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Ukraine Invasion: Part 51

1000 replies

MagicFox · 15/08/2024 20:29

Welcome to 51. Thanks as usual to all and Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦

Agreed thread guidance:

A. The agreed purpose of the thread is for the sharing of information and commentary on current events

B. If you post a link please tell us where it leads/give a precis of the content

C. Discussion and debate is welcome, but please keep it respectful

OP posts:
Thread gallery
289
Igotjelly · 06/09/2024 21:11

I pray he, and all Ukrainians will know peace and joy again.

TheABC · 06/09/2024 21:25

I find it staggering that this war has wiped put the equivalent population of Glasgow from the Russian army.

blueshoes · 06/09/2024 21:44

@Mb76 thank you for sharing your vivid memories of fresh sunflower oil and home made sausages. My dearest wish is for Ukraine to move on from the horrors of war and you can visit in freedom again.

AskingQuestionsAllTheTime · 06/09/2024 21:46

Isn't it now about six times as many Russians wiped out as were in the original army of invasion?

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 06/09/2024 23:07

May be wrong but I vaguely remember the number of 200,000 being floated at the start.

Arconialiving · 06/09/2024 23:37

Slava Ukraini

MissConductUS · 07/09/2024 00:17

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 06/09/2024 23:07

May be wrong but I vaguely remember the number of 200,000 being floated at the start.

That’s close. Best estimate we have now is 170-190k.

AskingQuestionsAllTheTime · 07/09/2024 12:17

Thanks. So they have lost at least three times the number they expected an easy win with. That's really not a terribly good performance.

(There were said to be 100,000 Russian troops massed on the borders, right at the beginning, which is what deceived me.)

blueshoes · 07/09/2024 13:02

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-september-6-2024

Key Takeaways:

  • US and European officials reported that Iran delivered hundreds of short-range ballistic missiles to Russia to support Russian President Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine.
  • The transfer of Iranian ballistic missiles is part of the deepening strategic partnership between Iran and Russia.
  • US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin stated on September 6 that no specific weapon would be a "game changer" for Ukraine and that allowing Ukrainian forces to use US-provided weapons for long-range strikes against Russian military targets within Russia would not change the status of the war.
  • Austin is correct that no single weapon system will change the course of the war, but his comments ignore how weapon systems and their accompanying rules of engagement do affect Ukrainian capabilities, and that changes in capabilities can change the course of wars. Western military assistance remains crucial for Ukraine's ability to defend itself, and Austin’s statement ignores the Ukrainian long-range strike capability requirement necessary to disrupt Russian rear staging areas.
  • Ukraine's Western partners pledged additional military aid to Ukraine during the Ukraine Defense Contact Group at Ramstein Airbase in Germany on September 6, a significant portion of which will reportedly not be delivered in the immediate future.
  • Russian forces are increasingly executing surrendering Ukrainian soldiers throughout the frontline likely in part because Russian commanders appear to be endorsing the proliferation of such war crimes.
  • Russian officials attempted to use a meeting with International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi to pursue longstanding efforts to legitimize Russia's occupation of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) and Zaporizhia Oblast, while also promoting false narratives about a Ukrainian threat to the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant (KNPP) to weaken Western support for Ukraine's incursion into Kursk Oblast.
  • Russian federal censor Roskomnadzor published and immediately deleted a draft procedure to implement a recently adopted law designed to deanonymize Russian Telegram channels, possibly after receiving backlash from the Russian ultranationalist Telegram community.
  • The Kremlin signaled its commitment to establish full control over the Russian information space in the future and will likely reattempt to deanonymize Russian social media and Telegram channels even though Roskomnadzor withdrew its recently proposed regulations for now.
  • The Kremlin continues to appoint Russian Presidential Administration Deputy Head Sergei Kiriyenko to positions overseeing Russia's informational efforts as part of efforts aimed at shaping Russian identity and ideology.
  • Russia continues efforts to develop a capability to use information operations on social media platforms to trigger kinetic activity and has been using the Ukrainian information space for several years to hone this capability.
  • Russian forces recently regained lost positions in Kursk Oblast amid continued fighting throughout the Ukrainian salient on September 6.
  • Ukrainian forces recently regained lost positions near Pokrovsk, and Russian forces recently advanced near Toretsk.
  • Open-source tracking of confirmed Russian military deaths in Ukraine suggests that more Russian volunteers have died in Ukraine than Russian convict recruits and mobilized personnel.
Ukraine Invasion: Part 51
MissConductUS · 07/09/2024 13:56

AskingQuestionsAllTheTime · 07/09/2024 12:17

Thanks. So they have lost at least three times the number they expected an easy win with. That's really not a terribly good performance.

