Basically in an investigation can evidence of a previous warning for a behaviour be used to suggest that you have a propensity to that behaviour and therefore it is more likely that you committed the offence?
A friends son is facing a disciplinary hearing in relation to an alleged theft (he denies it - all very complicated lots of ill feeling within organisation and certainly no real evidence as far as I am aware, inclined to believe him FWIW)
However he has previously had a written warning regarding the same issue (he denies the offence although he was found 'guilty' and says that this is part of a plan to hound him out)
There has apparently been an independent investigation and the investigator was told that he had previously been diciplined for the same offence. Some of this process/info is documented and it appears that the investigator is saying there is no real evidence for theft 2, but since you were found guilty of theft 1 it'smore likely that you committed theft 2.
Seems very wrong to me - any thoughts?