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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

Be pigsick of sneaky forecast temp rises?

39 replies

Supersimkin7 · 05/08/2026 23:50

Anyone else exasperated? Fourth week running, temps were forecast to be under 80 for a precious few days.

Fourth week running, temps now listed as back over 80 except one day.

Next week’s a blowout of over 30C having stayed at 23ish for ages, I checked.

In London so struggling and really, really miserable now as can’t exercise locally or even get a walk in without gushing sweat.

OP posts:
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Anxious2024 · 06/08/2026 15:39

whiteboard · 06/08/2026 13:41

We’re on the south coast, so the Brighton area. Has no problem finding work, I’m in the office 5 days a week and my husband has a fully remote job.

Thank you - it sounds lovely.

whiteboard · 06/08/2026 13:41

Anxious2024 · 06/08/2026 08:33

Which town did you move to if you want to say? Was it easy to find work there or are you working remotely?

We’re on the south coast, so the Brighton area. Has no problem finding work, I’m in the office 5 days a week and my husband has a fully remote job.

notimagain · 06/08/2026 13:21

There are the real weather forecasts and then there are the summaries that appear in media outlets and on the apps. They are not the same.

^^ This.

Frankly unless the weather is very settled most forecasts more than three/four days ahead are going to contain some degree of uncertainty.

I used to use aviation weather forecasts a lot and those get re-run and re-issued usually at least twice a day....because weather generally really isn't as guaranteed to be predictable umpteen days out as some would have you believe.

Oh, and since the F verses C argument has popped up again...officially it's been Celsius, not Centigrade for donkeys years.

BlackberrySquash · 06/08/2026 13:12

YABU to talk about temperatures in Fahrenheit though I do believe some apps let you switch between.😉

Met Office is far more accurate than BBC. But the met office app had an update which is quite annoying so you can't swipe to go back a page you have to click on specific menus. Also their icons for the whole day are very subjective, you might get a light rain cloud for the whole day, but if you click on the detail actually it is only raining from 4am to 10am, and the rest of the day is dry. Some hospitality venues like zoos were moaning about this recently as it puts people off outdoor activities as they see the icon assuming it will rain all day.

I don't think you should assume anything over 5 days is particularly reliable really, especially for a small little island in north west europe!

Ohplesandbanonos · 06/08/2026 13:03

It’s so strange reading this in the north of England. I’ve been wearing jeans and hoodies for the last few weeks - it’s like living in a different country!! Currently wearing a hoody, jeans and slippers in the house.

RimmerJudasArnold · 06/08/2026 12:18

There are the real weather forecasts and then there are the summaries that appear in media outlets and on the apps. They are not the same.

The real forecast is a vast quantity of statistical and probability data, meaningless to anyone other than a weather scientist but also accurate within its statistical limits.

The summaries in the media or on the apps are subject to the editorial control of the writer. A few figures are cherry picked and single figures are given where the real forecast has a range of predictions.

There is a "wet bias" to some degree in all the published summaries because in general (unlike the OP) most people are more annoyed by unpredicted rain than they are by an unpredicted nice day.

Echobelly · 06/08/2026 10:29

Yeah it is annoying when you thought b you might get a good few days off respite from the heat but turns out it's just one or two! Our deep edwardian terrace takes ages to cool down once it's got hot inside, so I have been running round opening every window in the rare slightly cooler days to let all the heat out.

Jealous of my son in summer camp in the Lake District where it's been 18-20 the whole time.

myfitnessjunctionuk · 06/08/2026 10:25

Supersimkin7 · 05/08/2026 23:50

Anyone else exasperated? Fourth week running, temps were forecast to be under 80 for a precious few days.

Fourth week running, temps now listed as back over 80 except one day.

Next week’s a blowout of over 30C having stayed at 23ish for ages, I checked.

In London so struggling and really, really miserable now as can’t exercise locally or even get a walk in without gushing sweat.

Mate, I feel your pain. London heat in a city that’s built like an oven is absolute misery, especially when the weather app keeps teasing us with relief that never comes!

Elbowpatch · 06/08/2026 09:21

OopsThatWasExcessive · 06/08/2026 09:06

I was thinking that! Didn't the met office and BBC stop using Fahrenheit in the 1960s? No wonder forecasts for the UK in Fahrenheit are wrong!

It was actually 1992 but it’s a tap of the finger to switch between centigrade and Fahrenheit.

Tabloids usually use Fahrenheit for warm temperatures and centigrade for cold. Presumably, it allows for a greater degree of hyperbole. The OP is actually doing the opposite.

OopsThatWasExcessive · 06/08/2026 09:06

principalskinna · 06/08/2026 02:10

I hate forecasts in Fahrenheit 😁

I was thinking that! Didn't the met office and BBC stop using Fahrenheit in the 1960s? No wonder forecasts for the UK in Fahrenheit are wrong!

ScorchioScorpio · 06/08/2026 09:04

Yes I know what you mean - it always ends up hotter than originally predicted... never the other way round!
I'm just trying to clear out some old clothes and I can't even look at a coat or jumper without breaking out in a sweat!

TickedOffAndALittleFedUp · 06/08/2026 09:03

as a child of the seventies I can switch happily between centigrade and Fahrenheit and we all know surely that if the forecast is 30 or in the nineties it's hot!
I read somewhere that the temperatures are taken in the shade at the stations so that they are accurate which means that direct sunlight is always going to feel a lot hotter. The most important part of the forecast to me is the cloud or sun indicator, 30 degrees and cloudy is very different to 30 and blazing sunshine.
We're looking to move in a couple of years and thinking about the coast or further north because of the way our summers are going.

