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To think climate change will force a complete rethinking about immigration?

210 replies

OneMoreBanana · 13/08/2026 10:07

I'm not sure how many people, on the ground or in government policy making, have connected the dots here.

The climate crisis disproportionately affects the global south, where average temperatures are hotter, infrastructure less developed and available economic resources for mitigation lower. This is already making life in some areas, that have previously supported human communities for thousands of years, near impossible. There is talk of whole cities having to be abandoned.

The same crisis is primarily created by the industrialised countries of the global north, whose per capita emissions far outweigh those of less industrialised countries.

So if/when the large scale exodus of millions of people from no-longer-habitable environments becomes inevitable, two questions arise: Is it MORAL to disallow those people asylum in countries like the UK? And is it PRACTICABLE to do so - when the "small boats" issue becomes an increasingly large number of increasingly large boats, do we literally just view it as warfare and gun them down, or what?

These questions apply regardless of how you feel about immigration currently. If you are a hardline Brexiteer or otherwise strongly for controlling and reducing immigration, can you see a point in the future where it will no longer be tenable, either morally or practically, to maintain that position? And if you are liberal on immigration, can you see a point where having to be even more liberal will mean letting go altogether of many aspects of the UK's (and other countries') "identity"?

Interested in a range of perspectives - I think there's a whole bunch of sacred cows that may end up slaughtered by this. However if you believe that climate change either isn't happening or isn't due to human activity, please just jog on past and grow a brain cell or two. Life is too short.

OP posts:
EasternStandard · 13/08/2026 13:30

Echobelly · 13/08/2026 13:14

I personally think migration is inevitable and increasingly so. So for me the only option is to make immigration, as far as possible, beneficial. Because you can't stop it entirely, plus falling birth rates mean we need more people to uphold an ageing population which will result in fewer people in work and less tax income.

There’ll be lower tax income anyway as AI picks up work, unless we tax that instead.

But where do you see the population over the next few decades in the U.K., does it just keep going up?

Parrish · 13/08/2026 13:28

I've been thinking exactly the same recently about the effects on food security and also the movement northwards of desperate populations. I remembered a dramatised tv programme on the BBC maybe in the 90"s and the refugees were stating "we want what you've got" ... I can't remember the name of the programme. But why wouldn't it happen?

Digerydont · 13/08/2026 13:27

The powers that be want to replace the ageing C1/C2 lower middle class, most of whom are white, own a modest house and are or are going to be living off the state pension plus a bit extra.

ThePeppyOpalScroller · 13/08/2026 13:24

OneMoreBanana · 13/08/2026 10:07

I'm not sure how many people, on the ground or in government policy making, have connected the dots here.

The climate crisis disproportionately affects the global south, where average temperatures are hotter, infrastructure less developed and available economic resources for mitigation lower. This is already making life in some areas, that have previously supported human communities for thousands of years, near impossible. There is talk of whole cities having to be abandoned.

The same crisis is primarily created by the industrialised countries of the global north, whose per capita emissions far outweigh those of less industrialised countries.

So if/when the large scale exodus of millions of people from no-longer-habitable environments becomes inevitable, two questions arise: Is it MORAL to disallow those people asylum in countries like the UK? And is it PRACTICABLE to do so - when the "small boats" issue becomes an increasingly large number of increasingly large boats, do we literally just view it as warfare and gun them down, or what?

These questions apply regardless of how you feel about immigration currently. If you are a hardline Brexiteer or otherwise strongly for controlling and reducing immigration, can you see a point in the future where it will no longer be tenable, either morally or practically, to maintain that position? And if you are liberal on immigration, can you see a point where having to be even more liberal will mean letting go altogether of many aspects of the UK's (and other countries') "identity"?

Interested in a range of perspectives - I think there's a whole bunch of sacred cows that may end up slaughtered by this. However if you believe that climate change either isn't happening or isn't due to human activity, please just jog on past and grow a brain cell or two. Life is too short.

Not a single migrant is entering the EU to get out of the weather. What an odd premise.

mugglewump · 13/08/2026 13:23

People who are sympathetic to asylum seekers will be accommodating to those forced to leave their homes due to climate change. Racists and xenophobes won't care what reason a displaced person has, they won't welcome them in. And there are fewer people coming in small boats, not more.

forthelasttim · 13/08/2026 13:18

SadiraOfTyr · 13/08/2026 10:30

Water resources from one area aren't piped to another though. We don't have a water national grid. Each water company is completely isolated - by geography more than anything else: they are defined by river catchments as water doesn't flow uphill.

Water collected in Wales has been piped out since the late 19th century to places such as Liverpool and Birmingham. Have you never seen the aqueducts?

Echobelly · 13/08/2026 13:14

I personally think migration is inevitable and increasingly so. So for me the only option is to make immigration, as far as possible, beneficial. Because you can't stop it entirely, plus falling birth rates mean we need more people to uphold an ageing population which will result in fewer people in work and less tax income.

bigfacthunter · 13/08/2026 13:11

Having lost faith in our ability/willingness to really do much to prevent climate change I am living in hope that necessity will drive technological advancement that mitigates its brutal effects. And ideally, given our disproportionate responsibility for this crisis, richer countries would roll this technology out to poorer countries to prevent such extreme mass migration. But then again maybe we’ll just use the cash we could’ve used on that to build giant walls and install machine guns all along them because we are led by complete psychopaths… 🫤

Goingmadddd · 13/08/2026 13:11

StandingDeskDisco · 13/08/2026 12:24

Because money is lent into existence on the condition that it is repaid with interest. So growth is needed to generate the money to pay back the interest.

