 28 to project Russia’s strength, reinforce his resolve to achieve Russia’s objectives militarily, and reject diplomatic solutions to end his war in Ukraine.
  2. Putin vaguely acknowledged the effects that Ukraine’s long-range strike campaign is having on Russia but attempted to dismiss concerns and promote a facade of stability.
  3. The United Russia Party formally claimed to be Putin’s party for the first time since 2007.
  4. United Russia’s top five State Duma candidates for the September 2026 State Duma elections are mostly long-standing Putin loyalists.
  5. Ukrainian forces continued their long-range strike campaign against Russian oil infrastructure on the night of June 27 to 28. Russian forces launched two Zirkon/Onyx anti-ship missiles, six Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles, and 142 drones against Ukraine overnight.
  6. Russian forces recently advanced in the Kupyansk direction.
Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 29/06/2026 10:32

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

⚡️Kuwait approves defense deal with Ukraine amid fresh Iranian strikes.
Kyiv has been deepening security partnerships across the Gulf region, offering to bolster local defenses against Iranian drones that Russia also uses in attacks against Ukrainian cities.

⚡️Putin acknowledges gas station queues, fuel shortages amid Ukrainian strikes as Russia works to stabilize supply.
Russian President Vladimir Putin on June 28 acknowledged gas station queues in Russia and shortages of various fuel types as Ukrainian strikes continue to increase pressure on Moscow's energy resources.

⚡️As State Duma elections near, Putin claims West seeks to politically destabilize Russia.
Speaking at a congress of the ruling United Russia party, Putin said the West had failed to defeat Russia "on the battlefield" and was therefore trying to "stir up the political situation and sow internal unrest."

⚡️Ukrainian brigade commander reportedly found dead, authorities say.
The commander of Ukraine's 154th Separate Mechanized Brigade, Colonel Volodymyr Kononnikov, was found dead on June 28, Ukrainian military and law enforcement authorities said.

⚡️Zelensky proposes Cossack leader monument instead of toppled Lenin statue in Kyiv.
President Volodymyr Zelensky proposed erecting a monument to Cossack Hetman Ivan Mazepa on the site where a statue of Vladimir Lenin was toppled during the EuroMaidan Revolution in Kyiv, calling it a step toward restoring "historical justice."

Public support for LGBTQ equality has grown dramatically since Russia's full-scale invasion, while thousands of LGBTQ Ukrainians now serve in the military. Yet many still lack basic legal protections, including the right to have their relationships legally recognized.
In the latest episode of Ukraine This Week, Kateryna Denisova examines how Ukraine's attitudes toward LGBTQ people have changed — and why the country's laws have struggled to keep pace.

⚡️Update: Russian strikes on Zaporizhzhia kill 2, injure 16.
The fatalities included a 53-year-old woman, Governor Ivan Fedorov said.

Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦‬

⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — JUN 29, 2026
■ Engagements slightly above average, but casualties below it; 🇷🇺 gains of 56 km²
■ Record 7-day losses of land-based equipment, led by unarmored vehicles (incl. fuel trucks); drone losses below average
■ 🇷🇺 overnight attacks: interception rate could be better, but fewer locations were affected
■ 🇷🇺 drone launches, shelling, & MLRS strikes above average; 11 🇺🇦 strikes reported & 400 drones launched into 🇷🇺

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 29/06/2026 10:40

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

❗️A new wave of mobilization is expected to be announced in Russia in September, according to Ukraine Context.
According to the outlet, the announcement is expected after the State Duma elections. Before the vote, the Kremlin reportedly does not want to further provoke public discontent or undermine its image of “stability.”

An important railway bridge near the village of Sabivka in the Luhansk region has partially collapsed following a drone attack.
The bridge is used for Russian logistics between the occupied territories of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions.

🇺🇸 The Pentagon is rethinking its approach to weapons production, betting on low-cost missiles and defense startups, the Financial Times reports.
“The American arsenal is based almost entirely on expensive, sophisticated, and complex weapons systems. We have entered a different era of warfare, and the United States must adapt,” Michael Horowitz, a former Pentagon official responsible for defense innovation, said.
The United States produces only about 600 Tomahawk missiles per year, each costing around $2.6 million. The other two main missile types, the PrSM and JASSM, cost approximately $1.6 million and $1.9 million per missile, respectively.
The US is currently developing several experimental projects and missile and drone procurement programs. Some of these missiles are expected to be suitable for inexpensive mass production at factories that could be rapidly expanded across the country in the event of wartime.

❗️Russia is now recruiting soldiers from Latin America for the war as well, according to CNN.
Journalists report that they have identified at least 12 cases of Peruvians who traveled to Russia to work as cooks, security guards, or construction workers, only to find themselves on the front lines in Ukraine a few weeks later.
Most of them came from low-income families and were promised high salaries and legal employment.
One recruit, for example, told his mother he would work as a cook and hoped to obtain Russian citizenship. Soon afterward, he sent her a video from the trenches, and then all contact with him was lost.
Peruvian prosecutors are investigating these cases as human trafficking. Lawyers estimate that up to 800 Peruvian citizens may have already joined the Russian army through Russian recruitment networks.

A HIMARS operated by one of the subordinate units of the 16th Army Corps destroyed a command post of the Russian occupiers.

