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Ukraine Invasion: Part 52

1000 replies

MagicFox · 10/10/2024 15:59

Welcome to 52. Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦

Agreed thread guidance:

A. The agreed purpose of the thread is for the sharing of information and commentary on current events

B. If you post a link please tell us where it leads/give a precis of the content

C. Discussion and debate is welcome, but please keep it respectful

OP posts:
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247
dibly · 27/10/2024 23:49

Thanks again for all the updates, although dispiriting from many front. @DucklingSwimmingInstructress hope you’re on the mend

MissConductUS · 28/10/2024 08:10

I'd be interested to hear @notimagain's thoughts on this, but the fact that a primary objective of the Israeli strike was SEAD (suppression of enemy air defenses) was meant to discourage Iran from striking Israel again, as their high value targets are now defenseless.

In other words, this raid didn't attack nuclear or oil installations or political targets, but those installations are now completely vulnerable.

@notimagain. I was surprised that Israel conducted this raid with manned aircraft instead of missiles. Does Iran not have enough of an air force to defend their airspace?

notimagain · 28/10/2024 08:42

Last I heard the fighter side of Iranian Air Defence network was mainly some very old F-14s and some quite old Mig-29s….

Given sanctions the state of the F-14s would be very much a ??? And not sure the MiGs would be in much better shape…

Not heard how deep the Israeli aircraft actually went into Iran because it’s rumoured a lot of the ordnance used was very much very long range stand-off munitions launched from the likes of F-15s…

In any event you wouldn’t expect the Iranian’s to offer up anything that would be much a threat to something like a properly maintained and operated F-35s.

Interesting to see the (formerly believed almost invincible) Russian S-300 and S-400 systems took a hammering.they are maybe not so good after all.

Hope those who need to in NATO have been taking notes.

Igotjelly · 28/10/2024 10:04

Professor Timothy Snyder is the latest interview on The Rest is Politics Leading. He speaks at length about Ukraine and its implications as well as setting it into its historical context. He talks about why he thinks Trump wants Ukraine to lose and Putin to win. He also covers the fact that the way Trump frames his rhetoric around Zelenskyy (e.g. as a war profiteer) is deeply antisemitic and how this fits into the wider history in Europe of antisemitism. Absolutely fascinating and would highly recommend.

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 28/10/2024 10:38

United24 Media:

🔹 The G7 has pledged to step up efforts to prevent Russia from evading oil sanctions, as reported by The Guardian. In 2022, the G7, along with the EU and Australia, agreed to pressure buyers of Russian oil to adhere to a price cap aimed at limiting Russia’s oil revenues without triggering a surge in global oil prices.

However, some countries, notably China, continue to import Russian oil without respecting the price ceiling. In response, G7 finance ministers announced plans to implement additional measures to increase the costs for Russia associated with using a “shadow fleet” to circumvent sanctions.

Officials highlighted that Russia employs a fleet of shadow tankers to bypass sanctions, often transporting oil without proper cargo or route declarations. These tankers sometimes transfer oil at sea to avoid detection. While the U.S. and EU have sanctioned several such vessels and their owners, including the state-owned Sovcomflot, these efforts have not been sufficient.

The G7 ministers also expressed their intention to “intensify efforts to prevent financial institutions from facilitating Russia’s sanctions evasion” and are considering significantly expanding the list of sanctions against vessels involved in transporting Russian oil in violation of the restrictions.

🔸 Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is open to considering peace initiatives from China, Brazil, and South Africa to integrate them into Ukraine’s Peace Formula, according to Andriy Yermak, head of the Office of the President, in an interview with Corriere Della Sera.

Additional key points from Yermak’s interview include:

• For negotiations to begin, the situation must first return to what it was before Russia’s full-scale invasion. Following that, discussions can address restoring Ukraine’s sovereignty to its 1991 borders.
• “We are effectively at war with North Korea,” Yermak stated, noting that North Korean soldiers will soon be deployed to the Kursk front to fight against Ukrainian forces.
• Ukraine requires more weapons, and the current restrictions on strikes inside Russian territory should be lifted.
• Yermak dismissed Putin’s remarks, stating, “We cannot shape a peace proposal by being influenced by those who desired this war.”
• He also confirmed that elections will take place immediately after the war ends.

🔹 Finnish Foreign Minister Elina Valtonen has urged the EU to increase its investments in containing Russia. She stated that the Kremlin is using hybrid tactics to target Germany and France, aiming to create the perception that supporting Ukraine is futile.

“It’s time for us to grow up. Putin is a dictator who only understands force. No one wants peace more than Ukraine. But if someone thinks the war can be stopped by halting arms supplies, I can only say one thing: this will not end the war, it will end Ukraine,” Valtonen emphasized.

She also expressed her belief that EU countries will need to allocate more funds for defense in the future, exceeding NATO’s current target of 2% of GDP.

🔸 Mercenaries from North Korea are being transported to the front in trucks with civilian license plates, according to an interception by Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence (HUR). The HUR reported that Russian police recently stopped a KamAZ truck carrying North Korean military personnel on the Kursk-Voronezh highway.

