Came across this tweet thread on Twix and a linked article, thought I’d post it here for others to read:
Article - https://genderstats.substack.com/p/besides-cass-uk-trends-in-gender
Tweets -
https://x.com/chester_fence/status/1870103940181660114
1/n) In my article (link in bio, of course free), I summarized and analyzed official NHS data to get a grasp about the state and trends of 'gender medicine' in the UK. Here is a short summary of the main insights. The biggest concern: A sharp rise in 'female-to-male' genital surgeries combined with a fairly low average age of patients.
(2/n) It is important to remind that there is no systematic evidence that medical transition improves mental health outcomes for distressed individuals including adults.
The studies cited rely on a combination of self-reported outcomes, simple after/before comparisons and very small sample sizes. That tells us nothing about the counterfactual or hypothetical scenario, i.e. what would have happened to a patient had they not undergone medical transition.
Without such evidence and given the inevitable sterility and huge complications, the "adults-can-do-what-they-like" argument still ignores that this is a highly unethical treatment option. Also, paediatric gender transition mostly came from poor "passing" and hence adult transition, so it is not clear to me how we can make such a clean cut distinction between the two.
3/n) Within (English) NHS gender clinics, the rate at which gender dysphoria (for everyone) is being diagnosed seems to largely go on unabated. In 2023/2024, almost 6000 patients received a diagnosis and if treatment hasn't changed, a sizeable fraction of these individuals will medically transition to some degree. Link to graph
4/n) What about kids? This is somewhat a follow-up graph on the famous GIDS referral graph. It shows the annual number of minors receiving the diagnosis "gender dysphoria of childhood". Whether or not the dip in 2023 is a result of increased scrutiny due to the Cass Interim Report or patients moving to private providers is an open question. Link to graph
5/n) Now to (genital) surgeries: In total: 498 genital surgeries in the last NHS financial year. This is a 5-fold increase since 2000. While more men undergo genital surgeries, 'FtM' surgeries have seen a sharp increase in the last year. These surgeries are not effective and often have terrible side effects. Link to graph
6/n) What is also very concerning is that patients seeking phalloplasty tend to be much younger than males seeking "MtF" surgeries. For England, in 2015 for 'FtM' the average age was 23, for 'MtF' well above 40. Unfortunately, the NHS England statistics do not publish age specific data anymore after 2015 on anything gender medicine related because "privacy concerns". Link to graph