(There were said to be 100,000 Russian troops massed on the borders, right at the beginning, which is what deceived me.)

It was easier for ISR (intelligence, surveillance and recon) to count them once they started to move, and there was a second echelon behind them with logistics, headquarters elements, and other support troops.

And then it all went to shit for the Russians. 😂

MissConductUS · 07/09/2024 14:05

This is what will likely trigger the provision of JASSM to the Ukrainians:

US ‘alarmed’ by reports Iranian missile transfer to Russia is imminent or completed

It was proof that North Korean ballistic missiles had been used by the Russians in Ukraine that triggered the decision for the US to supply ATACMS, so I expect this will have a similar effect.

JASSMs have a very low radar cross section and will be difficult for Russian air defenses to detect and target. Be careful what you wish for, Mr Putin.

US ‘alarmed’ by reports Iranian missile transfer to Russia is imminent or completed

In statement to VOA, White House says ‘any transfer of Iranian ballistic missiles to Russia would represent a dramatic escalation in Iran’s support for Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine’

https://www.voanews.com/a/us-alarmed-by-reports-iranian-missile-transfer-to-russia-is-imminent-or-completed/7775076.html

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 07/09/2024 14:11

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

⚡️Iran sent short-range ballistic missiles to Russia, WSJ reports. https://kyivindependent.com/iran-sent-short-range-ballistic-missiles-to-russia-wsj-reports/

The 12th Special Forces Azov Brigade helped to stabilize the previously "catastrophic" situation in Niu-York, Donetsk Oblast, unblocking surrounded Ukrainian soldiers and regaining part of the settlement, the brigade said on Sept. 6.
Niu-York lies just south of Toretsk, a key front-line town that has become one of the focal points of the Russian offensive in Donetsk Oblast in the past months. https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-war-latest-sept-6-2/

⚡️Russian outlet RT trying to push https://kyivindependent.com/reuters-rt-trump-us-viewers/ US viewers toward Trump, Reuters reports.
Russian state media channel RT is attempting to push U.S. viewers toward voting for Donald Trump in the presidential election through a network of Western media personalities, Reuters reported on Sept. 6, citing a senior U.S. intelligence official.

⚡️After F-16 crash, West debates https://kyivindependent.com/after-f-16-crash-west-debates-rushed-training-for-ukrainian-pilots-wsj-reports/ rushed training for Ukrainian pilots, WSJ reports.
The crash of the F-16 fighter jet in Ukraine has raised the question of the pace of training of Ukrainian pilots to use the aircraft on the battlefield, the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported on Sept. 6, citing unnamed U.S. and Western officials. @notimagain

⚡️Lithuania to allocate https://kyivindependent.com/lithuania-donates-11-million-to-buy-palianytsia-missile-drone-for-ukraine/ $11 million to buy Palianytsia missile-drones for Ukraine.

https://kyivindependent.com/we-asked-weapons-experts-to-review-ukraines-two-new-drone-innovations/

⚡️Russia preparing https://kyivindependent.com/russia-preparing-new-mass-attacks-on-ukraines-energy-system-pm-shmyhal-says/ new mass attacks on Ukraine's energy system, PM Shmyhal says.
"...We understand that the enemy will not give us the luxury of living in peace. We already have intelligence that the next mass missile and drone strikes on our power system are already being prepared," Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal said.

Belarus Weekly: Belarusian fighter jets shot at Russian drone, for the first time https://kyivindependent.com/belarus-weekly-for-first-time-belarusian-fighter-jets-shot-at-russian-drone/

Drones operated by the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) struck an ammunition and military equipment warehouse in Russia's Voronezh Oblast overnight on Sept. 7, a source in the SBU told the Kyiv Independent. https://kyivindependent.com/ukrainian-drones-hit-ammunition-warehouse-in-russias-voronezh-oblast-source-confirms/

⚡️Negotiations underway https://kyivindependent.com/aliyev-azeri-gas-transit-to-eu-via-ukraine/ on Azeri gas transit to EU via Ukraine, Azerbaijan says.

Ukrainian air defenses downed 58 of the 67 Shahed-type drones launched by Russia overnight, the Air Force said. https://kyivindependent.com/attacks-87/ Three drones were "lost" on Ukrainian territory, likely due to electronic warfare means, while six others flew to Russia, Belarus, and the occupied parts of Luhansk Oblast, according to the report.

