Yep. There are far fewer skilled chefs since the pandemic.
One very good chef my husband knows realised just how much of his children's life he was missing. Is now a delivery driver and home for bedtime each night.
Where my husband works closes every Sunday/Monday so all the staff can get a good rest. Of course, they would love to be open but also can see that if they drive the kitchen staff into the ground, they will just leave.
Advertised for a breakfast staff. Early start but finished by 2pm, good wage. 1 applicant.
Sous chef went for an interview recently for 1st Head Chef job. He was told that if he broke the terms of his notice and left that day they would pay him a £1000 bonus. He didn't but only because the company had really supported him throughout the pandemic.
In a different company, but OH knows the chef- Head Chef advertised for a Sous Chef, invited an applicant for an interview and it turned out the 'applicant' was actually a recruiter trying to poach the Head Chef. He got chucked out of the kitchen!
So yes, prices will go up. But the price of the ingredients is now through the roof. OH now does a daily menu with what he can get in for a reasonable price. If people pre-book a Lamb meal from a menu and the price of lamb almost doubles within a month (it has happened) then the company has to honour that and make a loss. Butter is super expensive when you have to buy 50 blocks a week. 400 eggs a week are creeping up in price. The list goes on.....
So he now looks to see what is fresh and reasonably priced, and that's it for the day. Writes the menu according to what he can manage to get in- and almost every major catering company now add minimum order and delivery charges. (Due to petrol prices I guess) Which they never used to do. Which gets passed on. He even gets charged for delivery crates now.