In the radio interception, members of the 810th Separate Marine Brigade could be heard questioning whether the stopped truck was registered in their inventory and why the driver lacked the proper documentation, as stated by the intelligence agency.

🔹 An Israeli strike has likely disrupted Iran’s ability to supply Russia with new ballistic missiles in the near future. According to Anshel Pfeffer, an Israeli Middle East expert and Haaretz journalist, the impact of the strikes means that Iran will not be able to provide ballistic missiles to Russia for several months, as it will need time to restore its production capacity.

Additionally, Tehran will face challenges in supplying ballistic missiles to Hezbollah in Lebanon and the Houthis in Yemen. Media reports indicate that Israel has disabled 12 facilities used for producing missile fuel, a key component of Iran’s arsenal. It is estimated that rebuilding these installations could take at least a year.

🔸 Sweden Allocates Over $10.3 Million for Ukraine's Winter Humanitarian Needs

The Swedish government has committed more than $10.3 million to support the humanitarian needs of the Ukrainian population during the winter. The funds will primarily assist internally displaced people, ensuring access to heating, electricity, food, water, medicine, and hygiene products for the most vulnerable. Additionally, the allocation includes resources for demining efforts and addressing the reproductive health needs of Ukrainian women.

🔹 Russian Forces Shoot Civilians in Selidove; Investigation Launched

The Prosecutor General's Office has initiated an investigation following reports of Russian soldiers shooting civilians in Selidove. A video circulating on Telegram shows Russian troops allegedly firing automatic weapons at a car, injuring one of the two occupants. Ukrainian soldiers later rescued the wounded individual from the line of fire.

Additionally, two women were reportedly shot in the private sector of Selidove after Russian occupation forces entered the area.

🔸 Overnight, an airstrike on Kharkiv left seven people injured, including a child, according to the State Emergency Service. The attack partially destroyed apartments on the top floor of a nine-story residential building, and windows throughout the building were shattered.

Emergency and rescue operations are ongoing, with over 25 rescuers and six units of emergency equipment working to manage the aftermath.

🔹 Zelenskyy Urges India's Modi to Take Action Beyond Words to End the War

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy emphasized that any efforts to end the war in Ukraine should go beyond verbal commitments, pointing to the significant influence that Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi can exert. In an interview with the Times of India, Zelenskyy underscored India's potential to actively contribute to peace due to its large population, economic power, and international clout.

Zelenskyy suggested that tangible steps like blocking the Russian economy, restricting access to cheap energy resources, and hindering the Russian defense-industrial complex could substantially diminish Russia's war capabilities. He encouraged India to use its leverage in these areas.

The Ukrainian President also raised the possibility of peace negotiations between Ukraine and Russia taking place in India under Prime Minister Modi's facilitation. However, he stressed that any talks should adhere to Ukraine's terms, with the ongoing conflict happening on Ukrainian territory. Zelenskyy cited the Peace Summit as the existing platform for such discussions.

Additionally, he reiterated that Ukraine's victory plan and pursuit of NATO membership aim to solidify the country's position in future negotiations, clarifying that the victory plan is not negotiable with Russia. "We seek NATO membership so that no one can change their mind in the future," Zelenskyy stated, underscoring the strategic importance of these objectives.

🔸 Polish President Andrzej Duda Firmly Opposes Territorial Concessions to Russia

Polish President Andrzej Duda expressed a strong stance against any territorial concessions to Russia in Ukraine, emphasizing that such a move would be a grave error. In an interview with The Sunday Times, Duda advocated for comprehensive support to help Ukraine achieve a complete victory, underlining that "giving Moscow even an inch" is unacceptable.

Addressing suggestions from some Western politicians that Ukraine should consider ceding part of its territory to Russia, Duda criticized this approach. He argued that no sovereign country should be expected to appease Russia by sacrificing its land. "If you are so generous to Russia, why not give it a piece of your land? On what basis does Russia deserve something—especially someone else's territory?" he questioned.

While Duda did not directly comment on Ukraine's ability to reclaim all its occupied territories, he pointed to the numerical superiority of Russian forces. Nonetheless, his remarks underscored a clear rejection of compromising Ukraine's sovereignty as a solution to the conflict.

MissConductUS · 28/10/2024 10:40

Russian arms exports are about half of what they were during the cold war. Back then, their gear was considered rather basic but serviceable. When the Soviet Union broke up, they no longer had the cash or the expertise to keep updating them to modern standards. Ironically, a lot of Russian weapons were designed and built in Ukraine.

The other factor in the decline in demand for Russian kit is that every time it's been used in combat, it has under performed rather dramatically. I can't imagine anyone buying the S-300 or S-400 AD systems unless they have no other options.

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 28/10/2024 11:06

Live:Ukraine

🔹 Over the past week, Russia dropped more than 1,100 guided aerial bombs on Ukraine and launched around 500 drones and 20 missiles targeting Ukrainian cities and villages

🔸 Elections in Ukraine will take place immediately after the end of the war, stated Andriy Yermak, Head of the Office of the President.