⚡️Telegram threatens https://kyivindependent.com/telegram-national-security-budanov/ Ukraine's national security, Budanov says. [this was repeated on, er, Telegram]

Documentary ‘humanizing’ Russian soldiers fighting in Ukraine sparks outrage at Venice Film Festival https://kyivindependent.com/documentary-humanizing-russian-soldiers-fighting-in-ukraine-sparks-outrage-at-venice-film-festival/

Controversy arose at the Venice Film Festival on Sept. 5 following the screening of a documentary film that attempts to humanize Russian soldiers involved in the war against Ukraine.

⚡️Russian drones hit apartment building, kindergarten https://kyivindependent.com/russian-drones-hit-kyiv-apartment-kindergarten/ in Kyiv.

⚡️ Russian attacks against Ukraine kill 4, injure almost 100 https://kyivindependent.com/attacks-87/ over past day including children.

⚡️ Update: 82 injured https://kyivindependent.com/attacks-87/ in Russian attack on Pavlohrad, including 7 children.

Ukrainian air defenses downed 58 of the 67 Shahed-type drones launched by Russia overnight, the Air Force said.
Three drones were "lost" on Ukrainian territory, likely due to electronic warfare means, while six others flew to Russia, Belarus, and the occupied parts of Luhansk Oblast, according to the report.

‪Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦‬- SEP 7, 2024
■ Engagements & casualties slightly below 7-day average
■ Artillery, drone & vehicle losses above average
■ Strike ratio in single digits

Ukraine Invasion: Part 51
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 07/09/2024 14:15

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

🇪🇸Spain hands Ukraine a HAWK air defense battery

Ukraine Has Its Own Weapons for Long-Range Strikes Against Russia, — U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin
“Ukraine already possesses significant capabilities to strike targets beyond the range of ATACMS or Storm Shadow missiles. The Russians have moved their aircraft, which they use for air defense systems, beyond ATACMS’ range.

Iran Has Already Sent Ballistic Missiles to Russia, — WSJ
The United States has informed its allies that Iran has transferred ballistic missiles to Russia. European officials report that Europe and the United States are working on a sanctions response to Iran’s actions, according to the publication.
“Iran has sent short-range ballistic missiles to Russia, providing Moscow with another powerful military tool for its war against Ukraine. This move comes despite stern warnings from the West against supplying such weapons to Moscow,” the article states.

The court has seized the shares of Raiffeisenbank in Russia, blocking their sale, according to Bloomberg.
The Kaliningrad region's arbitration court ordered the seizure of Raiffeisenbank's shares in response to a claim by MKAO "Rasperia Trading Limited," as confirmed by Austrian Raiffeisen Bank International (RBI). Due to the court order, the RBI cannot transfer the bank shares owned by the group......
A Raiffeisen representative told Bloomberg via email that the court's decision does not affect the bank’s ability to manage its subsidiary or its plans to "significantly reduce" operations in Russia, while continuing to serve its customers.

Ukrainian Pilots Arrive in Canada for F-16 Training, — Canadian Ministry of Defense
A group of Ukrainian pilots has arrived in Canada to begin training on the F-16, according to the Canadian Ministry of Defense.
As part of the program, the pilots will acquire basic skills for operating the fighter jet. The standard course lasts six months and includes 120 training hours, 20 hours of simulator flying, and 50 hours of actual flight.
Additionally, this month, the Ukrainian military will start training on Skyranger drones, which have already been provided by Canada, within Ukraine.

The Netherlands to Transfer Technical Equipment and Missiles for F-16 Fighters to Ukraine
The Netherlands will provide Ukraine with technical equipment and materials for F-16 fighters, as well as air-to-air missiles. Ukrainian pilots will use these resources to protect the country’s airspace, according to the Dutch Ministry of Defense.
“F-16 aircraft require auxiliary materials and spare parts for maintenance; otherwise, they will not be able to fly. The Netherlands will supply materials worth 80 million euros,” Dutch Defense Minister Ruben Breckelmans said at the Contact Group on Defense of Ukraine meeting in the Ramstein format.
He also mentioned that the Netherlands will supply Ukraine with generators, vehicles, specialized tools, and ladders for aircraft maintenance. For security reasons, the Defense Minister did not specify the type or quantity of missiles being transferred.

Zelenskyy and Putin Need to Meet to End the War, — Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán [You know, toads are such nice creatures]

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 07/09/2024 14:18

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

❗️CNN has released a video showing Russian soldiers allegedly killing three Ukrainian soldiers during a surrender in August in the Pokrovsk direction
Prosecutor General Kostin tells CNN that his office is investigating 28 executions of prisoners since the beginning of the war, in which 62 Ukrainian soldiers have been killed. https://t.me/liveukraine_media/24200

🇷🇺🇮🇷ISW identifies how Russia could have paid Iran for the missiles
Iran needs Russia to inject money into the country's economy, Russian Su-35 fighter jets, and help modernize its cyber capabilities and space programs.

