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Burnham has won. More turmoil?

816 replies

KatiePricesKnickers · 19/06/2026 05:51

Now Burnham has won, it will trigger a leadership contest, and if he wins, a new chancellor of the exchequer.

Surely this cannot be good for the country, or its finances?

YABU - Burnham is a true leader who will improve the UK for everyone and be a competent and respected leader.

YANBU - FFS, here we go again.

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LBFseBrom · 22/06/2026 23:30

HRTQueen. I don’t agree Boris Johnson love’s being in the centre of politics.
..............

Love's?

ClarkeandNewman · 22/06/2026 18:24

Twiglets1 · 22/06/2026 18:17

I don't - she's my favourite Tory. Only partly because the rest of them are a blur.

She's pretty much the only Tory tbf.

Twiglets1 · 22/06/2026 18:17

ClarkeandNewman · 22/06/2026 18:06

Don't forget Kemi!

I don't - she's my favourite Tory. Only partly because the rest of them are a blur.

ClarkeandNewman · 22/06/2026 18:06

Twiglets1 · 22/06/2026 17:56

There's Kemi for one.

And er.... well ... did I mention Kemi?

Don't forget Kemi!

Twiglets1 · 22/06/2026 17:56

ClarkeandNewman · 22/06/2026 17:55

What senior Tories? 🤣

There's Kemi for one.

And er.... well ... did I mention Kemi?

ClarkeandNewman · 22/06/2026 17:55

HRTQueen · 22/06/2026 17:20

I don’t agree Boris Johnson love’s being in the centre of politics

I wouldn’t put it past him to join Reform

but I don’t think senior Tories would welcome him back, well not now

What senior Tories? 🤣

Loopylalalou · 22/06/2026 17:52

Clavinova · 22/06/2026 15:50

They aren’t terminal for a politician. Look at Trump.

Well in that case, I expect Boris Johnson's return in 2029.

You think Liebore will last that long?

HRTQueen · 22/06/2026 17:20

BIossomtoes · 22/06/2026 17:13

No way would Johnson contemplate a return. He knows being King of the World involves a modicum of work and a shedload of scrutiny now. Once bitten, etc.

I don’t agree Boris Johnson love’s being in the centre of politics

I wouldn’t put it past him to join Reform

but I don’t think senior Tories would welcome him back, well not now

MushMonster · 22/06/2026 17:19

Please, no Johnson! Not again.
I already struggle everytime someone mentions Corbys regarding Labpur and Starmer. Who cares what Corbyn thinks? He was such a bad opposition that Johnson won!
At least Starmer won an election.

BIossomtoes · 22/06/2026 17:13

No way would Johnson contemplate a return. He knows being King of the World involves a modicum of work and a shedload of scrutiny now. Once bitten, etc.

ByGraptharsHammer · 22/06/2026 17:00

Clavinova · 22/06/2026 15:50

They aren’t terminal for a politician. Look at Trump.

Well in that case, I expect Boris Johnson's return in 2029.

Boris Johnson might well return. He had a remarkable Teflon quality. Had he been as capable at delivering he would have been the full ticket.

My point is criticism is inevitable. It’s how you deal with it that makes a PM. Too accepting and people smell blood. Starmer had these technocratic defences which people did not like. And so he looked thin skinned

Clavinova · 22/06/2026 15:50

ByGraptharsHammer · 21/06/2026 21:31

All politicians lie. All of them are criticised. Good politicians let it slide. They survive it. Andy Burnham will have to learn to deal with those things. They aren’t terminal for a politician. Look at Trump.

They aren’t terminal for a politician. Look at Trump.

Well in that case, I expect Boris Johnson's return in 2029.

Abhannmor · 22/06/2026 15:41

Onmytod24 · 22/06/2026 12:23

But labour can beat them and we have done and we will. reform is shrinking. It’s reached its peak and Farage knows that you can see it in his face and the others. They’ll only ever appeal to a small minority.

Neil Kinnock said that he himself was Marmite and John Major was Marmalade. People love or hate Marmite. People like Marmalade or they don't ...but nobody hates it. Thus Major beat him.

So it is with Farage and Lowe. Some people love them of course. But 70pc of the people will plump for nice toast and marmalade candidates. The trick is knowing which one is best placed to stop the Marmite people.

Onmytod24 · 22/06/2026 12:23

ByGraptharsHammer · 19/06/2026 11:52

I would just be happier if both the Labour Party and indeed the Conservatives stopped chasing Reform and their regressive agenda.

Look at who Reform and who they thought would be a good candidate for Makerfield. A foul mouthed man who is happily sexist. That was their choice.

If Labour or the Conservatives cannot beat a party with that sort of low rent and nasty attitude then we are in trouble. All of us.

But labour can beat them and we have done and we will. reform is shrinking. It’s reached its peak and Farage knows that you can see it in his face and the others. They’ll only ever appeal to a small minority.

KatiePricesKnickers · 22/06/2026 11:31

FFS

OP posts:
ClarkeandNewman · 22/06/2026 11:30

CoolGreenBee · 22/06/2026 10:14

I know that's what it includes.

I answered a question.

What's your point?

In that statistic we do have a staggering number of 16-34 year olds economically inactive because they're on long-term sick. About half a million, mostly with them claiming MH reasons or ND.

