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Massive increase of children with autism

560 replies

TickingKey46 · 09/09/2023 08:56

I've noticed since the lock down there is a massive increase in children being assessed for autism and associated conditions. I mean massive.

On the school run parents are often discussing it it's become so routine. I'm really interested in why. Why are so many children being diagnosed with this condition?

OP posts:
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15
giggly · 10/09/2023 10:46

HideTheCroissants · 10/09/2023 10:02

@giggly my post at 12:22 yesterday is clearly disagreeing with poster saying lockdown was the problem - my response was-

“I disagree with this …. my autistic DS and my (believed to be autistic) DH absolutely LOVED lockdown. They found having to be back “out in the world with people” VERY traumatic because the lockdown made them realise how great life is for them with no requirement to interact with people.”

My mistake insomniac eyes. Apologies.

Spinkey · 10/09/2023 10:50

‘My sons school said they have a lot of what they call “Covid kids”. Whose social skills aren’t normal, but they don’t know whether it’s due to autism or being isolated at home for two years. They are putting these kids forward for assessment, a lot of them may turn out to be not autistic.

giggly · 10/09/2023 10:52

AutismProf · 10/09/2023 09:34

Not true in our opinion (work for ND team in large city) as I have discussed elsewhere in the thread. COVID has a great deal to do with the quadrupling of referrals to our service, mostly because a lot of older kids developed severe anxiety and a lot of teeny ones didn't get socialised.

Obviously regional variables in play. While COVID may have resulted in an increase in MH presentations it is not the experience of myCAMHS team for an increase in NDD presentations. As others have stated our referrals pretty much stayed the same via GP some reductions in school referral but overall minimal change and we also continued to assess and diagnose right through lockdown.
The problem is individuals can only respond on their own family experiences without having any knowledge or experience of the referral / assessment processes.

JudyEdithPerry · 10/09/2023 10:56

This reply has been withdrawn

The OP has privacy concerns and so we've agreed to take this down.

Robinni · 10/09/2023 11:04

AutismProf · 10/09/2023 09:32

"And people do have to realise that many services closed to new referrals for 8 - 12 months over the covid era or restricted assessments to older children/adults only because the younger ones couldn’t social distance. That has led to an avalanche of referrals all at once and even greater waitlists so everyone is clumped together."

Not true about closing to new referrals. I don't even think we are allowed to do that by the NHS. Look at the stats and graphs I posted up thread. Referrals continued throughout COVID. There was a dip at first lockdown but not a closure.

@AutismProf

I wasn’t talking about NHS - I was talking about private services, where a great many children/adults are seen due to ridiculous NHS waitlists of several years.

Perhaps it depends on where you are in U.K., but what appears to be status quo in our region is having GP refer to NHS to get on list, then have the assessment done privately, which is then ratified by NHS and hey presto the person appears on the system.

Over Covid we tried several private providers and could not get anyone in the country - many had closed to new referrals and/or were not seeing anyone under X age due to social distancing.

Once things were safer they all opened up and this will have subsequently have resulted with an uptick in NHS (coming through from private).

JudyEdithPerry · 10/09/2023 11:07

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Willmafrockfit · 10/09/2023 11:16

i dont think the waiting list have time to ratify any more
Perhaps it depends on where you are in U.K., but what appears to be status quo in our region is having GP refer to NHS to get on list, then have the assessment done privately, which is then ratified by NHS and hey presto the person appears on the system.

it is all down to education accepting the private diagnosis afaik - and i believe that has changed

Spinkey · 10/09/2023 11:35

NHS is so overwhelmed that they are now referring people for private assessments, paid for by the NHS. A private diagnosis in this respect IS a NHS diagnosis. Although some of the private providers are so overwhelmed with patients referred from the NHS, they are now closing their doors and saying they can’t take any further referrals.

NameChange30 · 10/09/2023 11:55

Spinkey · 10/09/2023 11:35

NHS is so overwhelmed that they are now referring people for private assessments, paid for by the NHS. A private diagnosis in this respect IS a NHS diagnosis. Although some of the private providers are so overwhelmed with patients referred from the NHS, they are now closing their doors and saying they can’t take any further referrals.

Yes this is what we are doing. NHS GP referred to a private assessment provider which is funded by the NHS under 'Right to Choose'. There's still a 12 month wait and we're travelling to the other end of the country but it's still going to be much quicker than trying to get on the local NHS waiting list (which has a very high threshold for accepting referrals and lots of hoops you have to jump through first).

Willmafrockfit · 10/09/2023 11:56

because why should a paediatrician not do private work
privatisation by the back door

Willmafrockfit · 10/09/2023 11:56

outsourcing.
every one is a winner

Tr1pleJump · 10/09/2023 12:01

JudyEdithPerry

Who says those things contribute- you?

My children had an incredibly outdoorsy lifestyle with zero crap in their food, mostly organic in the early years and we live in a very rural area.

Its down to genes which you can see looking back through our family history.

Tr1pleJump · 10/09/2023 12:11

And better diagnostics.

Pretty sure members of my family down through the ages would have pursued diagnosis too if they knew what we know now, particularly re women and girls.

greengreengrass25 · 10/09/2023 12:35

Controversial comment but Does the gut bacteria have any link to breast feeding?

dressedforcomfort · 10/09/2023 12:36

I've heard that there are more autistic children in the area around GCHQ who obviously would be more likely to have autistic employees.

I've heard similar claims about Silicon Valley and Harvard University. Although I do think stats like this are misleading as they feed into the stereotype of 'the autistic genius'. In truth, most autistic people have areas of outstanding strength coupled with areas of crippling weakness. My autistic kid was reading whole sentences at the age of 4, but he can still barely write his name at almost 10.....

lapsedbookworm · 10/09/2023 12:48

dressedforcomfort · 10/09/2023 12:36

I've heard that there are more autistic children in the area around GCHQ who obviously would be more likely to have autistic employees.