🇺🇸 The US has announced a new $250 million security assistance to Ukraine. Here's what it includes:

  • missiles for the missile defense system
RIM-7 MISSILES;
  • portable anti-aircraft systems Stinger;
  • ammunition for HIMARS;
  • 155 mm and 105 mm artillery ammunition;
  • TOW missiles;
  • Javelin and AT-4 anti-tank systems;
  • Bradley infantry fighting vehicles;
  • M113 armored personnel carriers;
  • armored military vehicles MRAP;
  • ammunition for small arms and grenades;
  • patrol boats;
  • explosive ammunition;
  • spare parts and other auxiliary equipment.

🇨🇦Canada will provide more than 80,000 CRV7 surface-to-air missiles, 970 C6 machine guns, and 64 Coyote LAV combat reconnaissance vehicles.

🇱🇹Lithuania has completed fortifying part of its border with Russia, deploying minefields and 'dragon’s teeth' barriers.
The fortification has been implemented at the Panemunė Bridge, which connects Lithuania with the Kaliningrad region.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 51
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 07/09/2024 14:20

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

Huge Ukrainian cyberattack disables integral Russian online infrastructure.
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/38566

📹 Russia's gains in Donetsk and Russia's losses in Kursk, one month into Ukraine's ongoing territorial seizure of Russian territory, an update on where we stand.

Each worthy of its own Hollywood epic, we’ve compiled the top operations of Ukraine’s Military Intelligence.
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/38604

HUR Cyberattack Disrupts Russian Network, Shuts Down Key Services for Thousands

Kyiv Post’s military intelligence sources report a successful cyberattack on Russia’s Lukoil, the traffic police, the Bank of Russia, and other government and state-run authorities.

https://www.kyivpost.com/post/38566

notimagain · 07/09/2024 16:26

@DucklingSwimmingInstructress

The crash of the F-16 fighter jet in Ukraine has raised the question of the pace of training of Ukrainian pilots to use the aircraft on the battlefield, the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported on Sept. 6, citing unnamed U.S. and Western officials.

Thanks for the link…

I guess it is possible that we may never know the cause of the loss (due concerns over operational security).

Even if you are on top of your game and absolutely au fait with your equipment chasing and maneuvering to engage targets at low level, especially at night/in poor weather can go wrong very quickly so it’s inevitable questions might be asked about whether this was down to human error and down to lack of training…trouble is there really is a “war on” and if these airframes are going to be used some risk is going to have to be accepted.

MissConductUS · 07/09/2024 18:17

trouble is there really is a “war on” and if these airframes are going to be used some risk is going to have to be accepted.

Exactly correct. I read recently that Ukraine has lost about a third of the Bradley IFVs they've received. This is expected. They're offensive combat vehicles. If they're not exposed to enemy fire, you're not using them properly. The good news is that the crews survive most of those vehicle losses and the US has been sending a steady supply of replacements, as recently as the aid package announced two days ago.

MagicFox · 08/09/2024 09:41

Thanks for this gift, Mark Galeotti:

"The importance of optimism (even when it comes to Russia"

podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/in-moscows-shadows/id1510124746?i=1000668762858

OP posts:
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 08/09/2024 14:10

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

⚡️ Russian offensive near Pokrovsk slowing down https://kyivindependent.com/russia-offensive-near-pokrovsk-slowing-down-media-reports/ , media reports.
Russian forces have captured considerably less territory in the Pokrovsk direction over the past week than during earlier periods, the independent Russian outlet Agentstvo reported on Sept. 7.
Citing data from defense analysts, Agentstvo backed Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi's recent claims that Moscow's push near the key town is losing steam.

⚡️Kirby: Russian disinformation 'more sophisticated' in election lead-up.
According to U.S. National Security Council spokesperson John Kirby, there is “no doubt” the Kremlin is using propaganda and disinformation to “sow discord” among the U.S. population. https://kyivindependent.com/kirby-russian-disinformation-more-sophisticated-in-election-leadup/

⚡️ Update: North Korean missiles destroyed https://kyivindependent.com/ukrainian-drones-hit-ammunition-warehouse-in-russias-voronezh-oblast-source-confirms/ in attack against Russia’s Voronezh Oblast ammunition warehouse, Ukrainian official claims.

