I have thought about it very much and I agree there is a huge lack of research in this area.
I'll try and combine my response to this at the same time as following up on my answer to @SpookyFBI about "reversible social transition"
Firstly the definition: I use to the Cass interpretation of social transition from the Interim Report as my basis for understanding - changing someone's name, pronouns or other similar attributes (choice/change of clothing is included as it often a marker of a gender expression for someone wishing to express a gender identity). Cass makes it very clear that anything that falls under this banner is "not a neutral act" but is an "active intervention" which can "lead to pyschological harm longer term".
I totally agree that all of those examples you gave of difficult situations longer term are going to be difficult to reverse out from for anyone who has socially transitioned who subsequently wants to stop and reverse. They help bring in ideas about why it's not innocuous. Also Swedish documentary "The Trans Train" was helpful in setting out the nuances of this.
In the absence of a body of research, I've listened to hours of detransitioners (who went on to medically transition after social transition, then detransitioned) talking and grabbed hold of anything else I could that helped me build out a picture of a social transition journey. I've had to fill in the blanks but the gist I got is that from the moment you start your social transition, you're on a pathway that you don't want to get off it because a) it feels like you're directly addressing a gender dysphoria so will eventually feel better a) everyone tells you you'll have doubts before you take the next step (e.g. chest binders then the medical pathway) so you just have to go for it c) you'd feel awkward and embarrassed if you said it didn't feel right at any point, so you daren't stop.
The best relatable thing I've got for that is someone having doubts about a marriage just before a wedding. The build up to the wedding, the cost and expectations so far, will I let everyone down if I pull out?, I'm probably just nervous because it's a big step.. and so on. I appreciate it's not the perfect analogy but it's how I processed it. In other words, the more steps you take along the journey, the more you're likely to keep taking.
I then read a 3 part story that a mum wrote about how she helped her autistic daughter to "desist" (the term that is used for non-medical detransition.. or reversal of social transition). Her daughter was fully transitioned socially, both at school and at home. This helped me consolidate my thoughts on what was right for my daughter. The biggest takeaway I had was that I needed to limit the steps she took along the social transition pathway without getting to a point where I was doing something against her will. The story I read involved a hardline approach like Erin Friday (mum from California - video on Trigonometry) took. I wanted to avoid this but it took a lot of effort because I had to fight against a big pull from outside influences. I now know that RHSE lessons in school were also an influence.
By this time, my daughter had changed her name at school (the school did it, not us - they did tell us but only after they had done it) and was demanding puberty blockers. She hadn't changed her pronouns at this point but every time she said her "new" name to someone, they asked her her pronouns. Every time she was asked her pronouns, she got more and more overwhelmed because she didn't have an answer. Eventually she said "I'm leaning towards he/him". This was the only point at which I directly intervened and I told her that "I don't know" is a perfectly valid answer. I explained to her that any gender identity exploration was a journey and that she shouldn't decide the end of the journey (he/him pronouns) without completing the journey first. I suggested to her that the internet was not the right place to do that journey because it was full of all sorts misinformation in an area of health care that isn't very well understood at the moment. Luckily she agreed. Looking back now, I think she only agreed because a) as a family we have always had lots of conversation about not believing everything you see on the internet and using critical thinking skills and b) she knew I was listening to her and getting myself informed about LGBT+ issues by talking to people from the LGBT community. Maintaining a dialogue was the most important part, even though she was being regularly violent.
I explained to her that I'd discovered from my research many autistic girls struggle with their gender identity and their bodies. I think this reassured her she wasn't alone. I also shared bits of what I learned from talking to LGBT people. But mostly, I focused on helping her to address how she felt about her changing body.
The hardest part by far was stopping a social transition being done on her behalf by the medical profession and education system. I won't go in to details on here because this post is long enough now I think! Also, I cover that aspect in lots of detail in the article that I wrote (linked above on page 17 or 18 I think).
Regarding my daughter's name, we've helped her frame her choice of preferred name as a nickname. That way it's not a transition, it's just a name she likes to be called. At one time, school had changed her actual name on her record but, at our request, this was changed back and her preffered name is now in the "known as" field.
So in summary, I think a reversal of social transition is possible but it gets harder the further along the pathway someone is. Also, I don't believe anyone can (or should) be coerced in to reversing their social transition. The mum whose article I read and Erin Friday took this hardline approach and that worked for them. However, I didn't want to do it that way. Instead, I focused on removing the outside influences of gender identity bias and focusing on her autism distress.