I've heard similar claims about Silicon Valley and Harvard University. Although I do think stats like this are misleading as they feed into the stereotype of 'the autistic genius'. In truth, most autistic people have areas of outstanding strength coupled with areas of crippling weakness. My autistic kid was reading whole sentences at the age of 4, but he can still barely write his name at almost 10.....

I don't think it's entirely unhelpful. I get what you mean about the autistic genius stereotype but also I think it is useful for people to realise that there are professions where certain traits are highly valued.

DH has been diagnosed as autistic as an adult and reckons at least half the people in his workplace probably are (very specific skillsets that suit autistic people). The employer tends to tolerate a lot of their 'quirks' far more than most probably would.

I think DH feels lucky he fell into a profession where his strengths are valued and his weaknesses tolerated/supported, but surely it's a good thing to talk about so young adults can make informed decisions about careers that might particularly suit them?

lapsedbookworm · 10/09/2023 12:51

Tr1pleJump · 10/09/2023 12:01

JudyEdithPerry

Who says those things contribute- you?

My children had an incredibly outdoorsy lifestyle with zero crap in their food, mostly organic in the early years and we live in a very rural area.

Its down to genes which you can see looking back through our family history.

It's about what contributes at a statistical level not an individual one though.

People often half read news items on allergies and sometimes make the assumptions that my children have allergies because I am fastidiously clean. Far from it, we live in the country and have pets and they climb trees etc. Both their dad and I had mild allergies growing up so the genetic link is there. But the research is about what causes a rise at a population level. It doesn't mean it applies to each individual

JudyEdithPerry · 10/09/2023 13:07

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JudyEdithPerry · 10/09/2023 13:15

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JudyEdithPerry · 10/09/2023 13:17

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greengreengrass25 · 10/09/2023 13:32

Thanks Judith for your links

User98866 · 10/09/2023 13:34

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Interesting. I thought you could recover your microbiome after antibiotics? And add to it with a varied diet? I had IV antibiotics after giving birth as did dc2 and I was extremely worried about our microbiomes afterwards. I really made an effort to eat the right things (bone broth and all that) and dc2 was EBF so I thought that would help him recover.

We have allergy in the family and dc1 who had no antibiotics and was also ebf has allergy and a fairly crap immune system. Dc2 has the constitution of an Ox and no apparent allergy. This would suggest his microbiome had recovered plenty however maybe something else down the line will come to light. It’s a very interesting area of research.

Tr1pleJump · 10/09/2023 13:40

I’m only seeing a link for age. Not sure how you can compare previous generations as there is no data for my grandparents, parents or even my generation let alone diagnosis.

Eskimal · 10/09/2023 14:11

LadyMadderLake · 10/09/2023 10:40

Otoh I also have a friend who loves a label (clearly a tad unhinged) and seemingly wants all her kids to have a SEN label. To the point where I'm wondering if this is a Munchausen by proxy case....

This is definitely a thing, and I don’t know why it’s considered an offence to say so by MNHQ. So I guess I’ll get deleted but that’s silly because this actually affects the whole issue of how many people have it and should be discussed. I know parents like this, I have a family member like this (seeks multiple diagnoses for themself, doesn’t have kids), and I see it a lot in my creative industry where being autistic is most definitely boasted about and will actively get you work and cool points. Even if self-diagnosed. Much like id-ing as non-binary, overnight you’re in demand because you’re “under-represented” and “oppressed” and there are loads of grants and extra kudos and a premium placed on anything you do. I’m not exaggerating or being flippant, it’s literally true.

Oddly enough lots of people start identifying as autistic and make the most of these opportunities. They’re often brilliant at schmoozing and attending the opening of an envelope and doing endless appearances and talks. So sue me, I think some of them may not be autistic and are just good chancers in a very cutthroat industry. And the autistic people who the grants etc are meant for - or the autistic people who might actually find all that public performance more difficult or exhausting - are less likely to get a look-in.

Could you name or link to any of these “grants”?

RedToothBrush · 10/09/2023 14:22

dressedforcomfort · 10/09/2023 12:36

I've heard that there are more autistic children in the area around GCHQ who obviously would be more likely to have autistic employees.

I've heard similar claims about Silicon Valley and Harvard University. Although I do think stats like this are misleading as they feed into the stereotype of 'the autistic genius'. In truth, most autistic people have areas of outstanding strength coupled with areas of crippling weakness. My autistic kid was reading whole sentences at the age of 4, but he can still barely write his name at almost 10.....

In my area, the number of occupations has narrowed considerably as house prices have gone up.

The house prices went up at a certain point. Very few parents can be stay at home parents. We've friends ten years older and it was massively different when there kids were the same age.

The net result is every other parent is a software developer. And software developers are 'interesting' people in the sense that social skills and special interests can be pretty... well y'know.

And that's the point at which ND presentation seems to shoot up and behavioural issues have started to shoot up.

The current yr4 at DS school fit this change at just this moment but nationally and internationally they are also the year that have fared worst because COVID hit when they started reception.

Increasing inequality is leading to a process of decreasing differences in demographics in specific local areas. Therefore you get pockets of high deprivation and pockets of professionals who have children much later and pockets of narrow occupation spread which will lead to couples staying within that narrow demographic and therefore narrowing genetic differences too.

Anecdotally I know a fair number of kids who are autistic locally. But obviously so and when you meet their parents there is little doubt about where that is coming from.

Hearing that there is supposed to be a higher rate around GCHQ does not surprise me in the slightest!

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