⚡️Zelensky meets https://kyivindependent.com/zelensky-meets-wilders-italy/ Dutch far-right leader Wilders in Italy.
Zelensky met Dutch far-right leader Geert Wilders on the sidelines of the Cernobbio Forum in Italy on Sept. 7.

⚡️Ukraine building https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-to-launch-domestic-underground-weapons-production-zelensky-says/ underground weapons factories, Zelensky says.
Ukraine is building weapons underground to supply the military with arms in the event of delays in military aid from abroad, President Volodymyr Zelensky said at the Ambrosetti International Economic Forum in Italy on Sept. 7.

Ukraine may target record bank profits with further tax increase to plug budget hole https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-may-target-record-bank-profits-with-further-tax-increase-to-plug-budget-hole/
Ukrainian banks continue posting record profits, earning nearly Hr 120 billion ($2.9 billion) in the first seven months of 2024.
Lasting higher profits could translate to another tax increase, according to a senior economist at the Center for Economic Strategy (CES). “Successful financial results increase the likelihood of a tax increase for banks. Either retrospectively, as in 2023, or for future periods,” he told the Kyiv Independent.

⚡️Fires sweep https://kyivindependent.com/fires-sweep-through-chornobyl-forests-containment-efforts-ongoing/ through Chornobyl forests, containment efforts ongoing.
As of September 7, over 2,600 hectares of land in the Chornobyl zone have been affected by forest fires, according to the Ukrainian Ministry of Environmental Protection.

⚡️Zelensky appoints https://kyivindependent.com/zelensky-appoints-new-advisors-deputies-of-presidential-offices-head-involving-2-former-ministers/ new advisors, deputies amid government reshuffle.

⚡️CIA chief: Russian elite left questioning https://kyivindependent.com/cia-chief-russian-elite-left-questioning-war-after-kursk-incursion/ war after Kursk incursion.
Ukraine’s incursion into Russia’s Kursk Oblast has rattled Russia’s elite but Russian President Vladimir Putin still has a tight grip on the country, said CIA director William Burns at the Financial Times’ Weekend festival in London on Sept. 7.

⚡️Scholz calls on https://kyivindependent.com/scholz-calls-on-several-hundred-thousand-of-ukrainian-refugees-to-apply-for-jobs-in-germany/ 'several hundred thousand' of Ukrainian refugees to apply for jobs in Germany.
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said he would like to see "several hundred thousand" more Ukrainian refugees currently in Germany find employment, German media outlet Tagesschau reported on Sept. 7.

⚡️Team Ukraine wins https://kyivindependent.com/team-ukraine-wins-12-medals-on-day-10-of-paralympics/ 12 medals on day 10 of Paralympics.
Ukrainian athletes earned five gold, three silver, and four bronze medals. The team currently has a total of 79 medals.

⚡️Russian attacks across Ukraine kill 11, injure 32 https://kyivindependent.com/russian-attacks-across-ukraine-kill-11-injure-32-over-past-day/ over past day.
Ukrainian air defense shot down 15 out of the 23 Shahed-type drones Russia launched at Ukraine, as well as one Kh-59 guided missile, overnight on Sept. 8, the Air Force reported.

Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦‬ SEP 8, 2024
Engagements & casualties stay slightly below 7-day average
■ Drone, artillery & special equipm. losses well above average & 2 MLR
■ KIU: +42 officers; 5.6 per day for last four batches
■ Strike ratio could be better however

Ukraine Invasion: Part 51
blueshoes · 08/09/2024 14:26

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-september-7-2024

Key Takeaways:

  • Ukraine's Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) Head Lieutenant General Kyrylo Budanov noted that Ukraine's incursion into Kursk Oblast is having theater-wide impacts on Russian offensive operations in Ukraine and addressed the prospects for continued Russian offensive operations in Winter 2024–2025.
  • Iran reportedly recently delivered more than 200 Fateh-360 short-range ballistic missiles to Russia.
  • Ukraine continues to successfully adapt and develop its anti-drone capabilities, allowing Ukrainian forces to leverage lower-end systems to offset Russian pressures on Ukraine's limited air defense umbrella.
  • Russian forces recently regained territory and Ukrainian forces recently advanced in Kursk Oblast amid continued Ukrainian offensive operations in the area on September 7.
  • Russian forces recently advanced near Kupyansk, Pokrovsk, and Donetsk City and in the Dnipro River Delta.
  • Russian officers continue to mistreat and abuse their subordinates likely due to poor command training and discipline.
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 08/09/2024 14:29

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

Another Russian pontoon crossing in the Kursk region was destroyed using GMLRS missiles and M30 DPICM cluster bombs. https://t.me/United24media/24919

The international world order is under threat like we haven’t seen since the Cold War, according to William Burns, head of the CIA, and Richard Moore, head of foreign intelligence in Great Britain, in an article for the Financial Times.

