I’m deeply worried about the likely outcome of this election when reading threads like this: https://www.mumsnet.com/talk/womens_rights/5107886-melanie-field-the-former-egrc-expert-behind-labours-womens-rights-policy?page=1
But more philosophically, the TRA seem to actually want to turn back the clock to a time when we had the GRA with all its problems (primogeniture preserved; section 22 - see here: https://thecritic.co.uk/secrets-and-lies/ ) but concerns were only expressed by a small number of people who were easy to ignore, bully or sideline. Examples: transwidows, Julie Bindel
Operation back-to-the-future will however only work if the activist fringe of the TRA can be disciplined, potential bad actors can be expelled (probably why cross dressers have been removed from Stonewall’s definition of trans - makes no sense, as they tend to feel very strongly about their ‘needs’, more strongly perhaps than your ‘non binary-till-graduation’ type) and the reasonable ground can be reclaimed.
The problem is: that ground has been burnt and salted, for me at least. I will never again see, for example, Prof. Stephen Whittle OBE as a reasonable person but rather a symptom of the corruption of our institutions, and a callous extremist.
True, for normies like me the first decade after the GRA in 2004 was passed was uneventful but then we had the ‘Great Awokening’ from ca. 2014 and the mainstreaming of ‘queer’.
So, on the one hand I am happy because you’d have to paint over every rainbow crossing in the world and nuke Reddit/asktransgender to make everyone forget how we got here and that’s impossible.
On the other hand I am sad because powerful people still think that they can close Pandora’s box again and bamboozle us into thinking that this is about protecting the vulnerable. They will bring in de facto self-ID and the onus will be on us to show that it is harmful. Then the question will be how many casualties will be enough, and how we roll this back in the law. We will have a debate on why we need a GRA in the first place. They might bank on ‘queer’ becoming unfashionable in the next decades and for that debate to be limited to a small number of experts, but I don’t think this will be the case.
Does this prediction sound plausible?