... The roots of this wind change are wider, he said, partly emerging in concert with well-funded American religious right organisations who have championed anti-LGBT causes in recent years – and echoed by the Russian government.
“Here in the UK, this anti-LGBT campaign has become incredibly well-organised. It’s managed to capture the fears of otherwise moderate colleagues. And I think that is what has led to this change in attitudes. When I think back to the publication of the LGBT Action Plan, all of the hysteria and the rhetoric that’s coming out now was nowhere near as potent as it was in 2018.”
But the causes of this change, he added, are also more internal, driven partly by certain Tory advisers, and emerged during the two Conservative leadership elections last year.
“There’s been a battle for affection within the party membership to try and win those members over,” he told i. “And for some reason, the issue of LGBT – particularly the issue of trans – seemed to be one where people thought they might garner support.”
... “I don’t think it’s strategic,” Robert Colvile, one of the authors of the 2019 Conservative Manifesto, told i. “If there has been a change in the Tory party it’s very much about the ‘T’ in ‘LGBT’. It is emphatically not being done out of electoral strategy.”
Instead, he thinks the shift has arisen from “genuine” and “heartfelt” concerns surrounding the treatment of trans children, and the “tension between self-ID and the idea that there should be safe spaces for women who’ve been victim of abuse and rape”.
“There is a sense within the Tory party of them pushing back against a progressive movement that has not just gone too far, but has denied there were any problems with any of this,” he said.
But this taps into a more fundamental fear on the right “that conservatism is increasingly being viewed as illegitimate”, he said, citing “the rise of ‘woke’” and “a whole series of doctrines which are being spread in academia, in charities, which essentially attempt to argue that the things they believe in are outdated or prejudiced”. A senior Tory who did not wish to be named told i that MPs who campaign against trans issues, or so-called ‘woke’ issues, are rising in the party due to this deeper worry.