A major European importer of liquefied natural gas (LNG) is urging the EU to postpone its planned 2027 ban on Russian LNG imports, according to the Financial Times.
The head of the Port of Bilbao, one of Europe’s key LNG import hubs, Iñán Jiménez, said that abandoning Russian gas would make Europe “overly dependent on the United States.”
Jiménez said he is not opposed to phasing out Russian LNG but urged the EU “not to do it in one day.”
“The quality of Russian gas is good, and in terms of price, it is usually cheaper than gas from the United States,” he said.
Although Algeria remains Spain’s main gas supplier via pipeline, Russia accounted for 27.8% of Spain’s gas imports in May, up 58.5% compared with May 2025, according to data from Spanish gas network operator Enagás.
Russian LNG deliveries to Europe have increased amid the war in the Middle East.
Spanish Energy Minister Sara Aagesen Muñoz said the rise in imports is temporary and that the ban on Russian gas is still scheduled to take effect on January 1, 2027.
Most of Russia’s gas exports to Europe now come from Novatek’s Yamal project in Siberia.
Hungary and Slovakia continue to receive Russian gas via pipeline, although both are also expected to end imports by September 2027.
According to analytics firm Kpler, 8.7 million tonnes of LNG were exported from Yamal during the first five months of 2026.
Bilbao has become the fourth-largest European destination for Russian LNG, after the Belgian port of Zeebrugge and the French ports of Montoir and Dunkirk.
In 2024, Russian supplies accounted for more than three-quarters of Bilbao’s gas imports. That share fell to 48% in 2025 following the announcement of the import ban and broader EU efforts to diversify energy supplies, including increased imports from the United States.
In 2025, US LNG accounted for 49% of Bilbao’s gas imports.
However, between January and May 2026, Russian LNG’s share rose again to 59% of total imports, while the US share declined to 40%.
According to the European Commission, the share of US LNG in EU imports increased from 6% in 2021 to 29%, making the United States the bloc’s second-largest supplier of imported gas after Norway.

Latvia and Ukraine will build a UAV factory near the Russian border, according to Delfi.
Latvian Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs announced the plans during a visit to a military base in Latgale.

The Main Intelligence Directorate (HUR) released footage of a special operation to eliminate Russian forces in the Zaporizhzhia region.
At the end of May 2026, the Russian occupation army deployed airborne reconnaissance units, considered among its elite forces, to storm the village of Stepnohirsk in the Zaporizhzhia region. According to the HUR, the objective was to create propaganda footage of the alleged capture of the settlement for presentation to Russia’s top leadership.

Under the cover of darkness, rainy weather, and anti-radiation capes, the Russian group managed to infiltrate Stepnohirsk. However, fighters from the HUR’s Artan special unit were prepared for the operation. They allowed the enemy to advance before luring them into a trap.
Before engaging, the HUR special forces offered the Russian troops the opportunity to surrender. Instead, the Russian soldiers opened fire.
According to the HUR, the designated area of Stepnohirsk was cleared of the Russian reconnaissance group, and the flags the Russians had planned to use for propaganda photos were captured as trophies. The Artan unit completed the operation without suffering any losses.

A satellite image shows the Slavyansk Oil Refinery in Russia’s Krasnodar Krai after the overnight drone attack

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 29/06/2026 10:45

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

Xi Jinping met Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko in Beijing, Chinese state media reported.
Lukashenko, a key ally of Russia, allowed Moscow to launch its 2022 invasion of Ukraine from Belarusian territory. China continues to present itself as neutral in the war despite close ties with Moscow and its partners.

Putin has ruled out easing the war.
Rejecting what he called Ukraine’s proposal to limit long-range strikes, the Russian leader said Moscow will keep fighting to seize four Ukrainian regions, adding: “Saving the Kyiv regime is not our plan.”

Resurgent Ukraine: Why Cautious Optimism is Warranted
Generally, the mood in Kyiv, despite the obvious grueling impact of such a long war, is now once again one of cautious optimism, and pride that the country has held its own and has now taken the fight into the very heart of Russia.

Trump told G7 leaders that he might abandon the “Anchorage Understandings” – a purported agreement allowing Moscow control over the Donbas in any peace deal – due to frustration with Putin.

Resurgent Ukraine: Why Cautious Optimism is Warranted

Ukraine’s paradox: growing military strength is still tempered by diplomatic vulnerability.

https://www.kyivpost.com/opinion/79031

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 29/06/2026 10:48

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

Overnight, the Defense Forces shot down 82 out of 108 Russian drones.
25 impacts were recorded at 11 locations.
▪️ In Kropyvnytskyi, an infrastructure facility was damaged.
▪️ In the Kholodnohirskyi district of Kharkiv, a warehouse building caught fire. No casualties were reported.
▪️ In the Sumy region, enemy attacks killed two civilians, and nine other people were injured.

Throughout [yester]day, the Russians attacked a number of Ukrainian regions — there are fatalities and wounded. Here are the main consequences:
🔴Zaporizhzhia region. During the day, Russian forces struck Zaporizhzhia with an airstrike. Two people were killed and 17 others were injured, including two children. In the evening, a Russian guided bomb hit the Shevchenkivskyi district — three people were wounded, a private house was destroyed, and vehicles were damaged.
🔴Kharkiv region. Since morning, the Russians struck Kharkiv three times with drones — two people were injured, and houses, a gas station, and vehicles were damaged. In the evening, an enemy strike hit the Zmiiv community — one person was killed and seven others were wounded, including two children.
🔴Dnipropetrovsk region. As a result of shelling in the Nikopol district, two residents were injured.
🔴Sumy region. A woman was killed in a strike on the Seredyna-Buda community.
🔴Kherson. Russian drones struck the city at least twice during the day — two people were injured.