He mentioned that President Volodymyr Zelensky wants all soldiers, as well as refugees abroad, to have the opportunity to vote. However, he emphasized that for now, all resources must be focused on Ukraine’s military efforts.

🔹 The Russians targeted a hangar near Chuhuiv in the Kharkiv region, burning tons of harvested crops, including wheat, sunflower seeds, and corn
The yield belonged to several local farmers.

🔸 Mercenaries from North Korea are being transported to the front lines in trucks with civilian license plates, according to Ukrainian intelligence (DIU), citing an intercepted conversation between soldiers of the Russian occupying forces

🔹 Russian state propaganda openly says that Russia's goal is not limited to war in Ukraine. The real goal is to destroy NATO.
State TV continues to prepare Russian society for war with the West. It is naive to think that Russia will stop in Ukraine if it wins.

t.me/liveukraine_media/25720

🔸 🇬🇪In Georgia, opposition MPs from the “Coalition for Change” have renounced their seats, announced coalition member Nana Malashkhia.

“We collectively declare that these elections are fraudulent and the results illegitimate. We will not legitimize the stolen votes of the Georgian people and are renouncing our parliamentary seats,” Malashkhia stated.

According to Georgia’s Central Election Commission, the “Coalition for Change” secured 11% of the vote, equating to around 20 seats in the new parliament. Meanwhile, the ruling “Georgian Dream” party holds 53.9%, though independent exit polls indicated no more than 42% support for them.

🔹 🇬🇪 Georgian President Salome Zourabichvili has refused to recognize the official results of the parliamentary elections and announced a rally on Tbilisi’s central square on Monday, October 28, at 7:00 PM.

“I do not recognize these elections. Recognizing these results is akin to accepting Russia’s presence here, submitting Georgia to Russian rule. This is not why I came to this country. Our ancestors did not live for this, and we will not accept it. No one can take away Georgia’s European future,” she declared.

🔸 Meanwhile, UAVs have once again targeted a distillery in the Novokhopyorsk district of Voronezh Oblast, Russia, according to Russian media

The regional governor stated that approximately 10 drones were neutralized by air defenses and electronic warfare systems. However, debris fell on an “annex to an industrial facility” and another enterprise, causing a fire.

🔹 Zelensky: "Sanctions are working… but only partially because the world is implementing them partially."

🔸 The Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) detained an FSB agent who, posing as a UN volunteer, was spying on defenders of Pokrovsk

The agent was a 34-year-old local volunteer with the UN World Food Programme, recruited by occupying forces. Under the guise of delivering humanitarian aid, he traveled around the district center and nearby villages, recording coordinates of Ukrainian infantry and artillery positions and passing the information to an FSB officer.

The perpetrator faces life imprisonment with asset confiscation.

🔹

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 28/10/2024 11:21

From a piece in The Times today:

As well as targeting Iranian missile and drone factories, Israel was reported to have destroyed all four S-300 air defence systemss_ bought by Tehran from Russia, leaving Iran exposed to airstrikes on its nuclear and oil infrastructure should there be a retaliation.
Iran has also been left powerless to export ballistic missiles to Russia for up to two years following the Israeli strikes on weapons factories across the country.

More than 100 aircraft, including F-35 Lightnings, F-16 Falcons, F-15 Eagles, air-to-air refuellers and drones, took part in the Israeli attacks in the early hours of Saturday. In particular, Israel appears to have targeted Iranian “planetary mixers”, used to make solid fuel for ballistic missiles.
Early analysis of the impact of the strikes suggests that Iranian missile production has been badly affected, reducing Tehran’s ability to export weapons. Without the ability to mix fuel, Iran may be forced to appeal to China or other suppliers to help it restock, a process that could take many months.

MissConductUS · 28/10/2024 14:08

Some interesting signals intelligence has revealed that all is not going well between the Russian army regulars and their fraternal socialist comrades in arms from NK:

‘What the f**k to do with them?’ Russian soldiers heard condemning North Korean recruits in intercepted audio

MissConductUS · 28/10/2024 18:13

The NK "special forces" aren't looking that formidable. No wonder the Russian regulars are not impressed. They appear to be new conscripts whose training has centered on assassinations and blowing up infrastructure. That's not going to be of much use in either Kursk or Ukraine.

MissConductUS · 28/10/2024 18:19

Sorry, for some reason the link didn't stick when I posted. Here is is:

https://www.wsj.com/world/asia/north-korean-soldiers-arrive-on-russias-front-line-how-ready-are-they-to-fight-84f885fa?st=mSCHka&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink

blueshoes · 29/10/2024 00:07

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-october-28-2024

Key Takeaways:

  • NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte announced that South Korean intelligence officials shared evidence with NATO officials on October 28 that North Korean units are operating in Kursk Oblast.
  • Ukrainian forces conducted another series of drone strikes against Russian distilleries on the night of October 27 to 28, reportedly to reduce Russian aviation capabilities.
  • Russian President Vladimir Putin briefly acknowledged Russia's labor shortages on October 28, but highlighted Russia's low unemployment rates in an attempt to reframe this challenge in a beneficial light and claim that the Russian economy is able to sustain a long war in Ukraine.
  • The Moldovan Constitutional Court stated it that it will review the results of the October 20 European Union (EU) referendum on October 31, and the third runner up in the first round of the presidential election announced that he would not endorse a candidate in the runoff.
  • Georgian civil society, opposition, and international election observers continue to reject the results of the 2024 Georgian parliament elections amid a large-scale demonstration in Tbilisi on October 28.
  • Russian forces recently marginally advanced near Kupyansk, southeast of Pokrovsk, and southwest of Donetsk City.
blueshoes · 29/10/2024 00:46

Kyiv Independent Telegram highlights

⚡️ Georgian elections accompanied by vote buying ( kyivindependent.com/georgian-elections-accompanied-by-vote-buying-intimidation-international-observers-say/ ), intimidation, European monitors say.

⚡️ US, EU call for investigation ( kyivindependent.com/us-eu-georgian-elections/ ) of Georgian elections after reports of intimidation, irregularities.

⚡️JD Vance declines ( kyivindependent.com/jd-vance-declines-to-call-putin-enemy-calls-for-negotiations-with-russia/ ) to call Putin enemy, calls for negotiations with Russia.

⚡️JD Vance says Taiwan more vital ( kyivindependent.com/jd-vance-says-taiwan-more-vital-to-us-than-ukraine-due-to-key-role-in-chip-production/ ) to US than Ukraine due to key role in chip production.

⚡️To protect Taiwan, help Ukraine ( kyivindependent.com/taiwan-at-risk-if-russia-prevails-in-ukraine-former-uk-defense-secretary-says/ ) defeat Russia, former UK defense secretary Grant Shapps says.
"Now is therefore the time not only to provide long-range permission for our Storm Shadow missiles but to do so without awaiting a decision from Washington."

⚡️ 'That's what they do' — Trump's running mate Vance ( kyivindependent.com/vance-russian-election-interference/ ) brushes off Russian election interference. "I think a lot of countries are going to try to manipulate our voters. They're going to try to manipulate our elections. That's what they do," [Bet he won't be so blase if it were the other way round]

⚡️Russia's attacks kill 5 civilians ( kyivindependent.com/russias-attacks-kill-5-civilians-in-kherson-oblast/ ) in southern Kherson Oblast, which remains divided by the front line and frequently endures Russian artillery, drone, and missile strikes.

⚡️Canada ships first armored combat support vehicles ( kyivindependent.com/canada-ships-first-armored-combat-support-vehicles-to-ukraine/ ) to Ukraine, specially configured as ambulances, the Canadian Armed Forces’ Operation UNIFIER announced on Oct. 26.

⚡️Russia's attack on Kharkiv Oblast injures 21 ( kyivindependent.com/russias-strikes-in-kharkiv-oblast-injure-21-ukrainian-officials-report/ ), including five children, as Russia launched multiple air attacks on Ukraine’s northeastern Kharkiv Oblast. The attack damaged a high-rise and destroyed at least three apartments in the city of Kharkiv, according to Mayor Ihor Terekhov.

⚡️ Ex-North Korean soldiers seek Ukraine deployment ( kyivindependent.com/ex-north-korean-soldiers-seek-deployment-in-ukraine/ ) to influence former comrades, media reports. A group of 200 ex-North Korean soldiers asked to be deployed in Ukraine to help demoralize and influence Pyongyang's troops fighting for Russia, the Hong Kong-based South China Morning Post reported on Oct. 28. "North Korean soldiers are there essentially as mercenaries, but we would go as volunteers with a goodwill mission," said Lee Min-bok, one of the initiative's key figures who posted an appeal for deployment to the Ukrainian Embassy in Seoul.

⚡️ Harris likely to struggle ( kyivindependent.com/harris-aid-ukraine/ ) with pushing Ukraine aid through Congress if elected, Bloomberg reports. The U.S. might eventually scale down support for Ukraine even if Democratic candidate and Vice President Kamala Harris wins the presidential election. @MissConductUS

⚡️ Almost 80% of Vovchansk's buildings destroyed, damaged ( kyivindependent.com/almost-80-of-vovchansks-buildings-destroyed-damaged-in-russian-attacks/ ) in Russian attacks, analysis says. See image

⚡️ Finnish court orders seizing Russian assets worth tens of millions of dollars at request of Ukraine's Naftogaz ( kyivindependent.com/finnish-court-orders-seizing-russian-assets-at-request-of-ukraines-naftogaz/ ) company.

⚡️ Ukraine sabotages railway bridge ( kyivindependent.com/berdiansk-bridge/ ) in occupied Berdiansk, intelligence source claims.

⚡️ Trump plans to end Russia's war ( kyivindependent.com/trump-plans-to-end-russias-war-in-ukraine-by-freezing-it-if-he-wins-presidential-election-ft-reports/ ) in Ukraine by freezing it if he wins presidential election, FT reports. Fred Fleitz, a former CIA analyst who served in Trump's White House and is now at the America First Policy Institute Center for American Security, suggested in an interview with the FT that Ukraine's membership in NATO could be taken off the agenda for several years to force Russia to the negotiating table.

