[quote BewareTheLibrarians]@MarshaBradyo I work supporting asylum seekers, I don’t set government policy and you know full well there’s no point me pulling random numbers out of the air so forgive me for thinking that sounds like some kind of trap. 
But from an amateur point of view, and not taking into account the clusterfuck the government would make of it, numbers wouldn’t need to be increased unless there are unexpected events like Ukraine. I don’t see any connection between safe routes and increased numbers. (In fact, the UNHCR resettlement figures are really low.) Having safe routes means more parity in housing asylum seekers - ie not bunging everyone into Kent as arrivals are a known quantity.
Yearly increase for climate change events is a definite possibility, and while it’s comforting to think that won’t be for many years down the line, it’s worth remembering that climate change in part triggered issues in Syria leading to conflict. Climate change is a very global issue and climate refugees would need to be considered and rehomed globally. I can’t see a push for the UK receiving more than their “fair share” compared to other developed countries.
What do you think should happen re climate refugees? It’s certainly a question that’s getting more urgent.[/quote]
It wasn’t a trap
You have answered the immediate question here - I don’t see any connection between safe routes and increased numbers.
I don’t know what should happen re climate. One solution is we all take people equally?
The alternative is pretty dire.
But if I wanted to think about it more as a reality that may hit everyone soon I’d probably need cold hard numbers, right now it’s quite abstract but we’ve seen how the world can change from what we know and are comfortable with.
I’ve been reading about Nauru and what that is like, and found it interesting what led to that scheme. Also Howard did well in the election from it. So I guess we’ll see big issues arise and maybe push back in terms of votes.