Putin complained about Ukrainian strikes on Russian military and oil refining facilities, as well as "unprecedented pressure" from the West, but at the same time assured that he would allegedly cope with all of it.
He also, as usual, promised to bring the Russian economy to a "fundamentally new technological level," increase the birth rate and living standards of Russians, build roads, and so on.

As a result of the Russian attack on Zaporizhzhia on Sunday, one person was killed and 11 others were injured, including two children.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
DesdamonasHandkerchief · 29/06/2026 12:24

You beat me to it @ReleaseTheDucksOfWar. Do you want me to do tomorrow instead?

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 29/06/2026 12:58

Oh honestly! my memory.

Does that work for you? Yes please if it does !

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 29/06/2026 13:01

Yes no problem 👍

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 29/06/2026 13:02

Thanks!

It does help mentally to have one day off from it. Thank you for taking the day over.

blueshoes · 30/06/2026 04:27

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-june-29-2026/

Key Takeaways

  1. Russian President Vladimir Putin is carefully constructing a reality that seeks to portray a Russian victory in Ukraine as inevitable while downplaying the growing domestic economic costs of the war.
  2. Putin appears to have accepted the reality that the August 2025 US-Russian Alaska Summit did not result in tangible or actionable diplomatic agreements.
  3. Putin implicitly rejected two recent Ukrainian ceasefire proposals that aim to bring about an end to the war, continuing to highlight his own intransigence to enter good-faith negotiations.
  4. Putin and other Russian officials continue to publicly show their commitment to Russia’s original war goals.
  5. Putin continues to make greatly exaggerated claims of Russian advances that do not match battlefield realities in order to construct a narrative of pervasive Russian military success.
  6. Putin’s exaggerated claims of advance aim to falsely paint Russia’s battlefield position as the same – if not better – than it was during the August 2025 US-Russia Alaska Summit.
  7. Putin is constructing this narrative of battlefield success in order to obscure the growing domestic strain Russia faces due to Ukraine’s long-range strike campaign.
  8. The Kremlin is uplifting coopted and loyal Russian milbloggers who can help Putin construct his controlled reality.
  9. Russian forces launched 108 drones against Ukraine overnight.
  10. Neither Russian nor Ukrainian forces made confirmed advances on June 29.
PerkingFaintly · 30/06/2026 08:37

Parcel bomb injures Ukrainian oligarch and family in Monaco - reports
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cpv37wx03v7o

I'm usually very restrained and like to wait for information from the police / courts rather than spam the internet with wild speculation.

But having been right before, if I were a betting woman I'd put money on this being a Russian-commissioned attack probably carried out by a know-nothing Ukrainian schmuck, very like the attacks on Starmer's former car and property. To be followed by Russian propaganda about those crazy Ukrainians.

Win-win for the Kremlin.

The damaged window of a residential building

Parcel bomb injures Ukrainian oligarch and family in Monaco - reports

The blast was caused by an explosive device which appeared to contain bolts and pellets, the head of Monaco's government said.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cpv37wx03v7o

MissConductUS · 30/06/2026 09:45

More bad news for Putin and Russia, I'm afraid. A combination of the Ukrainian air interdiction campaign, falling oil prices as Iranian oil returns to the market, and former Soviet republics cutting ties with Moscow has put the Russians on the road to obscurity. The economic damage from the war and the hit to the economy from war casualties and men fleeing abroad isn't helping either. From the WSJ:

The Russian Reckoning - The Ukraine war, less oil revenue and restive ex-Soviet republics all shrink Moscow’s sway.

I don't know how the Russians can continue to effectively garrison Crimea given the logistical pressure it's under, and loss of control there would be an epic blow for Putin. Seizing it was the most popular thing Putin's ever done.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 30/06/2026 10:51

This trouble with Poland is looking increasingly nasty. Something stinks - there's something going very wrong here.

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 30/06/2026 11:05

Out this morning so round ups this afternoon.

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 30/06/2026 13:21

Live:Ukraine

The Russians struck Dnipro — four people were killed, 21 were wounded.

An enterprise in Dnipro was hit.

In Berestyn, Kharkiv region, a 72-year-old woman was injured in the attack. Additionally, the Russian army struck an ambulance vehicle in Darivka, Kherson region — it was damaged.

In Zaporizhzhia, the Russians hit a minibus — two people were injured.

Photo: Kherson Regional Military Administration / Telegram

In May, Estonian border guards spotted machine guns on a Russian civilian gas tanker in the Gulf of Finland.

The photos show the Russian tanker "Marshal Vasilevsky," which delivers liquefied gas to Kaliningrad and belongs to Russia's Gazprom.

The footage is described as the first evidence of heavy weapons being installed on a Russian civilian vessel in European waters. It is believed the vessel is armed in case of possible attacks from Ukraine.
(Photo 1)

⚡️ Following a nighttime strike in Novoazovsk, Donetsk region, a bridge collapsed, halting traffic. The occupation authorities acknowledge that this key route for Russian military forces is no longer operational.

Occupation administration head Vasyl Ovcharov says one part of the bridge has fallen, while the other has through-and-through damage from previous strikes and can no longer withstand traffic.

