I couldn't get past the first two paragraphs of the first link. Airily dismissing biology as being in any way relevant to whether you are a woman or not.
Re the comparison to religion that Lass makes. People who are religious don't insist that you share their beliefs too, because otherwise their belief system falls apart.
Transgenderism requires the belief of everyone. Merely not believing what they believe is seen as personal violence towards them. It only works if they can force people to treat them in a certain way. It's all about how they are treated, not what they believe.
I do wonder what would happen if the law suddenly changed. If it was made quite clear that although they would not be discriminated any more than anyone else, they are not women and they cannot access women's spaces, scholarships, etc.
After the furore had died down. I think the transactivists would melt away.