Thread 53 Sunak: Superminority!

[RishisLeavingDo]

https://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/election?iso=20240502T00&p0=136&msg=UK+general+election&font=sanserif

I ❤️ John Curtice.

He always looks like goes going to laugh. I never thought the day would come when l had a secret crush on a stats professor!

However, people like Curtice and those that are doing the official exit polls who have all had their phones confiscated no doubt do have a good idea.

But importantly, are not allowed to share their findings until 10pm

Likely turnout?

He’s like a twinkly little gnome.

Yeah. Absolutely.

Ive described him as a twinkly pixie in the past. ❤️

Please elaborate

Got a small shop which included some milk chocolate fingers. Dh said "who got those?" I said "they're for tonight" he said "what's tonight? Sometimes I think we're not that well suited.

John Curtice interview outlining what he does on Election Day

Just saw this and had to share.

https://x.com/Redpeter99/status/1808807430328852650

Thank you @Notonthestairs

"Please elaborate"

In the interview I posted Curtice is asked what sort of time he generally knows the result and he says 2pm.

👍 It's fascinating stuff - particularly as the boundary changes will complicate matters.

I hadn't misremembered about Ruth Davidson - but it was the Indyref rather than a GE. And she was interviewed as a witness rather than being suspected of having done anything wrong even though she effectively reported wrongdoing - and ultimately the Fiscal decided there was no case to answer.

Nevertheless it would have been a breach of electoral law to have taken tallies of what was on ballot papers

Police question Ruth Davidson over referendum postal votes probe https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-29569585

Handy spotter account

https://x.com/johncurticeontv?lang=en

Just a quick delurk to say thank you to all on this thread for keeping me sane when reading some of the other threads! I will be putting the alarm on to get up early. Am arriving in the uk on Friday ( am in France ) and would love to arrive to a massive labour majority. Though my return to France may be to a very sorry state!
r

https://matteason.co.uk/scream/

The voting Toffees are on their way to the polling station, leaving johnny foreigner at home

https://x.com/EdwardJDavey/status/1808837768027521386

Note the lack of spiteful replies that are normally made in response to a politician's tweet.

@duncintoffee as pp suggested should we start a new thread for 10pm

This might be useful to those of us staying up

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c047gr9mgxxo

It's about the best strategies for staying up all night

@BIossomtoes I have been loving Ed Davey’s campaign, realistically it was the only way to get the media to notice them, and it is great to see someone speaking up for unpaid carers and social care. From speaking to my adult children I think it has helped them cut through with the twenty and thirty somethings as well.

I fell asleep reading it

Praying that France has the right (or not right!) result on the 7th.

It'll be a new dawn and a new day and we'll be feeling good.

Another long time lurker coming out of the woodwork, grateful for all your humour and insights over the years.

I can explain postal votes - worked in elections for many years. They are opened and verified in several sessions as they come in leading up to polling day, in the presence of candidates or agents if they want to observe.

Ballot papers are very strictly kept face down, while processes take place to ensure they are genuine, correctly signed, etc. We also try to match those that have got their paperwork mixed up in households so they don't lose their vote. This would all take far too long at the Count.

At the Count, they are mixed in with the other votes for the ward before being counted. So all we know before the election is the number sent out against those returned. A huge number of voters hand deliver their postal vote to the polling station on polling day - so you learn very little about anything from postal votes in advance. Although it's still a nice buzzy atmosphere!

@prettybird I remember you from other threads and remember that you have a very close connection to my constituency. Yes, the mp for my constituency was Jo Swinson till she lost her seat to SNP. It was very close last time indeed.

I have asked my SNP a question twice. Once on fb ( even though I began my post politely by congratulating her on becoming an mp) and once by email - I didn't get a reply to either. That and a small constitutional matter have not endeared me to her. She was very ill, but not when I was trying to communicate with her

for the recent loss of your dad. The loss of a beloved parent is very hard.