Engineers have not yet assessed the condition of the supports or determined whether the bridge can be repaired.

▪️This is the second time in a month that the bridge over the Hruzkyi Yelanchyk River has come under attack. The Russians had repaired the structure in 2024 to increase cargo flow along the "land corridor."

⚡️ Russia's shadow fleet has been expanded with another tanker, the Arctic Express, to transport sanctioned liquefied natural gas (LNG) — the fleet now numbers at least 21 vessels, according to a Bloomberg analysis.

The vessel has docked at the sanctioned floating storage unit Saam in Russia's Murmansk region. Saam receives LNG from another sanctioned project, Arctic LNG 2. Both facilities are under US sanctions.

The tanker Arctic Express switched its flag to Russian in May — previously, the vessel, built in 2007, was operated by a Greek company.

It is now owned by Smp Techmanagement LLC, based in St. Petersburg. In addition to this vessel, the company owns three other shadow fleet vessels.

▪️In May of this year, four additional tankers — previously owned by Oman — joined Russia's shadow fleet. They also transport LNG.

⚡️Russia has already postponed its deadlines for the complete occupation of the Donetsk region 15 times, President Volodymyr Zelensky said.

In 2022, Russia planned to fully capture the Donetsk region by March 31, May 9, June 1, September 15, and December 31. In 2023, the Kremlin postponed the deadline twice — first to March 1, then to the end of the year.

In 2024, Russia also changed its plans twice. In 2025, there were three set dates — September 1, December 1, and December 25. This year, the deadline was first moved to March 31, then to September 1, and now to December 31.

⚡️ An explosion occurred in a residential building in Monaco; media report an assassination attempt on businessman Vadym Yermolaiev, who was previously listed among the wealthiest Ukrainians.

The suspect is being sought.

On the evening of June 29, around 9:00 PM, a powerful explosion occurred in Monaco. Surveillance cameras captured a man leaving a backpack on the street, after which the explosion took place. Three people were injured, reports Monaco-Matin.

According to local media, the wounded are Ukrainian citizens — a man and a woman aged 50 to 60, as well as a teenager.

As reported by the Ukrainian outlet Novyny.Live, citing sources, the attack was likely an assassination attempt on Ukrainian businessman Vadym Yermolaiev.

Yermolaiev is the founder and owner of the Alef group, operating in real estate, alcohol production, agribusiness, trade, and other sectors. In 2023, he was sanctioned by a decision of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine for 10 years. According to Ukrainian authorities, the sanctions are linked, among other things, to allegations that part of his business continued to operate in annexed Crimea after 2014. Yermolaiev publicly denied the accusations. Prior to the sanctions, he regularly appeared in rankings of Ukraine's wealthiest people by Forbes, Focus, and other publications.

🇵🇱Poland will not transfer MiG-29 fighter jets to Ukraine because Kyiv refused to share drone production technologies, said Polish Minister of National Defense Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz.

He stated that he had offered Ukraine a partnership approach: "MiGs in exchange for drones." According to him, Kyiv initially accepted the offer but later rejected it. The Polish minister also acknowledged that Ukraine has significant potential in the field of unmanned systems and has recently begun cooperating with Middle Eastern countries in this area.

▪️Poland had previously mentioned transferring MiGs to Ukraine as early as December 2025. The Polish General Staff noted that these aircraft would be decommissioned and replaced with F-16 and FA-50 fighters. On December 14, Deputy Defense Minister Cezary Tomczyk said that the transfer involved 6–8 out of the 14 aircraft Poland possessed.

▪️In February 2026, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk announced a new, 48th aid package for Ukraine, which included MiG-29 fighters. However, on June 17, Poland's Ministry of Defense stated that Ukraine was not interested in receiving MiG-29s from the country. They said Kyiv wanted aircraft adapted to modern combat conditions, and Warsaw was not prepared to bear such costs.

⚡️ Overnight, the Russians launched 154 drones at Ukraine; air defense neutralized 138.

Another 13 drones struck 10 locations, with debris falling in two places.

Sumy. Russian forces struck infrastructure facilities, sparking fires. They have since been extinguished.

Chernihiv region. A man and a woman, aged 67 and 84, were injured in a drone attack.

⚡️Zelensky has confirmed the strike on the "Dubna" space communications center in the Moscow region.

This is a special satellite communications facility used, among other things, for intelligence and coordination of the activities of Russia's occupation forces in Ukraine.

The Defense Forces of Ukraine have already struck four such Russian centers — not only in the Moscow region but also in the Vladimir region.

⛸️The ban on Russian and Belarusian figure skaters participating in international team competitions for the 2026–2027 season has been lifted. They will compete as "neutral" athletes, the International Skating Union (ISU) announced.

The ISU stated that it had taken into account the recommendations of the International Olympic Committee, as well as "changes in the Olympic movement and the different approaches of other international sports federations." They added that the participation of neutral athletes in the Winter Olympic Games "passed without any related incidents."

▪️On March 28, 2023, the International Olympic Committee allowed Russians to compete in a "neutral" status — without a flag, anthem, or national symbols. Exceptions were active military personnel of the Russian army and athletes who supported the war. At the Winter Olympics this year, 13 "neutral" Russians competed.

🇪🇺🇺🇦Ukraine has received the second tranche under the European aid package of €90 billion.