Cyber Attack on Russian Resources by Ukrainian Intelligence
On September 7, Ukrainian cyber specialists from the GUR targeted several Russian enterprises involved in supporting the war.
The attack hit companies producing radio-electronic components, spare parts for Russian weapons, and metal processing equipment. Among the affected were “SMKomplekt EK,” “KristElCom,” “KonturNIIRS,” “Chip-Prof,” and others, including the propagandist site “Simferopol Forum.”
GUR specialists gained access to 14 servers, erasing system files, databases, and backups. They also posted a message celebrating Ukraine’s Military Intelligence Day on the attacked websites.

Ukrainian “dragon drones” terrorize the occupiers, — CNN reports.
These drones target Russian positions with thermite, a powdered mixture of aluminum and iron oxide or nickel, which burns at temperatures of up to 2,200 degrees Celsius.
Thermite can quickly burn vegetation, “exposing” Russian positions, and also destroy the invaders themselves.
“It’s a very nasty substance. Using a drone to deliver it is quite innovative. However, if used in this way, the effect will be more psychological than physical. Given Ukraine’s access to thermite, these are likely isolated operations rather than a new primary weapon,” says Nicholas Drummond, a former British army officer and military analyst.
The expert notes that the psychological impact of using thermite is significant, as frightened Russian soldiers abandon their positions and flee.
Discovered by German chemist Hans Goldschmidt in 1895, thermite was originally used to weld railroad tracks.
According to the British anti-war human rights group Action on Armed Violence (AOAV), Ukraine has also used thermite to destroy Russian tanks.
“Thermite drops directly into the hatches, ignites quickly, and destroys everything inside. This accuracy, combined with the drone’s ability to bypass traditional defenses, makes thermite bombs a highly effective tool in modern warfare,” the AOAV report stated.
According to international law, thermite is not prohibited for use in military operations.

During the attack on Odesa, a Russian “Shahed” drone entered Romanian airspace, according to the country’s Ministry of Defense.

Former British Defense Minister Grant Shapps has called for lifting restrictions on Storm Shadow strikes against Russia.
Shapps also urged the British government to encourage France, the US, and “more restrained” Germany to remove restrictions on long-range weapons for Ukraine. He proposed delivering a clear ultimatum to Putin: “Stop your constant attacks on Ukraine, or we will support Ukraine’s response.”

Russia is increasingly using controversial Western bloggers to spread propaganda, a tactic that is proving more effective than bot farms, according to Finnish disinformation researcher Pekka Kallioniemi.
Kallioniemi, who recently published the book Vatnik Soup, examines the spread of Kremlin propaganda. In an interview with Politico, she described how Russia is advancing in spreading fake narratives in the West.
She explained that Russia has shifted from relying on bot farms, the Kremlin’s main tool since 2013, to leveraging social networks. Specifically, this involves enlisting both radical right- and left-wing bloggers with large audiences. The researcher notes that it’s not difficult to persuade these influencers to spread disinformation that benefits Moscow, citing two primary incentives: substantial financial rewards and shared ideological values.
“Their reach is enormous. They usually grow organically and gain popularity, unlike troll and bot accounts, which struggle to spread their narratives beyond their networks. With a central hub—a superspreader account with millions of followers—it’s far easier to distribute propaganda, as these accounts already have a massive audience. Sometimes, their content even makes its way into mainstream media.
These figures are idolized and have large fan bases, particularly on social media, where they are listened to and trusted. This makes them highly effective at spreading pro-Kremlin narratives,” Kallioniemi says.
She adds that, amid Russia’s attempts to interfere in elections in several Western countries, efforts to counter the Kremlin’s new tactics have ramped up. She adds that, amid Russia’s attempts to interfere in elections in several Western countries, efforts to counter the Kremlin’s new tactics have ramped up. However, this has proven challenging because it’s difficult to detect the involvement of real people collaborating with Moscow, and the penetration of Russian disinformation has become more subtle. The use of AI also plays a role, allowing propaganda to spread automatically.