So the idea they're going to leap into action for a factory job when the taxpayer is paying for them to do nothing seems unrealistic, which is the idea from a particularly poster I was responding to on this thread.

If you want to say there are a lot of young people who aren't in work, education or training, that is a valid point. There is no need to bring personal bias into it and present it as fact. There is no need to bandy about meaningless figures because you believe they bolster your point when, as SadirOflfTyr demonstrates, the truth is more nuanced than you'd have us believe. I would add to the list of the economically inactive unpaid carers, an addition which certainly negates your insinuation that people are lazy, too choosy about what they do and very quick to pretend to be disabled.

ByGraptharsHammer · 22/06/2026 10:33

The issue with industry is that Chinese overcapacity and subsidy make the UK not very competitive. I think we all have to wake up in the West about the “free market”. Our largest competitor in China is using state subsidies to launch highly con industries which are producing too much, which is why the drive for exports. That isn’t free market economics, we are have the piss taken out of us by being this open economy with low tariffs.

If the UK wants manufacturing to return, then there needs to be some acceptance that finance and government subsidies is part of that. It also needs to nationalize some elements like energy which are making us even more uncompetitive.

If you are on the right these are difficult arguments because it means understanding the UK is going to be a much more mixed economy in terms of what the state does and what business does. That has implications on tax… I hope Labour does not repeat Reeves’s mistakes on small business and NICs.

Whoever becomes Chancellor may get more power to make change than in generation. I will be really interested in Burnham’s pick.

EasternStandard · 22/06/2026 10:22

5MinuteArgument · 22/06/2026 10:08

There are also many thousands of people in their 50s who are struggling to find jobs.

Yes to both your posts.

CoolGreenBee · 22/06/2026 10:14

SadiraOfTyr · 22/06/2026 10:00

Economically inactive includes:

  1. students who don't work during term time
  2. Stay at home parents
  3. Early retirees
  4. Those of independent means
  5. The long-term sick
Of these, the only group of real concern is the long-term sick who may want to work but are simply unable to find a job that can make the accommodations they require. If people don't want to work, and can support themselves (either directly or via parents/partners), I don't think that is any of the state's business.

I know that's what it includes.

I answered a question.

What's your point?

In that statistic we do have a staggering number of 16-34 year olds economically inactive because they're on long-term sick. About half a million, mostly with them claiming MH reasons or ND.

So the idea they're going to leap into action for a factory job when the taxpayer is paying for them to do nothing seems unrealistic, which is the idea from a particularly poster I was responding to on this thread.

5MinuteArgument · 22/06/2026 10:08

There are also many thousands of people in their 50s who are struggling to find jobs.

5MinuteArgument · 22/06/2026 10:07

SadiraOfTyr · 22/06/2026 10:00

Economically inactive includes:

  1. students who don't work during term time
  2. Stay at home parents
  3. Early retirees
  4. Those of independent means
  5. The long-term sick
Of these, the only group of real concern is the long-term sick who may want to work but are simply unable to find a job that can make the accommodations they require. If people don't want to work, and can support themselves (either directly or via parents/partners), I don't think that is any of the state's business.

The real concern are the NEETs, young people who are not in employment, education or training. There are now over a miion of them. This should be a national priority.

CandidLurker · 22/06/2026 10:05

SadiraOfTyr · 22/06/2026 09:49

No-one on IR35 was writing commercial software for the open market. They were building in-house systems, mostly for banks. I work for an actual software company (18k employees) and we do not, and have never, used contractors for software engineering. Contracting is very heavily used in IT services, which makes sense, but not in software, where the load is broadly constant - if it isn't it means you aren't releasing new product/improving old ones and are circling the drain.

Yes I understand that. I was just responding to the previous poster’s comment that we need to make software in this country again.

The wider point still applies regarding use of cheaper labour from overseas and impact of IR35 on a flexible workforce in the IT industry as a whole.

SadiraOfTyr · 22/06/2026 10:00

CoolGreenBee · 22/06/2026 09:49

Working age population so 16-64, 21% are economically inactive so out of work and not seeking a job.

Economically inactive includes:

  1. students who don't work during term time
  2. Stay at home parents
  3. Early retirees
  4. Those of independent means
  5. The long-term sick
Of these, the only group of real concern is the long-term sick who may want to work but are simply unable to find a job that can make the accommodations they require. If people don't want to work, and can support themselves (either directly or via parents/partners), I don't think that is any of the state's business.
SadiraOfTyr · 22/06/2026 09:49

CandidLurker · 22/06/2026 08:55

I’m pretty sure there are already people in the UK “making software”. We had a strong IT industry but then the IR35 rules led to flexible workers being forced into PAYE roles. IT is just the kind of industry that needs flexible workers as the workload is not constant and sometimes you need specialist skills for a short time. AB could stop companies “on-shoring” bringing in cheaper labour from India and also stop any further “off-shoring”.

No-one on IR35 was writing commercial software for the open market. They were building in-house systems, mostly for banks. I work for an actual software company (18k employees) and we do not, and have never, used contractors for software engineering. Contracting is very heavily used in IT services, which makes sense, but not in software, where the load is broadly constant - if it isn't it means you aren't releasing new product/improving old ones and are circling the drain.

CoolGreenBee · 22/06/2026 09:49

MushMonster · 22/06/2026 09:41

Which % of UK adult population is not on work or education?

Working age population so 16-64, 21% are economically inactive so out of work and not seeking a job.

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