€3.9 billion have been allocated to fund defense needs — the production of Ukrainian drones, strengthening the defense industrial base, and ensuring urgent front-line supplies.

▪️On June 25, Ukraine received the first tranche under this mechanism — €3.2 billion went toward budgetary support. In total, this year Ukraine is to receive €45 billion under the EU loan: €28.3 billion for defense, and €16.7 billion for budgetary support.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
DesdamonasHandkerchief · 30/06/2026 13:31

United 24 Media:

🔷 Europe could enter winter with its lowest gas storage levels in 15 years, according to the Financial Times.

Gas storage facilities across Europe are expected to be only 76% full by October, according to consultancy Wood Mackenzie. That would mark the lowest pre-winter storage level since at least 2011, according to Gas Infrastructure Europe (GIE). The slow pace of replenishment is attributed to the disruption of liquefied natural gas (LNG) supplies through the Strait of Hormuz during the US-Iran conflict.

After winter, EU gas storage facilities began the replenishment season at just 28% capacity, lower than is typical for this time of year. According to GIE, they are currently 48% full on average.

At the same time, gas prices in Europe rose sharply following the US-Israeli strikes on Iran in late June but have remained relatively stable in recent days. This has created another challenge, as prices at European gas hubs have fallen too low to attract LNG cargoes, particularly from the United States.

“We are at a crucial stage of the summer for Europe’s gas supply plans. While the announced agreement between the US and Iran has pushed gas prices lower and raised hopes of significant Gulf LNG supplies returning to the market, the longer supply constraints persist, the lower European gas storage levels will be at the start of winter, increasing the likelihood of a sharp rise in prices during the heating season,” said Argus Media analyst Natasha Fielding.

❗️A Russian aerial bomb struck the Kholodnohirskyi district of Kharkiv.

One person was killed and five others were injured, some of them seriously, Kharkiv Mayor Ihor Terekhov said.

A tram, power lines, more than 15 vehicles, a company building, and nearby residential buildings were damaged.

🔶 Russia has decided to further intensify military training for schoolchildren.

Starting on September 1, half of the mandatory “Fundamentals of National Security and Defense” course for students in grades 6–11 will be devoted to military training, Russian Education Minister Sergei Kravtsov announced.

Whereas previously about 20% of the curriculum was dedicated to such instruction, it will now account for at least 50%. Students will be taught drone operation, basic weapons handling, first aid, and the use of hand grenades. Field training is also planned.

Business Insider notes that the course resembles the Soviet-era basic military training program, which included drill exercises, weapons handling, and field training.

According to the publication, the Kremlin is continuing to militarize the education system and prepare children for life in a permanent state of war.

👀 Russia sentences occupier Alexander Lunin for demanding a meeting with Putin and threatening a coup.

In Russia’s Voronezh region, blogger and former military officer Alexander Lunin was arrested for 11 days for “propaganda of extremist symbols,” reports Verstka.

The day before, he published an appeal to Putin demanding a meeting and threatening a coup. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov described the statements as “strange.”

🔷 The German government is considering reintroducing compulsory military service if it becomes clear by mid-2027 that volunteers alone are insufficient to meet the armed forces' personnel needs, according to DW.

This was stated on June 27 by the chairman of the Bundestag's Defense Committee, Thomas Röwekamp. He admitted that he still has “serious doubts” about whether enough volunteers will come forward. A decision on the issue must be made by July 31, 2027.

On June 24, the Bundeswehr published a preliminary assessment of the new military service model launched on January 1. The program involves sending questionnaires to 18-year-olds to inform them about military service and strengthen the Bundeswehr's long-term personnel readiness. Nearly 300,000 questionnaires have already been sent out, and 530 recipients have committed to voluntary military service this year.

Röwekamp believes it is worth waiting another year before drawing conclusions based on the results. However, he said that in the first half of 2027, the authorities will have to thoroughly assess whether volunteers alone will be enough to meet the ambitious targets for expanding both the armed forces and the reserve.

German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius hopes the reform will help meet NATO's target of having 460,000 military personnel available in the event of a crisis or war by the end of 2035. To achieve this, the number of active-duty personnel must increase from the current 185,000 to at least 260,000, while the number of reservists must grow from 60,000 to 200,000.

“My main concern is increasing the number of conscripts and regular military personnel, because they are the ones who fly fighter jets, operate ships, and drive tanks,” Röwekamp said.

According to him, Germany must recruit an additional 10,000 military personnel in these categories every year.

Röwekamp also commented on the student protests against compulsory military service that have taken place in many German cities in recent months, saying he understands that many young people feel uncertain about the issue.

According to him, they need to be convinced that this is not a political agenda but “a military necessity caused by the threat from Russia.”

🔶 Today, for the first time since his appointment, Denmark’s Defense Minister Jeppe Bruus is visiting Ukraine. “This is a very important signal of support for our people. We discussed preparations for the Drone Deal, which is almost ready,” President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said.

“We share the view that the Drone Deal between Ukraine and Denmark should be concluded as soon as possible.

We also paid special attention to joint work on anti-ballistic capabilities. It is necessary to strengthen European capabilities in this area.

In addition, we discussed the contents of the next, already 30th, military aid package.

I am grateful for the assurance that the new Danish government will continue its policy of strong support for Ukraine and our people,” Zelenskyy said.

⚡️Putin has ordered Russian forces to capture the Donbas by December 31, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said.

