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To think this is a real possibility in the future? (State pension)

454 replies

TheOtherBoleynSister · 25/03/2026 18:37

I am 34 and ever since I started working people have said don’t rely on there being a state pension. So I’m pretty pessimistic about it.

I honestly believe that for people under 40, the universal state pension (paid regardless of income or capital to those who have paid NI for a certain number of years) won’t exist. That there will be no qualifying ‘age’, and instead older people will be the same as the rest of the population when it comes to benefit eligibility ie. Have to be certified as too ill or physically unable to work, and get UC if income is low and savings are below £16k. In other words, being a certain age won’t entitle us to any benefit like it does now.

In this awful very bleak future, older people who can no longer work, who have savings/money above the threshold or private pensions, will need to rely solely on the money they have unless or until they get to the point where they now qualify for benefits.

Of course I don’t want this to happen, but with all the stories about the cost of pensions and the rising number of older people it feels inevitable. But the reality is many people’s private pensions won’t be nearly enough to last (but maybe they will be forced to spend them before any help), and there’s also talk in the press of some wanting to do away with ‘generous’ public sector pensions (which are not as generous as they used to be, albeit they are better than a lot of private schemes).

I am quite aware of pensions due to older relatives and friends who are of that age, but many people my age haven’t a clue about them or how they work. I do think we will be seeing a real disaster in less than 30 years, but people don’t care as it’s someone else’s/ tomorrow’s problem.

OP posts:
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PocketSand · 26/03/2026 15:31

I think that most people using the pot analogy for state pension and public sector pension may imagine that once the pension holder dies the remainder of the ‘pot’ is an asset paid to beneficiaries. It is not. Under public sector schemes there are specific rules about widow/widower pensions and amounts paid to dependant benefliciaries.

You don’t get an annuity of say £20k a year whilst keeping your pot to pass on as inheritance when you die. Neither state pension or public sector pensions are realisable cash assets. You are just guaranteed an income for as long as you live. If you die earlier than projected you have no right to claim what you paid in but didn’t receive.

Private pensions and defined contribution schemes are different. Your savings might not be enough to leave capital in tact if you live longer than average and may be reduced but if you die younger than average your total pension pot is a realisable asset.

Inherited wealth is a significant part of the problem of wealth inequality. The state pension was not designed to allow the already wealthy to claim state benefits to increase asset wealth. It’s just ‘free money’ that they don’t need that pays for luxuries or is saved. To others its essential to pay everyday expenses. This is the issue that needs to be addressed.

TheOtherBoleynSister · 26/03/2026 15:03

AllaMova · 26/03/2026 09:37

I’m trying to plan my retirement without the state pension in mind. I’m going to be very poor if it isn’t available (despite my planning). If I do end up getting it (I am only 29), I’ll be pleasantly surprised.

I’m surprised we haven’t rioted about the state pension age rises yet, to be honest.

I think it’s because the generation with a pension age of 68+ are those in their mid-40s or younger, who think retirement is light years away and they’re more worried about mortgages, childcare etc etc. So they didn’t take notice of the changes or bother to protest. Most people don’t care about their pensions or state pension age until they get to their 50s and it’s not so far away.

OP posts:
Tipsowner · 26/03/2026 14:59

The Assisted Dying Bill is ... er, dead.

StandingDeskDisco · 26/03/2026 14:28

CelticSilver · 26/03/2026 08:07

Isn't this what the Assisted Dying Bill is for?

No.
That bill is for people slowly dying in agony of illnesses like cancer or paralysis.

If you meant your comment as a joke, then perhaps an emoji would have helped.

JehovasFitness · 26/03/2026 14:17

I think the idea that the public sector are blessed here is a bit fanciful.

There is no doubting that most public sector workers on a defined benefit scheme are onto a better thing than a private sector workers on a contributory pension BUT, we are now almost all underpaid too.

I could double my salary in the private sector and not only would the public lose access to my skills, I’d be acting against the public sector in arbitrations.

I quite like the whole idea of public service but financially, it’s only the pension that keeps me in. If you want to take my pension you can pay me at the market rate or I will leave and the same goes for hundreds of thousands/millions of us.

frozendaisy · 26/03/2026 14:14

Haemagoblin · 26/03/2026 13:02

You speak as if the way people behave now is not entirely contingent on the circumstances they find themselves in. It's like people who look at the success of 50 Shades of Grey and say "look women do love being dominated", as if that preference has dropped out of a clear blue sky rather than being shaped within patriarchy. We simply don't know how people would behave if liberated from capitalism in a high tech world because we've not seen it. Time will tell. But I'm pretty sure there'll have to be some sort of revolution first.

