is there any way of telling what the weather will be like at the end of the month?

[domesticsluttery]

We are going on holiday to Nottinghamshire on August 22nd for a week.

A lot of my summer wardrobe is looking a bit tatty lived in, so I am trying to work out whether I need to buy anything extra before I go.

Obviously if there is likely to be a heatwave I will need more summer clothes, but if it is going to stay like it is at the moment (temperatures under 20) then I will be fine.

I have found a 10 day weather forecast, but that is the longest. Is there anywhere where I can see a rough forecast for slightly further ahead than that?

bookmarking - back in am :)

Monthly outlook on the BBC weather page. Or the metcheck website. But I have to say I haven't found either of them to be particularly accurate.

Since it will still be part of the kids summer holidays I can guarantee it will be shit - as it has been so far (or maybe that's just here in Cumbria?!)

I really does seem to be the case that any forecast beyond about 3 days from now is prone to great innaccuracy. Before we went to Devon at the end of July it was forecast to be blazing hot - it rained 3 days out of 7 and the mercury really did not climb much over 21 degrees centigrade even on the dry days.

Last week I went to Dorset expecting a sunny week average 24 degrees - it was largely overcast and more like 19 degrees.

Sod the weather forecast - why not buy some new summer clothes any way? - you should be able to pick up some end of season clearance bargains which will do for next summer if not this one!

Ok, have had a quick look at gfs on wetterzentrale which is the longest range forecast I can look at. It goes up to sat 28th.

Of course long term forecast are notoriously unreliable as hmc says. It only takes a small change in conditions to give very different results. However, I cannot see any signs that the weather is going to change pattern really.

Sat 28th looks pretty similar to now really. Best in the south east, pleasantish (late teens, lwer twenties) temps but damp for a good part of the uk, particularly further north. (it also shows an interesting storm way out over the atlantic...)

Thank you

I realise that anything that long range won't be exactly accurate, but I just want an idea of whether we'll need bikinis or wellies

you are welcome :) more wellyish I'd have thought (though bikinis and wellies would be very glasto!)

Slaughter a chicken, spread its entrails on the ground, dance around them three times anti-clockwise wearing only a tiara and your highest set of heels, and then guess.

It will be as reliable as any of the other options...

Or I shall predict for you: sunny spells and showers. I stand a good chance of being right, and a chicken has not had to die to bring you this forecast.

Its School holidays
Its August
There's a Bank Holiday
You've booked to go on holiday

It all adds up to rain I'm afraid