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AIBU to think Andy Burnham might call a general election soon?

664 replies

Mywishistoclimbthe3peaks · 20/07/2026 00:56

To think Andy Burnham will call a general election before Christmas? Yes it would be a massive roll of the dice but,

Reform - don't have the numbers for a GE and there's all frog faces suspicious money bringing him a lot of heat.

Torys - kemi doesn't have a lot of depth, I feel and she hasn't changed much in the polls. She's good at the dispatch box but let's face it anyone could stand up and insult the other side.

By calling a GE Andy would have his own mandate and break the deadlock of the back benchers.

Not being unreasonable = he needs to call a GE

Your being unreasonable = Robotic Kier and Ratchet Reeves have gone and Andy just needs to get on with it now.

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BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 20:48

EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 20:43

No the power of increased online SM chat is what I’m referring to. It impacts politics in a new way.

It does, but again this is something that was already very well established before the period you're referring to. For obvious reasons the data shows big social media usage accelerations during the lockdown periods, ie preceding the Partygate revelations.

EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 20:43

BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 20:39

It has increased in recent years, but that scene was very much set before Partygate. The online-ification of everything during covid accelerated a trend that had been established for some time.

No the power of increased online SM chat is what I’m referring to. It impacts politics in a new way.

BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 20:39

EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 20:33

No because hounding on SM has increased in recent years, since partygate.

It has increased in recent years, but that scene was very much set before Partygate. The online-ification of everything during covid accelerated a trend that had been established for some time.

EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 20:33

BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 20:25

No it couldn't, as you're talking about something that existed well before the period you're talking about and using channels that were in much wider use than one British opposition party. This is why you're wrong.

No because hounding on SM has increased in recent years, since partygate.

Zipidydodah · 20/07/2026 20:32

Freysimo · 20/07/2026 07:34

Not a chance, he'd risk losing. I'd rather he goes the full term, by which time Kemi might have gained more support. I think she's really impressive, and Farage has had his day now.

agree - really hope he doesn’t ti give Kemi the time to get the conservatives sorted.
The concern is in the meantime he continues the ‘tax a few people a little more” “ those with the broadest shoulders” rhetoric which as we all know means continue to hammer those of us who have done the unspeakable…..worked our arses off, gained skills and qualifications (& the associated debt), taken risks, worked all hours in high pressure challenging jobs and dared to own a house, get a pension etc. Yes yes I know that’s all “luck” and we should all be all be penalized with ever more tax to pay for the less “lucky”
But in this time, more small and medium sized businesses will close, people their 50 plus will just stop because honestly what’s the point in working / continuing especially when apparently it’s some kind of social injustice to want to leave some of that hard work to your kids or will leave as there really are plenty of countries that like the above mentioned “lucky” people and would love us to come to them rather than fleecing us for even more for the ‘less lucky”

Mywishistoclimbthe3peaks · 20/07/2026 20:32

@BermudaRhombus my two pence thoughts on this is that's why he's re branded levelling up. Push money into every area of the UK into housing, transport, health, infrastructure etc using money from investments that he's maybe hoping to get. Build up each area then each area brings in more money for the economy and lowering the welfare spending. If he pulls this off which to be fair would take at going really fast a good 10 years or more would improve the UK economy by billions per year. Thus pushing the UK forwards in all areas it needs to whilst remaining solvent.

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Mywishistoclimbthe3peaks · 20/07/2026 20:26

BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 20:18

I just wonder if they might think it better to not have her in situ for if Farage gets back in and the parliamentary investigation continues. Otoh maybe Burnham either doesn't think he will, or expects the findings to be so significant that any attempts to compare the two don't work.

Oh great points.

Another avenue could be just say Angela does get deputy then Nigel wouldn't be able to use money/tax as a defence against Labour. So many different scenarios.

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BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 20:25

EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 20:19

Yes it could as I said Labour referred to Labourites.

And I only quoted one specifically, so I’m not sure you’ve looked well enough, perhaps scroll back again to check.

No it couldn't, as you're talking about something that existed well before the period you're talking about and using channels that were in much wider use than one British opposition party. This is why you're wrong.

BermudaRhombus · 20/07/2026 20:22

There’s another difference with Blair in that Labour came into government in 1997 with a significantly improving economic backdrop. Consequently Blair had room to manoeuvre. Burnham has seized power under a very different economic picture. I cannot see how Burnham thinks he will pay for everything he’s promising. So he either waters his ambitions down, or we face a Liz Truss moment.

EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 20:19

BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 20:15

None of the posts you quoted in your first one in this discussion could accurately describe something Labour set the scene for, as opposed to having been participants in a very wide ranging tapestry.

Yes it could as I said Labour referred to Labourites.

And I only quoted one specifically, so I’m not sure you’ve looked well enough, perhaps scroll back again to check.

BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 20:18

Mywishistoclimbthe3peaks · 20/07/2026 20:05

We can hope. To be fair she's kept her head down and nose clean since the tax thing last September. More musings from me Wes is maybe too young and not enough experience for deputy.