You could have zero economic growth in an economy where there was zero profit and money did not earn any interest.
There have been experiments done whereby money had negative interest, i.e. the longer you kept is the less it was worth, so the incentive was always to spend it all ASAP before it lost its value. Can't recall the outcome and can't be bothered to Google it now, but jut imagine a world where no money ever earned any interest.

So don’t borrow money?

Imagine a world without interest - lol sounds wonderful. I don’t have enough money to have spare earning interest. It does effect my mortgage though - a lot.

And growth - it doesn’t have to continue to grow if the population is falling. Maintaining the current economic size with a falling population would make us individually richer.

IsawwhatIsaw · 13/08/2026 13:07

Yes we are axing food shortages given likely poor harvests . Yet UK population overtook that of France earlier this year.
France has around twice the land area.

outdooryone · 13/08/2026 13:04

TBF, we should be more worried by the coming water and food shortages, the rising sea level and flooding causing some areas of the UK to be uninhabitable and other such things....

IsawwhatIsaw · 13/08/2026 12:54

angelos02 · 13/08/2026 11:15

The bottom line is - there are too many people. 100 years ago, the global population was about 1 billion. It is now over 8 billion. All of those people need a home, water, food etc, just the basics, then add in the extras like cars, flights etc. The UK alone is cementing over green land to house people. The answer is staring us in the face. And no, I don't have children. Obviously.

I think this is the issue seldom mentioned.
huge increases in population particularly in vulnerable countries with drought , floods, extreme heat, no jobs.

JHound · 13/08/2026 12:36

I am not sure it follows. A country can decide to have a hardline immigration policy irrespective of push factors that will lead people to flee their homes. The main issue is political will.

StandingDeskDisco · 13/08/2026 12:35

Digerydont · 13/08/2026 12:32

Maybe Muslims are right when it comes to interest.

IMHO they tend to obey the letter of the law and not the spirit, so still find ways to make money out of having money.

angelos02 · 13/08/2026 12:34

Most people don't want immigration unless it is very highly skilled. As for job gaps, ask the 1 million NEETs.

frozendaisy · 13/08/2026 12:33

Digerydont · 13/08/2026 12:16

We need a referendum on immigration, and then the government can just get on with what's decided without worrying about the left or the right of their parties.

  1. Zero or near zero immigration
  2. controlled immigration
  3. Open borders

Oh god no

not another simple referendum on an extremely complex issue - not after last time

Digerydont · 13/08/2026 12:32

StandingDeskDisco · 13/08/2026 12:30

Money is useful as a medium of exchange.
The problems start when it is used as a store of wealth. Hence the need for zero-interest money.

Maybe Muslims are right when it comes to interest.

StandingDeskDisco · 13/08/2026 12:30

smallglassbottle · 13/08/2026 12:28

Why do we need money at all? Who has embedded this system whereby the majority are struggling to make ends meet and a small minority are holding all the power and living in luxury.

Money is useful as a medium of exchange.
The problems start when it is used as a store of wealth. Hence the need for zero-interest money.

smallglassbottle · 13/08/2026 12:28

Why do we need money at all? Who has embedded this system whereby the majority are struggling to make ends meet and a small minority are holding all the power and living in luxury.

Thindog · 13/08/2026 12:28

See James Lovelock. Rip

Cheesestringsasatreat · 13/08/2026 12:26

When is all this going to happen?

YourLemonLemur · 13/08/2026 12:26

The answer is to help poorer countries develop so they can mitigate the effects of climate change. Net zero for the UK will only impoverish us and then the migrants will be just as poor here as at home.

StandingDeskDisco · 13/08/2026 12:24

Goingmadddd · 13/08/2026 12:13

Why growth though? It’s a serious question. Why does the economy always have to grow?

Because money is lent into existence on the condition that it is repaid with interest. So growth is needed to generate the money to pay back the interest.

You could have zero economic growth in an economy where there was zero profit and money did not earn any interest.
There have been experiments done whereby money had negative interest, i.e. the longer you kept is the less it was worth, so the incentive was always to spend it all ASAP before it lost its value. Can't recall the outcome and can't be bothered to Google it now, but jut imagine a world where no money ever earned any interest.

IsawwhatIsaw · 13/08/2026 12:24

@HoppityBun
j agree with the climate tourism. I can see fewer people heading south for summer holidays. Spoke to someone this week from Italy who has come here for a month., she says more people are doing this.
I also think larger numbers of people will migrate north due to increasing population, few opportunities and extreme heat and drought conditions.

EasternStandard · 13/08/2026 12:23

smallglassbottle · 13/08/2026 12:22

To make shareholders richer. We know the rich are struggling greatly and we need to help them as much as possible!

I don’t think it’s just this, politicians need to to get close to pledges made.