NoWordForFluffy · 06/08/2026 09:01

It's funny how some find the BBC accurate when it rarely is for us. Maybe we're more susceptible to change as we're coastal, making it harder to be right? 🤔 (Pure supposition; I've no clue how it works!)

And I agree with PP that's it's been pleasant by the coast for a good while now. Other than a blip of 29° on Monday, it's been low 20s max for a while. (We had a week of 30+ a few weeks ago, and a similar week in May, though the nights were still comparatively cool - 12-15° - for the recent heatwave where they weren't in May.)

Addictedtoharibobutthestrawbssuck · 06/08/2026 08:55

YABU for using fahrenheit 😂

Also isnt London in a hose pipe ban currently? So you may get in trouble for hosing your balcony.

But otherwise yes I agree - this heat sucks and I am constantly checking the weather forecast hoping for cooler days.

chirrupybird · 06/08/2026 08:41

LakieLady · 06/08/2026 08:37

I've noticed that the Met Office forecast tends to be more cautious than the BBC's; it shows lower max temperatures in hot spells and slightly higher ones in cold spells.

The BBC is very good for pinpointing the time it will start to rain, though. The other day it forecast a shower at 11.00 and it started to rain at 11.05!

Yesterday we had highest chance of rain at 10am (not a very high chance) dead on 10: a very light sprinkle, not enough to do any good for the garden, but I did bring the washing in.

chirrupybird · 06/08/2026 08:39

I find the BBC pretty much right at least for short term, a few days, the further ahead you try to predict the less accurate it becomes.

LakieLady · 06/08/2026 08:37

IbizaToTheNorfolkBroads · 06/08/2026 07:20

I use weather forecasts a lot for work, and we do a lot of cross over work with the Met Office (as an aside, the BBC use Meteo, not MetOffice. The service is out out to tender every few years). Weather forecasting in a bit of a black art, with a lot of variables. The models used are not keeping up with changing weather patterns. Some weather forecasters wil I. “Worst case” and some on “most likely”. So several reasons for discrepancies between forecasts A meteorologist told me once, that statistically he’d be correct most often if he always just said “same as yesterday”.

I've noticed that the Met Office forecast tends to be more cautious than the BBC's; it shows lower max temperatures in hot spells and slightly higher ones in cold spells.

The BBC is very good for pinpointing the time it will start to rain, though. The other day it forecast a shower at 11.00 and it started to rain at 11.05!

Anxious2024 · 06/08/2026 08:33

whiteboard · 06/08/2026 06:58

We moved to the seaside and honestly it’s bliss. Cooler than the cities and often milder in the winter. I’d recommend it!

Which town did you move to if you want to say? Was it easy to find work there or are you working remotely?

HermioneWeasley · 06/08/2026 08:32

I voted YABU because of the word “sneaky”.

you can feel however you want about the weather, but nobody is lying about it on purpose to trick you

NoWordForFluffy · 06/08/2026 08:30

CloudPop · 06/08/2026 07:51

Especially when all forecasts are in Celsius, which means someone has gone to the trouble of converting into Fahrenheit.

I can convert both ways in my head. I'm not sure why anyone would go to the trouble of converting to F when the nation uses C, mind you! I don't need the maths practice, thanks all the same. 🤣

ETA: a lot of people posting about frustration at the hot weather have used Fahrenheit on MN. Strange theme!

NoWordForFluffy · 06/08/2026 08:27

UncomfortableSilence · 06/08/2026 05:05

I mainly use the Met Office app, it only shows the forecast 5 days ahead and is generally accurate, BBC weather and the iPhone weather app are always changing especially BBC as I’ve always assumed they can’t accurately forecast that far ahead.

Sympathies though, I’m in London too and it really has been a run of weather. I do love the sun and heat and it’s nice to feel that we are getting a proper summer but appreciate it’s not for everyone. DD1 and DH have had some awful tube journeys and my office has been unbearable with no air con and as a PP said, I think we are going to have to adapt as it looks like summers like these will be a regular thing.

I don't find the Met Office app accurate for rain. I use MO for temps and Weather Radar for rain. If they're really conflicting, I'll check the BBC as a third option (rarely right, mind!).

LaurieFairyCake · 06/08/2026 08:26

Today is blissfully cool in London, 17 at the moment. It feels so good after the last few weeks

LaurieFairyCake · 06/08/2026 08:25

Yes, the app keeps lying to me. Thought yesterday was only going to be 27, in the end it ‘felt’ over 30 according to the app

likelysuspect · 06/08/2026 07:52

Supersimkin7 · 05/08/2026 23:50

Anyone else exasperated? Fourth week running, temps were forecast to be under 80 for a precious few days.

Fourth week running, temps now listed as back over 80 except one day.

Next week’s a blowout of over 30C having stayed at 23ish for ages, I checked.

In London so struggling and really, really miserable now as can’t exercise locally or even get a walk in without gushing sweat.

Yes, Polyester work clothes are my new enemy

CloudPop · 06/08/2026 07:51

chedderland · 06/08/2026 07:19

I didn’t know anyone still used Fahrenheit in the uk apart from my mum.

Especially when all forecasts are in Celsius, which means someone has gone to the trouble of converting into Fahrenheit.