According to the president, Russia has already set 15 different deadlines for capturing the Donetsk and Luhansk regions since the start of the war.

“If Putin wants to send another million of his soldiers to continue fighting against this wall, then the million Russians who have not yet been mobilized into the Russian army and are now standing in line for gasoline should think about what awaits them next,” Zelenskyy said.

❗️Russian soldiers survive an average of 20–35 minutes on the front lines, according to the New York Post.

Citing Russian pro-war military bloggers, the publication reports that the Russian army is currently losing about 30,000 soldiers per month. Moreover, the time between signing a military contract and death often does not exceed three weeks.

British historian Peter Frankopan told Foreign Policy that, due to the widespread use of drones, Russia is losing about eight soldiers for every Ukrainian soldier killed. Despite these heavy losses, however, Russian forces are making no significant territorial gains.

Former Director of the US Defense Intelligence Agency Robert Ashley believes that Ukraine is “on the path to victory,” as Russia remains unable to achieve its key military objectives.

🔷 Russian forces have attacked public transport in Zaporizhzhia again, injuring seven people.

The injured include two girls aged 14 and 16, as well as five adults aged 23 to 64.

🔶 A road bridge was hit in the Novoazovsk area of the Donetsk region, as well as two railway bridges in the Luhansk region, the General Staff reported.

In addition, a warehouse of material and technical supplies belonging to Russian forces in the Novosvitlivka area of the Luhansk region was struck.

Three enemy UAV control points were also hit in the areas of Huliaipole in the Zaporizhzhia region, Tyotkino in the Kursk region (Russia), and Bakhmut in the Donetsk region, as well as the control point of an electronic warfare unit near Velyka Novosilka in the Donetsk region.

According to additional data analysis, strikes on two enemy facilities in the area of the village of Minyaevo in the Moscow region, which provided military communications, have been confirmed. One building was destroyed on June 26, while another sustained significant damage and partial destruction.

🔷 Putin’s yacht has sailed under military escort for the first time since the start of the full-scale war.

The convoy included the superyacht Graceful, which is linked to the Russian leader, the patrol ship Voevoda, and the destroyer Nastoychivy.

According to Danish media, this is the first time the yacht has left the Baltic Sea since February 2022. During that period, the vessel remained virtually invisible on radar and operated with its transponder switched off.

The yacht is estimated to be worth 750 million Danish kroner (approximately €100 million).

Denmark dispatched its patrol vessel Freja to monitor the Russian convoy.

❗️The UN has confirmed 129 executions of Ukrainian prisoners of war by Russian forces since 2022, including cases where detainees were no longer taking part in combat.

From November 2025 to January 2026 alone, 37 executions were documented in 18 separate incidents. Almost all released prisoners reported torture and ill-treatment, and cases of sexual violence were also recorded.

The report also details human rights violations in the temporarily occupied territories, including arbitrary detention, forced mobilization, and the imposition of Russian education systems.

🔶 Negotiations on granting Ukraine licenses to produce long-range weapons, including SCALP missiles, are ongoing, Ukrainian Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov said during a joint briefing with Denmark’s Defense Minister Jeppe Bruus.

“I can say that during our president’s visit to France, there was a very productive conversation with President Macron about the possibility of granting our country licenses to produce SCALP missiles. Discussions with both the French government and the manufacturer are continuing, and all the details are being clarified.

There has indeed been progress, but it is still too early to say more, because this is a complex process involving intellectual property rights, production licensing, and other bureaucratic procedures.

We cannot disclose any details yet, but it is unprecedented that this was announced after the G7 summit and that such talks have begun at all. As for SCALP missiles, the discussions have already become much more detailed. These are the first steps.

We are continuing these discussions carefully in order to achieve a concrete result. There are many technical issues related to the components and production of this weapon.

Following the G7 summit and the adoption of the declaration on strengthening air defense and granting production licenses, consultations are also continuing with our American partners at the National Security and Defense Council level.

At this stage, it is crucial to support Ukrainian manufacturers through the Danish model and other formats, because we know how to scale up what is already working effectively.

Today, we are relying on our own capabilities as much as possible. That is why we are working to invest every additional dollar in Ukrainian production and expand that production.”

⛽️Gas stations operated by Russian oil giants in Moscow have introduced fuel purchase limits.

At Gazprom Neft gas stations within the city, customers can buy no more than 30 liters of gasoline or 60 liters of diesel per visit. Fuel is also no longer sold in canisters.

At Gazprom Neft highway gas stations, customers are limited to 30 liters of gasoline or 200 liters of diesel per visit. One of the company’s gas stations in Moscow has also imposed a 30-liter limit on gasoline purchases.

🔷 Russian forces struck the historic district of Zaporizhzhia, injuring four people.

The blast wave also damaged a two-story building and five vehicles.

🔶 The EU is allocating the first tranche of €3.9 billion to support the acquisition of advanced drone technology aimed at strengthening Ukraine’s defense, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said.

“A key factor in Ukraine’s success in resisting a full-scale Russian invasion is its ingenuity. It is this ingenuity that we want to support by providing the first tranche. Additional funds will follow,” von der Leyen said.

Ukraine’s Prime Minister Yulia Svyrydenko noted that the tranche is part of the new financial instrument Ukraine Support Loan and is specifically directed toward defense support.

The funds will be used to produce Ukrainian drones, strengthen the defense industry, and ensure urgent deliveries for frontline needs.

