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Original poster

Thunderstorm risk this week.

62 replies

OhYouBadBadKitten · 18/07/2016 09:26

I'm going to keep an eye on the models and try and highlight where the greatest risk of thunderstorms might be and when this week.

At the moment, the highest risk appears to be tuesday evening, after a hot to very hot day for many (perhaps just warm for some northern coastal areas). Temperatures around London could be around 33/34C and 30C quite widely in the Midlands.

That evening (tomorrow evening!) it looks as though this plume of hot air could then destabilise. At the moment GFS has the highest risk of severe storms around the Liverpool/Manchester/Birmingham and north Wales region. However, there is a good risk of moderate storms showing later on in the night through the Exeter region and upwards. The SE appears to escape the main risk area.

As always with storm forecasting there are no promises. Its a bit like a forest fire really, sometimes all of the conditions can be perfect, yet a spark dies out quickly, other times a blaze can take hold. Also, one town may see a huge storm, while the next one sees nothing.

I will update as we go through today and tomorrow.

OP posts:
Ledkr · 19/07/2016 21:57

It was ridiculous in our office. Public sector doesn't stretch to air con, I felt sick and have comet bed with a headache.

No sign of a storm as yet although we could do with one

MrSlant · 19/07/2016 21:58

Had an amazing moment down the beach earlier, when we were down there initially there was a strong offshore breeze (W Wales coast) VERY warm wind then at about 7.30pm it just switched, onshore breeze, not as strong but cool. Standing on the shore it was literally a second to second change. Very thankful as it's taken a lot of the muggy out of the air although we are a touch in land so my bedroom is still warmer than I'd like.

Really want a giant thunder storm though.

SummerSazz · 19/07/2016 22:05

We had really string breeze.to nothing earlier too (Glos). When I came out of work at 3 the inside temp of my car was saying 56 degrees 😁

Lorelei76 · 19/07/2016 22:06

Looks like no storms due in London but hopefully much cooler Thursday. No air con in office, flat, commute...wish we were due a storm.

Original poster
OhYouBadBadKitten · 19/07/2016 22:26

MrSlant, that sounds amazing!

reminder of lightning map
alternative
world wide

OP posts:
MrSlant · 19/07/2016 22:45

Actually it was very useful OYBBK, it was getting late and we didn't know how to get the children out of the water but I said to my friend 'can you feel the change' and she stood still for a second and then clapped her hands and went 'right you lot, out you get, summers over' Grin. The water was like a bathtub so a slight chill breeze was just what was needed. It was fascinating though, I'm a sailor so wind moving over the water is something I constantly keep an eye on and it was almost like you could see and feel the change coming, safer on the shore than on a sail boat when it changes that fast!

GloriaSmud · 20/07/2016 03:34

Thunderstorm started about 15mins ago. Lots of lightning (looks amazing over Snowdonia) but not much rain/thunder atm.

GloriaSmud · 20/07/2016 03:52

Wow - proper electrical storm going on! No thunder or rain, almost continuous flashes of sheet lightning, this time from Irish sea direction.

GloriaSmud · 20/07/2016 04:14

Apart from the odd flash of lightning, everything seems to have calmed down for the moment. According to raintoday, think there might be more coming our way but it'll be a little while before it arrives.

GloriaSmud · 20/07/2016 04:58

Sounds like 'storm part2' is starting!

notsomanky · 20/07/2016 06:46

Nothing here at all!

Woke this morning to blue skies, after a peaceful if sweaty night.

There are clouds building on the horizon now, but no sign of storms yet.

AnyFucker · 20/07/2016 06:48

Nothing here except the stickiest night I can remember for a long time. Am like a zombie this morning.

lookbeforeyouleap · 20/07/2016 06:49

Crazy storm around 4am with lots of thunder and lightning. Not seen one like that for years.

Hopelass · 20/07/2016 07:37

Rumbling here in Bolton. No rain and cooler but still warm. Ooh it's getting louder!

Original poster
OhYouBadBadKitten · 20/07/2016 08:03

It still looks very active on the Lightning map. Impressive!!!

OP posts:
notsomanky · 20/07/2016 08:59

I got caught in a light shower on television way to work but it stopped and has brightened up again! Looking at the maps the storms have passed north of us.Sad

notsomanky · 20/07/2016 09:03

Television Hmm

That's what happens when I use my phone to post!

It's glorious here again now.

GloriaSmud · 20/07/2016 09:05

Netweather's lightning detector has recorded 25,000+ lightning strikes already today!
We've had several rumbling around/then overhead storms since 5am, with the power going off at one point. According to raintoday, there's another line of rain heading our way and the metoffice says we've got another couple of hours of storms before they die down.

Original poster
OhYouBadBadKitten · 20/07/2016 09:08

all we have is grey cloud and a breeze!

OP posts:
Original poster
OhYouBadBadKitten · 20/07/2016 09:09

sorry manky!

OP posts:
Mycraneisfixed · 20/07/2016 09:11

Sunny in Cardiff but nice breezeSmile

Original poster
OhYouBadBadKitten · 20/07/2016 09:23

they seem to be spreading east - could get quite nasty along the NE for a while, as far south as East Yorkshire and perhaps northern Lincolnshire I think.

OP posts:
TheGirlOnTheLanding · 20/07/2016 09:27

Spectacular storms for the last half hour or so here (SE Scotland near coast) but rumblings are rolling away now. Still chucking it down.

planeymcplaneface · 20/07/2016 09:28

What a belter of a storm that was to watch!