⚡️650,000 Russian soldiers have been killed or wounded ( kyivindependent.com/650-000-russian-soldiers-have-been-killed-or-wounded-in-war-against-ukraine-zelensky-says/ ) in war against Ukraine, Zelensky says. "Russia itself has killed a lot of Russians. A lot of mobilized Russian soldiers were killed by the Russian army itself because they were afraid to attack, to perish under the bullets, or to be wounded. So, they retreated and then were killed by their army," President Volodymyr Zelensky told Times of India.

⚡️Ukrainian forces have not yet engaged ( kyivindependent.com/ukrainian-forces-have-not-yet-engaged-in-combat-with-north-korean-soldiers-or-taken-them-prisoner-military-says/ ) in combat with North Korean soldiers, military says.

Georgians take to streets in protest ( kyivindependent.com/georgians-take-streets-in-protest-as-pro-russian-party-crowned-election-winner-amid-wide-scale-fraud/ ) as pro-Russian party crowned election winner amid wide-scale fraud. The Central Election Commission announced on the evening of Oct. 27 that the ruling pro-Russian Georgian Dream party had won 54.08% of the vote, while a coalition of four pro-European opposition parties had won only 37.58%.

⚡️US won't impose new restrictions ( kyivindependent.com/us-wont-impose-new-restrictions-on-ukraines-use-of-american-weapons-if-north-korea-joins-war-pentagon-says/ ) on Ukraine's use of American weapons if North Korea joins war, Pentagon says.

⚡️North Korea's current arms sales to Russia estimated at up to $5.5 billion ( kyivindependent.com/north-koreas-current-arms-sales-to-russia-estimated-at-up-to-5-5-billion-friedrich-naumann-foundation-suggests/ )

⚡️Croatia to provide Ukraine with 30 tanks, 30 infantry fighting vehicles ( kyivindependent.com/croatia-to-provide-ukraine-with-30-tanks-30-infantry-fighting-vehicles-in-exchange-for-german-leopard-tanks/ ) in exchange for German Leopard tanks.

⚡️UPDATED: Russia strikes downtown Kharkiv with FAB-500 bomb ( kyivindependent.com/russia-strikes-center-of-kharkiv-with-aerial-glide-bombs-injuring-at-least-5-people/ ), damages historic Derzhprom building (the State Industry Building), a site under UNESCO's enhanced protection.

⚡️1 killed, 12 injured in Russia's attack on Kryvyi Rih ( kyivindependent.com/1-killed-12-injured-in-russias-attack-on-kryvyi-rih/ ).

Ukraine Invasion: Part 52
notimagain · 29/10/2024 06:38

Grant Shapps says……

For once I agree with Shapps sentiments (stopped clock and all that) but not many people took much notice of him when he actually was defence Secretary and I think most people now would go “who”?

blueshoes · 29/10/2024 09:08

FT opinion - The west underestimates North Korea at its peril

Kim Jong Un’s intervention in the Ukraine war reflects a dangerous turn in Pyongyang’s approach to the world
...
There has been an unfortunate tendency in the west to treat North Korea as a joke — a land of ill-fitting suits and bad haircuts that is more likely to launch a comic meme than a nuclear weapon.

As well as minimising the suffering of the North Korean people, treating the Kim regime as a joke seriously underestimates its capabilities. Poverty in North Korea does not mean that the regime is backward in every respect. Instead, it testifies to Kim’s utter disregard for the welfare of ordinary people, in favour of military development. Despite the regime’s isolation it has succeeded in building nuclear weapons — something that richer and better-connected countries such as Iran and Syria have failed to achieve. The North Koreans have also developed ballistic missiles and considerable offensive cyber capabilities.

https://archive.is/Z6MnC

Ukraine Invasion: Part 52
DrBlackbird · 29/10/2024 09:38

“Most people believe the media is biased. Anyone who doesn’t see this is paying scant attention to reality, and those who fight reality lose,”

Says Jeff Bezos, one of the world’s richest men, as he instructs the WP not to endorse either candidate less than two weeks before the election expecting the readers to ignore his demonstration of bias.

Even if Harris struggled to get support through Congress for Ukraine, a Trump presidency is a disaster for the country, likely a disaster for NATO and a triumph for Putin. And it’s going to be a Trump presidency. I’m hoping against hope to be proven wrong, but I cannot see enough voters in the swing states voting for a woman.

MrsPeterHarris · 29/10/2024 11:14

Me neither sadly @DrBlackbird and especially a woman of colour! Here's hoping we're wrong!

MagicFox · 29/10/2024 11:33

I think this too @DrBlackbird and am dreading next month

OP posts:
Igotjelly · 29/10/2024 12:05

MagicFox · 29/10/2024 11:33

I think this too @DrBlackbird and am dreading next month

Never mind next month it’s next week 😩😩😩😩

DesdamonasHandkerchief · 29/10/2024 12:10

United24 Media:

🔹 NATO Confirms North Korean Troops Operating in Russia's Kursk Region

NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte has confirmed that North Korean military forces are already active in Russia's Kursk region, according to the latest intelligence. He expressed concerns over the growing military collaboration between Russia and North Korea, describing it as a significant threat to both Pacific and Euro-Atlantic security.