On June 25, Ukraine’s state budget also received €3.2 billion in support under the same loan mechanism. In total, €7 billion has been disbursed to Ukraine through this instrument so far.

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 30/06/2026 13:39

Kyiv Independent:

⚡️Ukraine reveals new figures for North Korean troop losses in Russia's Kursk Oblast.

HUR's claimed figure surpasses the previous South Korean and British intelligence assessment, which estimated a total of about 6,000 casualties for North Korean troops, both killed and injured, in Kursk Oblast.

⚡️Lukashenko holds talks with Xi Jinping in China after meeting Putin.

Xi described Belarus-China relations as being at a "historic peak" and called the two countries "iron friends," according to the Belarusian pro-government Telegram channel Pul Pervogo.

⚡️Russian attacks kill 15, injure 118 across Ukraine, as casualties rise from morning strike on Dnipro.

The Air Force said Russia launched 108 drones against Ukraine overnight, of which it reported downing 82.

⚡️ Ukrainians, Belarusians expelled from Poland after Russia-limked activities, Warsaw says.

Tomasz Siemoniak, Poland's minister overseeing intelligence agencies, said that since autumn 2025, the group paid Ukrainian refugees in Poland to take part in pro-Russian demonstrations to influence Ukrainian migrants, with funding allegedly coming from Russia.

⚡️ Scandalous lawmaker expelled from Zelensky's party faces bribery charges.

Lawmaker Mykola Tyshchenko was also charged with money laundering and lying in his asset declaration.

⚡️Ukraine, Denmark discuss drone deal, joint anti-ballistic capabilities.

President Volodymyr Zelensky and Danish Defense Minister Jeppe Bruus discussed a potential drone cooperation agreement and expanded efforts to strengthen anti-ballistic capabilities during a June 29 meeting.

If Europe wants real peace, it must make a frozen war unattractive

“A negotiated ceasefire that produces a de facto freeze of the war would be the worst outcome for Ukraine and the best outcome for Russia,” writes Joni Askola, Finnish geopolitical analyst, in this op-ed.

⚡️Poland signs $4.8 billion submarine deal with Sweden's Saab, deepens Baltic Sea defense cooperation.

Swedish defense company Saab announced on June 29 that it had signed a $4.83 billion contract with Poland to supply three A26 submarines, as Poland and Sweden deepen defense cooperation under the Baltic Sea Pact.

⚡️New EU steel quotas are a crippling hit to Ukrainian industry.

The EU's new steel allocation, set to enter into force on July 1, was introduced in response to global steel overcapacity, which has been hurting EU producers.

⚡️Norway-Ukraine agreement aims to bring armed robots onto the battlefield.

The Norwegian defense company Kongsberg and Ukraine's DevDroid announced on June 30 a collaboration to produce ground drones equipped with state-of-the-art weapons systems, aiming to supply Ukraine and other European countries.

⚡️ How Ukraine's ultimatum changed the equation for Belarus

The relay equipment that helps guide Russian drones over Belarus went dark on June 22, days after President Volodymyr Zelensky issued a public ultimatum, threatening to disable the equipment with Ukraine's own forces if the demand is not met.

Whether the shutdown proves lasting remains unclear, but it offers the first visible sign of a broader shift: Ukraine is no longer treating Belarus as merely Russia's staging ground, but is increasingly willing to pressure Lukashenko directly.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
DesdamonasHandkerchief · 30/06/2026 13:46

Kyiv Post:

⚡️ Putin boasted Russian troops are just miles from Kupyansk.

But Ukrainian commanders dismissed the claim, telling Kyiv Post there has been no surge in Russian attacks and Moscow’s forces are being kept from massing near the frontline city.

⚡️ Ukraine says Russia’s ability to control Shahed drones in real time has been significantly weakened.

According to the Air Force, relay stations along the Belarusian border were switched off, limiting operators’ ability to redirect drones during attacks.

⚡️ Belarus has threatened a “full response” if Ukraine crosses its border, as Minsk and Kyiv exchange accusations over rising militarization along the frontier.

Ukraine says Belarus is expanding military infrastructure and storing ammunition near key corridors, while also reporting the shutdown of Russian drone guidance systems on Belarusian territory.

⚡️ Stray Ukrainian drones entering NATO airspace are “a price worth paying” for strikes that are damaging Russia’s economy and military, Estonia’s foreign minister said.

Tallinn also rejected Kremlin claims of Baltic involvement and warned Europe against acting as a mediator in peace talks.

⚡️ Ukraine’s FP-5 Flamingo cruise missile achieved its best result yet, with 3 of 5 missiles hitting Russia’s Barrikady military plant.

Analysts credit improved tactics and low-altitude routing, marking a major leap after earlier poor accuracy against Russian air defenses.

⚡️ Closed shops and “for rent” signs in a Moscow suburb show pressure on Russia’s small businesses as war spending, inflation, and higher taxes rise.

Owners say fewer customers and higher costs are forcing them to cut back, go informal, or shut down completely.

⚡️ Russia came under a large-scale drone attack overnight, with Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin claiming air defenses had shot down around 50 drones heading toward the capital.

Explosions and a fire were reported in Yegoryevsk, while at least two strikes reportedly hit Dubna in the Moscow region.

The city is home to the Kronstadt drone factory and the Raduga missile plant, which produces Kh-101/555, Kh-69, and Kh-59MK cruise missiles used in Russia’s attacks on Ukraine.

