I believe the next five years will be telling, especially in the UK, "TERF Island".
2023 seems a watershed year, where rampant trans ideology hasn't prevailed (Isla Bryson, Lia Thomas), or where barely restrained laughter in the past is no longer restrained at all (Dylan Mulvaney, Mika Minio, Suzeee Edieee Izzard, Kayla Z Cups), legal situations are tested and verdicts support the GC position (Bailey, Bindel, Cherry, Forstater), captured politicians are hoist on their own petard or forced to swivel (Sturgeon, Starmer).
This leaves two areas that remain white hot with controversy, are resolving poorly, and absolutely peaking the public.
One is schools policy on genderised education, and secrecy from parents. The line cannot hold here, it'll have to be resolved, and to the wishes of parents up and down the land.
And cancel culture, primarily the public scolding and victimisation of women. From JKR, to Milli Hill the childcare author and others of her ilk, GC commentators, and very critically, the likes of Róisín who didn't ask to be outed, but in being so has been made an example to all other women, especially those in the arts.
The public are speaking (Róisín topping the charts, selling out gigs, and in no uncertain terms showing discomfort on the schools issue).
So, TRA ruling the agenda just a year ago, the boot now on the other foot ie reality dawning and reasserting in 2023, and in 2024 a Labour government starting, primarily got over the line by the female vote.
This is where it really gets interesting. Because Starmer will mistake a big female vote for tacit support re his pro TRA stance.
Nothing could be further from the truth.
The cancel culture ethos this 2014 example describes reached it's apex in 2022. Starmer needs to realise that the Arrow Of History has now veered from that direction.
If he misjudges female support for a Labour government in the areas of NHS, housing, waiting lists, childcare, for women being ok on being cancelled, he'll have misjudged massively.
Róisín's example shows this shit is over.