What on earth do you mean by 'debauched'? bit of a 19th century word.

What I know about 50 Shades of Grey is that it would never have been the success it was without the invention of the kindle - no one could see what you were reading - given the option of privacy many people chose to read hardcore erotica on their daily commute (women mainly) - which is part of the predication that humans are attracted to money and sex - because let’s face it if the man had been slight in a messy bedsit it wouldn’t have scratched that fantasy. Debauchery! Which means a portrayal of pleasurable excess (can be excess of anything really)

Worklife is changing.
Retirement is changing.

The state pension will not be removed, governments will crunch population numbers and it will hit age 70 at some point.

Say you take the working population ages of 20-70
And retirement 70-85
A span of 50 years working population supporting a span of 15 years retirement population

And keel adjusting the numbers accordingly as life expectancy, if life expectancy, increases.

That should be acceptable for a general population.

ThatArtfulStork · 26/03/2026 14:10

StandingDeskDisco · 26/03/2026 14:05

You assume that economic growth will continue for many decades into the future, that money invested will give a return.
With climate change, topsoil depletion, water shortages, and above all peak oil, that assumption is questionable.

I very much doubt it is questionable. The stock market always bounces back eventually. And how else do you make your money grow without the government stealing a huge chunk in tax? Also the more people who invest in the stock market the more money companies have to grow and make more money which benefits everyone’s pensions.

StandingDeskDisco · 26/03/2026 14:05

ElizabethsTailor · 25/03/2026 21:19

Sorry for quoting my own post but it made me think more. Total NI (employers as well as employees) on that £28k salary would be £3,800 per annum.

If that was instead invested for the employee, then that pension pot after 50 years would be nearly £600k, giving an income of about £24k (in today’s money).

So, maybe there is an argument that the state pension should be abolished. Maybe instead of “each generation paying for the previous generations pensions” it should be actually invested, in a proper pension pot, on behalf of the individual.

At the very least the narrative that people “earn too little to pay into a pension” needs to change.

You assume that economic growth will continue for many decades into the future, that money invested will give a return.
With climate change, topsoil depletion, water shortages, and above all peak oil, that assumption is questionable.

gina9757 · 26/03/2026 13:44

@summershere99 I do wonder what impact UPF, chemicals, plastics and all the other toxic things in our environment will have on the extension of life span. Haven’t they already said younger (or mine? Millennial) generations aren’t expected to live longer?

summershere99 · 26/03/2026 13:39

It could be a perfect storm in about 15-20 years with many people living longer due to advances in health care / cancer treatment, the impact of AI on jobs, fewer young people in work due to mental health / ASD therefore fewer tax payers but a massive population of 70+ pensioners whose state pensions need paying. No idea what the answer is but what we currently think of as retirement will likely only be afforded by a small minority of people. I’m fully expecting to have to work until I’m 70/75 to top up my pension but in some ways, as long as the job is not full time and not too physically demanding, maybe that’s not a terrible thing but of course that presumes those types of jobs haven’t been eliminated by AI.

StandingDeskDisco · 26/03/2026 13:13

TheOtherBoleynSister · 25/03/2026 18:41

Surely that isn’t really feasible though? No one would want to do the less desirable jobs anymore, those that can’t be done by robots.

Then those jobs would have to pay enough so that people would chose to do them.

Haemagoblin · 26/03/2026 13:02

frozendaisy · 26/03/2026 12:32

Look at the internet!

just this comment “one up manship” - “I wouldn’t do that not like you”

(I am actually an artist so I do consume art a lot if which is debauched by the way)

It’s just when people retire they are usually to physically weak to cause any real trouble.

Work holds society together without it there would be/will be utter chaos. Always has been.

You speak as if the way people behave now is not entirely contingent on the circumstances they find themselves in. It's like people who look at the success of 50 Shades of Grey and say "look women do love being dominated", as if that preference has dropped out of a clear blue sky rather than being shaped within patriarchy. We simply don't know how people would behave if liberated from capitalism in a high tech world because we've not seen it. Time will tell. But I'm pretty sure there'll have to be some sort of revolution first.

What on earth do you mean by 'debauched'? bit of a 19th century word.

Whyhaveibeencutoutofmamsnot · 26/03/2026 13:00

Allseeingallknowing · 26/03/2026 12:54

Increases substantially?

Yes by the highest of the three measures of inflation.
More than my salary (still working) and my private pension

Allseeingallknowing · 26/03/2026 12:54

Whyhaveibeencutoutofmamsnot · 26/03/2026 08:53

Same here - I can remember the end of the state pension being talked about when I was in my forties and I am collecting mine. Thanks to the triple lock it increases substantially every year.
The government which gets rid of it will be a very brave government (has to be put in the manifesto) and will not be voted in.