UNITED24Media

Another Russian pontoon crossing in the Kursk region was destroyed using GMLRS missiles and M30 DPICM cluster bombs.

https://t.me/United24media/24919

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 08/09/2024 14:32

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

It is reported that the transfer of 6 Kamov Ka-32A transport helicopters donated by Portugal to Ukraine has been completed,- Sic Noticias

Ukrainian units of the 2nd mechanized battalion of the 53rd mechanized brigade raised the Ukrainian flag over the centre of Niu-York as a result of recent counterattacks in the city that was mostly occupied by Russia just recently.
The counterattack continues and more good news will appear soon.

Zelensky: Russian forces have used over 800 guided aerial bombs, nearly 300 attack drones, and more than 60 missiles of various types against Ukraine this week alone.

Russian soldiers going back to the front on crutches after injuries https://t.me/liveukraine_media/24244 [Good lord. I know they should not be there and God knows what they have done but this is pitiable]

Beachgoers in Russia found a sea mine and for some reason, instead of calling the sappers, pulled it ashore with their bare hands https://t.me/liveukraine_media/24252

On the night of September 8, Russians attacked Sumy
According to the Regional Military Administration, two people were killed and four others were injured in the enemy air strike.

❗️A strike on Poltava on September 3. The death toll has risen to 58, according to the head of the regional military administration, Philip Pronin.

Live: Ukraine

Russian soldiers going back to the front on crutches after injuries 🪐 Subscribe to Live: Ukraine

https://t.me/liveukraine_media/24244

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 08/09/2024 14:34

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

Netherlands to deliver 3 more launchers for Patriot air defense systems this month — Minister of Defense of the Netherlands, Ruben Brekelmans

The IMF gets back to business with Russia, appointing a sanctioned Putin crony that even Russia's own anti-corruption organizations refer to as one of the “top bribetakers and warmongers”.
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/38587

💥Ukrainian officials now reporting that the ammunition depot destroyed by Ukrainian drone strikes in Russia's Voronezh region last night also contained 7 North Korean ballistic missiles.
Detonations lasted for several hours

Russians have targeted another hotel in Donetsk region, this time in the town of Mykolaivka.
The bodies of two men, both animal rescue volunteers from Kharkiv, have been recovered from the rubble.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 51
PerkingFaintly · 08/09/2024 17:48

Russia is increasingly using controversial Western bloggers to spread propaganda, a tactic that is proving more effective than bot farms, according to Finnish disinformation researcher Pekka Kallioniemi.
Kallioniemi, who recently published the book Vatnik Soup, examines the spread of Kremlin propaganda. In an interview with Politico, she described how Russia is advancing in spreading fake narratives in the West.
She explained that Russia has shifted from relying on bot farms, the Kremlin’s main tool since 2013, to leveraging social networks. Specifically, this involves enlisting both radical right- and left-wing bloggers with large audiences. The researcher notes that it’s not difficult to persuade these influencers to spread disinformation that benefits Moscow, citing two primary incentives: substantial financial rewards and shared ideological values.
“Their reach is enormous. They usually grow organically and gain popularity, unlike troll and bot accounts, which struggle to spread their narratives beyond their networks. With a central hub—a superspreader account with millions of followers—it’s far easier to distribute propaganda, as these accounts already have a massive audience. Sometimes, their content even makes its way into mainstream media.
These figures are idolized and have large fan bases, particularly on social media, where they are listened to and trusted. This makes them highly effective at spreading pro-Kremlin narratives,” Kallioniemi says.
She adds that, amid Russia’s attempts to interfere in elections in several Western countries, efforts to counter the Kremlin’s new tactics have ramped up. She adds that, amid Russia’s attempts to interfere in elections in several Western countries, efforts to counter the Kremlin’s new tactics have ramped up. However, this has proven challenging because it’s difficult to detect the involvement of real people collaborating with Moscow, and the penetration of Russian disinformation has become more subtle. The use of AI also plays a role, allowing propaganda to spread automatically.

This matches something I clocked during Covid.

I noticed a lot of really virulent conspiracy-theory stuff coming from people with large, pre-existing fan bases, from whom I hadn't previously heard anything similar.

I don't know who was behind it, of course, and for some of the influencers maybe it did match their previous beliefs and I was just unaware.

But I was really struck by the number of people like eg Van Morrison and older rock stars, and other people with well-established fame and followings, headed down certain paths.

I thought at the time someone had sat done, identified influential characters, and targetted them - slowly and carefully - to nudge them gently up pre-determined garden paths. And their followers with them.

I've seen it happening on other topics as well - any area where one could "stick a knife into the cracks and wiggle."

It's quite difficult to combat, of course.