⚡️ Britain is preparing to rebuild its armed forces around lessons from Ukraine’s drone war.

The planned overhaul would shift the UK away from costly traditional platforms and toward drones, AI systems, and rapid battlefield innovation.

⚡️ Historical disputes between Poland and Ukraine are increasingly shaping Poland’s domestic politics ahead of the 2027 elections, analysts say.

The latest row intensified after Zelensky named a Ukrainian military unit after a UPA-linked figure, triggering a political backlash in Poland and the revocation of one of his highest state honors.

⚡️ China called on Ukraine and Russia to resume peace negotiations "as soon as possible" during a UN Security Council meeting.

Beijing also reiterated its support for an immediate ceasefire, saying the humanitarian consequences of the war continue to worsen and urging both sides to demonstrate the political will needed to reach a peaceful settlement.

Residents of Russian-occupied Crimea have been told to “be patient” as fuel shortages are expected to continue, according to occupation head Sergey Aksyonov.

At the same time, locals report uneven electricity distribution and public transport disruptions, while fuel shortages are also worsening across Russia.

MissConductUS · 30/06/2026 14:59

⚡️ Britain is preparing to rebuild its armed forces around lessons from Ukraine’s drone war.
The planned overhaul would shift the UK away from costly traditional platforms and toward drones, AI systems, and rapid battlefield innovation.

From the linked article:

While the plan pushes Britain closer to NATO’s 3.5% defense spending target by 2035, officials have yet to set out a clear funding path.

So it's all vision and promises with no money. And not a single RN nuclear submarine is at sea, protecting underwater infrastructure and tracking the Russians. All five of them are either under long-term overhaul or tied up to the piers for repairs.

All of our submarines are missing - Five nuclear-powered hunter-killers are out of action leaving the Arctic front door wide open to Russia

It's not a good look, and if I'm honest, I'm not optimistic that it will improve anytime in the next few years.

UK to Rebuild Armed Forces Around Ukraine-Style Drone Warfare

Russia’s war in Ukraine has accelerated the rethink across NATO, exposing the limits of costly legacy systems.

https://www.kyivpost.com/post/79267

notimagain · 30/06/2026 15:33

So it's all vision and promises with no money.

I'm just watching this unfold alongside some analysis and many reckon this is going to turn out as feared....

On the financial side some have noticed money has been robbed from the pot that was meant to be being spent renovating HM Forces accommodation- Messes, barracks blocks, married quarters...that's not going to do anything for retention

As for kit - "Drones" and AI have become real buzzwords .... the PM says UK PLC will invest lots in that and that will convince a lot of voters the governement is really up to speed, planning for the future etc
..

Unfortunately the worry being expressed by many is that it looks like the money being promised to finance the futuristic high tech stuff is being found by maybe not maintaining current capabilities(particularly in the case of the Navy) and/or capabilities against current threats or threats that may well still be credible and present in two or three decades time..

Also knowing how UK defence procurement works there might well be a very long lead time on some of the very innovative stuff, and in the meantime the UK ends up gapping even more capabilities......

I'm still watching this, and commentary, might have some more thoughts of my own or others later.

AskingQuestionsAllTheTime · 30/06/2026 15:47

The Russians struck Dnipro — four people were killed, 21 were wounded.
An enterprise in Dnipro was hit.

I hope that the enterprise wasn't https://www.etsy.com/shop/rlleatherstudio

I am wearing one of their wristband/bracers as I type, and I would be sad indeed not to be able to replace it when the poppers (inevitably) drill through the leather and start to make holes in my wrist. I've had many leather bracers over the past fifty years, and theirs is quite the nicest. It is this one, in black: https://www.etsy.com/uk/listing/4404042807/bracelet-for-women-leather-cuff-leather

(They are very good, solid work and worth thribble the money.)

MissConductUS · 30/06/2026 17:28

notimagain · 30/06/2026 15:33

So it's all vision and promises with no money.

I'm just watching this unfold alongside some analysis and many reckon this is going to turn out as feared....

On the financial side some have noticed money has been robbed from the pot that was meant to be being spent renovating HM Forces accommodation- Messes, barracks blocks, married quarters...that's not going to do anything for retention

As for kit - "Drones" and AI have become real buzzwords .... the PM says UK PLC will invest lots in that and that will convince a lot of voters the governement is really up to speed, planning for the future etc
..

Unfortunately the worry being expressed by many is that it looks like the money being promised to finance the futuristic high tech stuff is being found by maybe not maintaining current capabilities(particularly in the case of the Navy) and/or capabilities against current threats or threats that may well still be credible and present in two or three decades time..

Also knowing how UK defence procurement works there might well be a very long lead time on some of the very innovative stuff, and in the meantime the UK ends up gapping even more capabilities......

I'm still watching this, and commentary, might have some more thoughts of my own or others later.

Cutting funds from military housing and traditional capabilities, this type of stealing from Peter to pay Paul doesn't surprise me. I read last year that the government inflated the amount spent on defense by including tangentially related expenditures, such as funding for MI5 and MI6. Morale must be awful.

While the drones and AI are important, they're not going to shoot down an incoming Russian missile or counter a Russian submarine that's attacking shipping or underwater infrastructure.

MissConductUS · 30/06/2026 17:51

😁

Ukraine Invasion: Part 61
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