Rutte called on Russia and North Korea to immediately cease their military actions, emphasizing the risks posed by the deepening cooperation between the two nations.

🔸 North Korean Troops in Russia: Poorly Trained and Ill-Prepared, WSJ Reports

North Korean soldiers recently deployed to Russia to fight in Ukraine are poorly trained, young, and physically weak, according to a report by The Wall Street Journal. Intelligence and military analysts, based on video footage, confirm that many of the troops appear to be in their early 20s or even teenagers, showing signs of malnutrition.

These troops are reportedly unprepared for combat in flat terrain, such as that found along the Ukrainian-Russian border. Their training has primarily focused on operations in mountainous areas, like those in South Korea, where they were trained in assassination and infrastructure destruction, rather than conventional warfare.

Additionally, North Korea’s military is equipped with outdated equipment, leaving its soldiers unfamiliar with the more advanced gear used in Russia. As a result, their adaptation to new combat environments and equipment may prove challenging.

South Korea’s Defense Minister, Kim Yong-hyun, referred to this initial deployment as “just cannon fodder.” Experts believe that while this initial group may lack experience, it could signal the beginning of deeper cooperation between Pyongyang and Moscow, potentially leading to the deployment of more skilled North Korean troops in the future. [Conflicting reports about the abilities of recently deployed NK troops]

🔹 Japan to Allocate $3 Billion to Ukraine from Frozen Russian Assets
Japan has pledged approximately $3 billion in credit to Ukraine, utilizing proceeds from frozen Russian assets. This contribution is part of a larger $50 billion loan initiative from the G7 nations to support Ukraine amid the ongoing conflict.

🔸 President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has arrived in Iceland for his first working visit, where he will participate in the fourth Ukraine-Northern Europe Summit. The visit aims to strengthen regional cooperation and support Ukraine's ongoing efforts in the war against Russia.

Key discussion points at the summit include backing the Victory Plan, financing the production of weapons and long-range armaments in Ukraine, winter preparedness, maritime security measures, and efforts to limit Russia's shadow fleet. Additionally, the agenda will cover defense support, as well as training and equipping Ukrainian soldiers to enhance their military capabilities.

🔹 EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs Josep Borrell clarified that Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán will not represent the European Union during his upcoming visit to Georgia. Borrell stated, "A president elected by rotation of union members has no power in foreign policy," emphasizing that Orban's visit is not on behalf of the EU.

The visit, scheduled for October 28, marks Orbán as the first foreign politician to travel to Georgia following its recent parliamentary elections. Orbán is known for his relatively favorable stance toward the Kremlin.

🔸 South Korea is contemplating lifting its longstanding ban on providing lethal aid to Ukraine in response to North Korea's involvement in the conflict, which includes sending troops to support Russia. According to Bloomberg, South Korean officials are considering sending some of their extensive artillery stockpiles directly to Kyiv. This move could engage the world's two largest artillery forces in the conflict, signaling a significant shift in South Korea's stance.

North Korea's recent decision to dispatch up to 10,000 troops to aid Russian forces has raised concerns among Ukraine's allies, prompting discussions on how to counter this escalation without further inflaming the situation. South Korean officials will brief NATO and the EU in Brussels regarding the details of this potential military assistance.

In light of the increased military cooperation between Russia and North Korea, Ukraine's allies are exploring various responses. Among the options being considered are protecting Ukrainian airspace from neighboring countries such as Poland and Romania, as well as revisiting the possibility of deploying Western personnel in Ukraine. Additionally, there are discussions within the U.S. about lifting restrictions on Ukrainian strikes on Russian territory, a measure previously viewed as a "red line."

🔹 Helsinki Court Seizes Russian Assets Following Ukrainian Claims

The Helsinki District Court has seized assets belonging to the Russian Federation in Finland, marking the first instance of Russian property being confiscated in connection with claims for the expropriation of property in Crimea outside of Ukraine. The claims were filed by Ukrainian companies seeking compensation for losses following Russia's annexation of Crimea in 2014.

The seized assets include real estate valued at "tens of millions of dollars." The move comes after Russia's refusal to voluntarily compensate Naftogaz, prompting the legal action to facilitate the recovery of property in favor of the Ukrainian energy company.

🔸 President Zelenskyy made several key statements at the “UkraineNordic countries” summit:

Brigade Support: “We are working on equipping our brigades, which is an urgent need. France has already helped equip one brigade and we have arrangements for another. We invite Nordic countries to join us in forming Nordic brigades, showcasing a commitment to Europe’s defense.”
NATO Membership: “We’re not discussing Ukraine’s NATO membership during the war, only an invitation to join NATO. This political decision would provide geopolitical clarity for Ukraine and Europe and strengthen our diplomatic stance with Russia as we approach the second Peace Summit.”
Iran-Russia Arms Transfer: “Iran has yet to transfer missiles to Russia, but ‘in-depth negotiations’ are ongoing.”