People rarely admit they didn't come up with "their" ideas themselves. And they're certainly not open to hearing that they're acting under a calculated manipulative influence. They make up their own mind! It's all their own work!

wtfissummer · 08/09/2024 19:44

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 08/09/2024 14:29

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

Another Russian pontoon crossing in the Kursk region was destroyed using GMLRS missiles and M30 DPICM cluster bombs. https://t.me/United24media/24919

The international world order is under threat like we haven’t seen since the Cold War, according to William Burns, head of the CIA, and Richard Moore, head of foreign intelligence in Great Britain, in an article for the Financial Times.

Cyber Attack on Russian Resources by Ukrainian Intelligence
On September 7, Ukrainian cyber specialists from the GUR targeted several Russian enterprises involved in supporting the war.
The attack hit companies producing radio-electronic components, spare parts for Russian weapons, and metal processing equipment. Among the affected were “SMKomplekt EK,” “KristElCom,” “KonturNIIRS,” “Chip-Prof,” and others, including the propagandist site “Simferopol Forum.”
GUR specialists gained access to 14 servers, erasing system files, databases, and backups. They also posted a message celebrating Ukraine’s Military Intelligence Day on the attacked websites.

Ukrainian “dragon drones” terrorize the occupiers, — CNN reports.
These drones target Russian positions with thermite, a powdered mixture of aluminum and iron oxide or nickel, which burns at temperatures of up to 2,200 degrees Celsius.
Thermite can quickly burn vegetation, “exposing” Russian positions, and also destroy the invaders themselves.
“It’s a very nasty substance. Using a drone to deliver it is quite innovative. However, if used in this way, the effect will be more psychological than physical. Given Ukraine’s access to thermite, these are likely isolated operations rather than a new primary weapon,” says Nicholas Drummond, a former British army officer and military analyst.
The expert notes that the psychological impact of using thermite is significant, as frightened Russian soldiers abandon their positions and flee.
Discovered by German chemist Hans Goldschmidt in 1895, thermite was originally used to weld railroad tracks.
According to the British anti-war human rights group Action on Armed Violence (AOAV), Ukraine has also used thermite to destroy Russian tanks.
“Thermite drops directly into the hatches, ignites quickly, and destroys everything inside. This accuracy, combined with the drone’s ability to bypass traditional defenses, makes thermite bombs a highly effective tool in modern warfare,” the AOAV report stated.
According to international law, thermite is not prohibited for use in military operations.

During the attack on Odesa, a Russian “Shahed” drone entered Romanian airspace, according to the country’s Ministry of Defense.

Former British Defense Minister Grant Shapps has called for lifting restrictions on Storm Shadow strikes against Russia.
Shapps also urged the British government to encourage France, the US, and “more restrained” Germany to remove restrictions on long-range weapons for Ukraine. He proposed delivering a clear ultimatum to Putin: “Stop your constant attacks on Ukraine, or we will support Ukraine’s response.”

Russia is increasingly using controversial Western bloggers to spread propaganda, a tactic that is proving more effective than bot farms, according to Finnish disinformation researcher Pekka Kallioniemi.
Kallioniemi, who recently published the book Vatnik Soup, examines the spread of Kremlin propaganda. In an interview with Politico, she described how Russia is advancing in spreading fake narratives in the West.
She explained that Russia has shifted from relying on bot farms, the Kremlin’s main tool since 2013, to leveraging social networks. Specifically, this involves enlisting both radical right- and left-wing bloggers with large audiences. The researcher notes that it’s not difficult to persuade these influencers to spread disinformation that benefits Moscow, citing two primary incentives: substantial financial rewards and shared ideological values.
“Their reach is enormous. They usually grow organically and gain popularity, unlike troll and bot accounts, which struggle to spread their narratives beyond their networks. With a central hub—a superspreader account with millions of followers—it’s far easier to distribute propaganda, as these accounts already have a massive audience. Sometimes, their content even makes its way into mainstream media.
These figures are idolized and have large fan bases, particularly on social media, where they are listened to and trusted. This makes them highly effective at spreading pro-Kremlin narratives,” Kallioniemi says.
She adds that, amid Russia’s attempts to interfere in elections in several Western countries, efforts to counter the Kremlin’s new tactics have ramped up. She adds that, amid Russia’s attempts to interfere in elections in several Western countries, efforts to counter the Kremlin’s new tactics have ramped up. However, this has proven challenging because it’s difficult to detect the involvement of real people collaborating with Moscow, and the penetration of Russian disinformation has become more subtle. The use of AI also plays a role, allowing propaganda to spread automatically.

Not sure where the quotes are from, but Pekka Kallioniemi isnt female. Just in case someone is interested in following him.

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