Increases substantially?

frozendaisy · 26/03/2026 12:32

Haemagoblin · 26/03/2026 12:21

Just because that's how you fill your free time doesn't mean everyone would pal.

Look at the internet!

just this comment “one up manship” - “I wouldn’t do that not like you”

(I am actually an artist so I do consume art a lot if which is debauched by the way)

It’s just when people retire they are usually to physically weak to cause any real trouble.

Work holds society together without it there would be/will be utter chaos. Always has been.

New0ay · 26/03/2026 12:26

Swiftie1878 · 26/03/2026 10:41

They will do it because society will collapse if they don’t.
There will be cross party agreement and support from the public too.

There absolutely won’t be cross party agreement or support from the public as those with half a brain know how crap private pensions are and how crucial state pensions are.

Haemagoblin · 26/03/2026 12:21

frozendaisy · 26/03/2026 12:08

They will fill it with sex, gambling, excess, vices, one-up man ship and violence - as humans have always done. With too much time on their hands.

Just because that's how you fill your free time doesn't mean everyone would pal.

ThatArtfulStork · 26/03/2026 12:19

Traceysgoingtobelivid · 26/03/2026 12:10

What ridiculous hyperbole with nothing to back it up.

No offence to the OP, been a good chat, but this entire post is hyperbole with nothing to back it up. I’m not aware of any political party that has said they will scrap state pension as many posters have pointed out any party that does will be unelectable.

Traceysgoingtobelivid · 26/03/2026 12:10

Swiftie1878 · 26/03/2026 10:41

They will do it because society will collapse if they don’t.
There will be cross party agreement and support from the public too.

What ridiculous hyperbole with nothing to back it up.

Traceysgoingtobelivid · 26/03/2026 12:09

Swiftie1878 · 26/03/2026 10:40

It’s not the only one, but the triple lock is rendering it impossible.

But you aren’t explaining or proving why it’s impossible, where are you getting this information from?

frozendaisy · 26/03/2026 12:08

Haemagoblin · 26/03/2026 11:57

Also o-one's saying it would make everyone "beacons of calm balanced mental and spiritual health". That's hyperbole and setting up a straw man. I'm simply saying that it is not hard to imagine how people might gainfully fill their time if given the capacity to do so.

They will fill it with sex, gambling, excess, vices, one-up man ship and violence - as humans have always done. With too much time on their hands.

Catha537 · 26/03/2026 12:07

I am also in my early thirties and do not believe there will be a state pension by the time I get there. I think this is incredibly sad as people work the best years of their life in belief that they will get a break and help in their older years. But I also believe that changes will happen much earlier and that even people who are pensioners now will be affected. I think the triple lock will go it will just need a brave government to push it through. I can also imagine more means testing of the pension starting sooner than people think.

The idea that the working population can support an ever increasing elderly population is just going to put more and more pressure on the young. Who are already paying record high housing costs per proportion of their income, have an awful job market, high cost of living and are now at risk of loosing their jobs to AI.

It’s not just pensions it’s also the NHS and social care. I work in social care and we take up more and more of the councils budget each year. It’s difficult as people are paying more than ever in council tax and yet services are getting worse for them but the money is just eaten by adult social Care. In my area alone we expect to see an 80% increase in over 85 year olds in the next 15 years which is going to bring massive pressures to social care. At that point is council tax just a social care insurance policy. I don’t know what the answer is but we need to have a serious think about how we fund our ageing population and I don’t think it’s fair to just carry on as we are and dumping all the problems on the younger generation.

Haemagoblin · 26/03/2026 11:57

Also o-one's saying it would make everyone "beacons of calm balanced mental and spiritual health". That's hyperbole and setting up a straw man. I'm simply saying that it is not hard to imagine how people might gainfully fill their time if given the capacity to do so.

Haemagoblin · 26/03/2026 11:56

frozendaisy · 26/03/2026 11:46

Children and teens go to school and learn new skills, spend time with their families, do research, exercise - and they aren’t all beacons of calm balanced mental and spiritual health.

When has any group of humans ever been this?

Well no because they have stressed out, distracted, overwhelmed parents, atomised families, a constant message of impending doom from teachers and the media about how difficult it is going to be to find work in the future, environmental catastrophe and geopolitical instability fed them constantly by their phones, and are the premium target market for an absolutely amoral feral capitalism (see recent Meta trial for evidence of this). Humans have never had to live like this before. It isn't good for us.

ThatArtfulStork · 26/03/2026 11:55

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