🔹 The Russians attacked the center of Kharkiv and Kryvyi Rih. A rescue operation is underway in both cities.
*
In Kharkiv, Russian bombs hit the Derzhprom building (House of State Industry). This building is an architectural monument and one of the first skyscrapers of the Soviet Union, which is under the protection of UNESCO. The building survived the Second World War, but not the Russians.*

🔸 Swiss President Viola Amherd has expressed support for lifting Switzerland’s ban on the re-export of weapons to Ukraine. She stated that the embargo negatively impacts both the country’s defense industry and national security.

However, Amherd emphasized that while Switzerland serves as a mediator in international conflicts, it would not supply weapons directly to any country engaged in active warfare.

🔹 If North Korea joins the war, there will be no new restrictions on Ukraine's use of American weapons, — Reuters with reference to the Pentagon. [No new restrictions, or a lifting of old restrictions? Surely the latter would make more sense to discourage NK involvement!]

🔸 At the fourth Ukraine-Northern Europe summit, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy emphasized that dictatorships first target societal principles through propaganda and repression, undermining people’s ability to defend their beliefs. He pointed out that dictators like Putin export this lack of principles, creating “gray zones” of instability and a disregard for values.

Zelenskyy noted that Europe has faced such threats before and is at a defining moment again. Russia is attempting to convince nations to compromise on principles by ignoring international law and turning a blind eye to injustice under the guise of “stability.” Moscow’s core message, he said, is that sacrificing Ukrainian territory will bring peace, but history has shown that this only leads to even greater threats.

“We have a chance to secure victory in Eastern Europe, preventing the need to fight in the Baltic, Poland, or the Balkans, where conflicts can be easily incited, or in African nations, whose issues affect European societies more than is often realized,” Zelenskyy stated. He argued that principles bring clarity, including the trustworthiness of commitments and the recognition of Ukraine’s rights as a democratic state.

Addressing NATO membership, Zelenskyy expressed frustration with leaders who equate an invitation with full membership. “This is not fair. It’s simply a way of saying no,” he asserted, calling for honest answers and urging leaders across Europe, especially in Berlin, to support Ukraine’s path to NATO membership as a protective measure against Russian aggression.

Zelenskyy outlined his “Victory Plan,” which includes military deterrence, economic cooperation, additional sanctions on Russia, and gaining support from skeptical partners. He concluded, “Let’s weaken Putin together. This will be our joint victory.”

🔹 Croatia has reached an agreement with Germany to supply Ukraine with 60 military vehicles, including 30 M-84 tanks and 30 M-80 infantry fighting vehicles, along with spare parts and ammunition.

In return, Germany will provide financial assistance to Croatia, which will be used to acquire up to 50 Leopard 2A8 tanks. The total cost of the new Leopard tanks will be offset by the compensation Germany provides for Croatia’s transferred equipment.

🔸 ❗️President Volodymyr Zelenskyy held a conversation with South Korean President Yoon Seok-yol, discussing North Korea's involvement in Russia’s war against Ukraine. They emphasized that the conflict has now extended beyond a bilateral struggle, signaling broader regional and global implications.

Zelenskyy informed Yoon that around 3,000 North Korean soldiers have already been moved to Russian training grounds near conflict areas, with projections that this number may increase to 12,000. In response to this escalation, Ukraine and South Korea agreed to strengthen their intelligence sharing and exchange expertise to formulate a joint strategic response. The two countries plan to exchange delegations soon to facilitate this cooperation.

🔹 Romania’s Ministry of Defense has prepared a draft law permitting the downing of drones that violate the country's airspace. This move comes amid growing concerns about unauthorized drones potentially posing security threats. The ministry emphasized that discussions at the EU level are ongoing to develop a unified approach for addressing drone-related risks and countermeasures. This draft law aims to strengthen Romania's defenses and aligns with broader efforts to ensure airspace security across Europe.

🔸 A South Korean delegation is set to visit Ukraine this week to discuss the deployment of North Korean troops to Russia and explore cooperative measures, according to Yonhap. President Yoon Suk-yeol noted that North Korean troop deployments might occur sooner than initially anticipated. During their visit, the delegation will also update the EU Security Committee on the developments. President Yoon voiced his hope that NATO will intensify monitoring efforts to track illegal exchanges between Russia and North Korea, reflecting growing regional concerns over the implications of this cooperation.

MagicFox · 29/10/2024 12:12

@Igotjelly true 😂

OP posts:
DesdamonasHandkerchief · 29/10/2024 12:27

Live:Ukraine:

🇵🇱“Why don’t you give up your own land?” Duda respondsds_ to proponents of territorial concessions by Ukraine — Sunday Times*

“If you’re so generous towards Russia, why not give it a piece of your own land? Why should any sovereign country satisfy Russia? On what grounds, may I ask, does Russia deserve anything — especially someone else’s territory?” the Polish president directed toward politicians urging Ukraine to “accept” the loss of some lands.

President Duda emphasized that any concessions to Moscow, no matter how small, would be a “catastrophic mistake” and would only encourage further Russian aggression.

