Lets look at the 7 current frontrunners in the betting to be next Tory leader to see where they stand on gender and sex:
Of the two top frontrunners Liz Truss clearly understands human biology and is enthusiastic about supporting women.
Rishi Sunak as far as I can make out has never spoken about the subject publicly, seems evasive on the issue. He cares more about Thatcherite economics than social issues. However Sunak ultimately wants to win, so he will do whatever will gain votes so he may swing to support women.
Tom Tugendhat, a former solider has a solid Tory MP following and has already announced he would stand in a leadership contest. He is an enthusiastic supporter of LGBT rights in terms of freedom, however he celebrated the victory of Kate Scottow in her case freedom of speech case over misgendering. It is unclear what he thinks himself. twitter.com/tomtugendhat/status/1339897574162096129?
Jeremy Hunt presided over the NHS during a major expansion in genderism, and has often stated support for LGBT rights, but it is not entirely clear what he believes about women. Hunt is pretty rational so recent court cases etc may have an impact, but he is socially liberal so may feel he can’t speak out.
Michael Gove received the enthusiastic support of Sir John Hayes, the leader of the anti-woke Common Sense faction in the Tory party, in a previous attempt at being leader. Hayes is not going to have supported anyone who thinks multiple genders are a thing so Gove is likely to back the existence of biological sex. Also his ex was Sarah Vine so he probably received plenty of lectures on the subject.
As said before Saijd Javid, the heath secretary, used the cervix nonsense as a political weapon against Keir Starmer: twitter.com/sajidjavid/status/1442082718402154498?lang=en
Now you could see this is Javid being opportunistic, but remember lots of other Tory MPs prefer to keep silent on the issue. He has also ordered a review into gender issues in NHS. I doubt Javid is bluffing. I think he sees there is an issue just like Truss, and also sees it as something he can gain support over.
The final one of the leading candidates Penny Mordaunt is a key supporter of gender ideology in the party saying “"it was the defining moral and cultural issue of our time”. She has spoken out in Cabinet on it. Mordaunt as a Brexity figure has a decent following amongst Tory MPs and the Tory base and has been talked up recently as a candidate that can appeal across the party.
NB Patel obviously is anti-genderism, but she hasn't got a big following amongst Tory MPs so is unlikely to get anywhere if she runs.
So Truss and Javid are sound for sure, Gove almost certainly. Tugendhat will back women’s right to speak out, what he personally thinks is uncertain. Hunt and Sunak are trying to play the social liberal card, but one suspects they might be converted to back women, but might not prioritise it. Mordaunt is a true believer in genderism and has to be stopped.
When there are hustings Conservatives for Women should make sure they ask the candidates what is a woman I think.
Remember Tory rules mean that Tory MPs vote to select two final leadership candidates and those then have to then compete for votes from party members. It is worth noting there is a anti Truss move amongst Tory MPs apparently, because she is seen as a liability by some, and rumour has it that there will be attempts to keep her out of final two running. Truss is very popular amongst Tory membership so might win for sure if she gets to final round. However Truss may outwit her enemies, whatever happens Truss is likely to remain high profile and that means she will be pushing her anti-genderism ideas.
It is likely the final vote will be Sunak vs someone else.