I just wonder if they might think it better to not have her in situ for if Farage gets back in and the parliamentary investigation continues. Otoh maybe Burnham either doesn't think he will, or expects the findings to be so significant that any attempts to compare the two don't work.

BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 20:15

EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 20:11

Ok that’s not how mn works, if I quote a post it’s referring to that post.

None of the posts you quoted in your first one in this discussion could accurately describe something Labour set the scene for, as opposed to having been participants in a very wide ranging tapestry.

EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 20:11

BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 20:08

You said that Labour set the scene and the first post in this conversation here is about them calling for GEs and trying to get PMs to resign. It is a matter of fact that they did neither of these things, that both were happening well before the period you're focusing on. That means you were wrong. There's a reason none of the many goalpost moves and vague obfuscations have managed to construct a use of those words that could apply to what actually happened.

Ok that’s not how mn works, if I quote a post it’s referring to that post.

CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 20:11

Unconfirmed reports that Brown and Harman have been seen entering Downing St.

Mywishistoclimbthe3peaks · 20/07/2026 20:10

BermudaRhombus · 20/07/2026 20:05

That can’t work. Too much overlap with Haigh. They’d be fighting within days. Rayner is a problem though as she has leadership ambitions and a strong following.

She's very ambitious and liked within the party. This is taking ages, come on Andy.

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BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 20:08

EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 20:04

No I used the language I wanted to which worked with the post I was replying to. It was you who got it wrong.

You said that Labour set the scene and the first post in this conversation here is about them calling for GEs and trying to get PMs to resign. It is a matter of fact that they did neither of these things, that both were happening well before the period you're focusing on. That means you were wrong. There's a reason none of the many goalpost moves and vague obfuscations have managed to construct a use of those words that could apply to what actually happened.

Mywishistoclimbthe3peaks · 20/07/2026 20:05

LuckyHazelFox · 20/07/2026 20:02

Let's hope she's learned some lessons if she's given a second shot.

We can hope. To be fair she's kept her head down and nose clean since the tax thing last September. More musings from me Wes is maybe too young and not enough experience for deputy.

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BermudaRhombus · 20/07/2026 20:05

Mywishistoclimbthe3peaks · 20/07/2026 20:00

Actually the more I think about it. Who always says "I was pregnant as a teenager in a council house" paraphrasing and what does Burnham want to do asap? Build lots of new council houses. Would make sense as Angela in as Deputy.

That can’t work. Too much overlap with Haigh. They’d be fighting within days. Rayner is a problem though as she has leadership ambitions and a strong following.

EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 20:04

BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 20:02

Then use terminology that better matches the point you want to make than 'Labour set the scene'. Because after all, you were talking about something that has been attempted a lot previously, and using a medium that obviously wasn't confined to MN and BTL. If you pick your words better, you won't have to keep goalpost moving.

No I used the language I wanted to which worked with the post I was replying to. It was you who got it wrong.

BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 20:02

EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 19:48

Your last line is the cause of the misunderstanding, it’s too narrow. The post I responded to referred to general hounding a PM out.

Then use terminology that better matches the point you want to make than 'Labour set the scene'. Because after all, you were talking about something that has been attempted a lot previously, and using a medium that obviously wasn't confined to MN and BTL. If you pick your words better, you won't have to keep goalpost moving.

LuckyHazelFox · 20/07/2026 20:02

Mywishistoclimbthe3peaks · 20/07/2026 20:00

Actually the more I think about it. Who always says "I was pregnant as a teenager in a council house" paraphrasing and what does Burnham want to do asap? Build lots of new council houses. Would make sense as Angela in as Deputy.

Let's hope she's learned some lessons if she's given a second shot.

Mywishistoclimbthe3peaks · 20/07/2026 20:00

Actually the more I think about it. Who always says "I was pregnant as a teenager in a council house" paraphrasing and what does Burnham want to do asap? Build lots of new council houses. Would make sense as Angela in as Deputy.

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EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 19:59

Desperatelyseekinglazysusan · 20/07/2026 19:57

Yes that's what I'm saying. Blair had the same Hard Left rump of persistent rebels but kept them inside the party and under tight control where they could be safely ignored. Starmer wasn't able to do that, started off playing hardball then caved and was forced into constant u turns.

Yes agree. In the end they got rid of him, I heard a couple of MPs say they didn’t like his authoritarian approach. Same as the public I guess.

LuckyHazelFox · 20/07/2026 19:58

Mywishistoclimbthe3peaks · 20/07/2026 19:54

@LuckyHazelFox a massive risk if he took would be jaw dropping. When Wes resigned I thought he had been offered deputy by Burnhams team but now dh has me thinking.

Health Sec off the cards for Rayner then.

Desperatelyseekinglazysusan · 20/07/2026 19:57

EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 19:51

Looking it up Starmer removed the whip more

Keir Starmer has removed the whip from more of his own MPs in his first year than Tony Blair and Gordon Brown did combined.

Yes that's what I'm saying. Blair had the same Hard Left rump of persistent rebels but kept them inside the party and under tight control where they could be safely ignored. Starmer wasn't able to do that, started off playing hardball then caved and was forced into constant u turns.

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