🔹 🇮🇳🇺🇦 “Prime Minister Modi Could Influence the End of the War in Ukraine.”

President Zelensky shareded*_ his thoughts in an interview with The Times of India. Here are the key points:

The BRICS Summit in Russia — a Failure. Zelensky noted that Putin rejected even the peace proposals from China and Brazil, calling it a slap in the face for both countries.

India’s Influence. Zelensky stated that Prime Minister Modi could impact Russia’s economy and defense industry. Weakening these sectors would reduce Moscow’s war capabilities.

“Neutrality Isn’t an Option.” Zelensky added, “Remaining neutral essentially means siding with Russia.”

Ukrainian Children. Zelensky appealed to Modi for help to bring back “at least a thousand” Ukrainian children deported to Russia.

🔸 🇰🇵North Korea sentnt_ inexperienced and underprepared soldiers to Russia, unfit for war on open terrain – The Wall Street Journal*

According to video footage and intelligence, the soldiers sent by North Korea are young men under 20 years old in the early stages of military service. They appear relatively short and thin, suggesting issues with malnutrition in North Korea.

These troops were trained for operations involving sabotage and infrastructure destruction in Korea’s mountainous regions, which differs significantly from the trench warfare on the open terrain along the Russian-Ukrainian border. Most of these recruits likely have never left North Korea, and the North Korean military relies on outdated equipment.

South Korean Defense Minister Kim Yong Hyun referred to them as mere “cannon fodder.”

🔹 🇬🇪 A protest against the announced results of the parliamentary elections is starting in Tbilisi.

Demonstrators are gathering near the Parliament building on Rustaveli Avenue, which has already been blocked, according to Paper Kartuli. Media estimates suggest around 300 people are currently at the protest.

Additionally, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s motorcade was seen in central Tbilisi. According to reports, he left the Marriott Hotel on Rustaveli Avenue, passing by the protesters.

▪️ Earlier, the election commission declared the ruling party Georgian Dream as the winner of the elections. However, all four opposition parties have refused to accept the results. Georgian President Salome Zourabichvili also declined to recognize the election outcome and called for a protest this evening.

🇭🇷🇩🇪 Croatia, in agreement with Germany, will transfer 60 tanks and infantry fighting vehicles to Ukraine

According to the memorandum, Croatia has agreed to supply 30 M-84 tanks and 30 M-80 infantry fighting vehicles, along with spare parts and ammunition, in exchange for financial resources to purchase up to 50 Leopard 2A8 tanks.

The total price of the new Leopard 2A8 tanks is expected to be reduced by the amount Germany will pay Croatia for providing its equipment to Ukraine.

🇺🇸🇰🇵The Pentagon stated that the United States will not impose new restrictions on Ukraine’s use of American weapons if North Korea enters the war.

Meanwhile, the Pentagon spokesperson has not yet confirmed the presence of North Korean troops in Russia’s Kursk region. However, she noted that “they may be moving in that direction.”

U.S. President Joe Biden described the presence of North Korean forces in Russia as “very dangerous.”

🇨🇭 The President of Switzerland supports lifting the ban on re-exporting weapons to Ukraine

According to Viola Amherd, the embargo on re-exporting arms is harming the country’s industry and security.

However, she emphasized that Switzerland, which serves as a neutral mediator in global conflicts, will never supply weapons directly to a country actively engaged in war.

🇺🇦🇰🇷 Volodymyr Zelensky held a conversation with South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol.

They discussed the involvement of North Korean troops in Russia’s war against Ukraine, concluding that the conflict is expanding beyond just two nations.

Zelensky shared intelligence with Yoon Suk-yeol, revealing that Russia has deployed 3,000 North Korean soldiers to military sites near the conflict zones, with expectations of this number increasing to 12,000.

Ukraine and South Korea have agreed to strengthen intelligence sharing and expertise to develop a strategy in response to the escalation. The two nations plan to exchange delegations soon.

🇷🇴The Romanian Ministry of Defense has drafteded_ a law that would permit the shooting down of drones violating the country’s airspace.*

The bill, recently opened for public discussion, proposes a range of measures for unmanned aerial vehicles, including destroying, neutralizing, or taking control of them based on the threat level. Importantly, destruction is considered a last resort.

The draft law also outlines response options for manned aircraft crossing into Romanian airspace, such as aircraft identification, attempts at contact, interception, and warning shots. If an aircraft attacks or reacts aggressively to interception, it could be subject to destruction.

🔸 According to updated reports from Ukrainian Telegram channels, an ammunition depot of the 123rd Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade was hit in Luhansk

In response, the occupation authorities have decided to evacuate residents of the Kamennobrodskyi district who live near the industrial zone, as reported by the “head of the LNR,” Leonid Pasechnik.

🔹 Zelensky expressed hope that Trump, if he wins the U.S. presidential election, will continue supporting Ukraine, as he would not want to lose to Putin.

When asked about the potential risk of losing U.S. support if Trump is elected, Zelensky responded: “Trump says a lot, but I haven’t heard him say he would cut support for Ukraine.”

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