How many children get 4+ in GCSE English who didn't get ARE for writing in Y6

[SquashedFlyBiscuits]

Bit of a long title but does anyone have any data (or suggestions of where I might find some) on what percentage of children who fail to reach ARE in writing in Y6 manage to go on to get a 4 or above in GCSE English. I am sure I saw this discussed somewhere on mumsnet ages ago. Please help!

You want the KS2 to KS4 transition matrices linked near the bottom here: www.gov.uk/government/publications/ready-reckoners-and-transition-matrices-for-key-stage-4

Rough calculation, about 31% who got below 4b went on to get 4+ at GCSE.

Thank you much @noblegiraffe, much appreciated.

Just to add here, due to the pandemic preventing the first cohort on the WT/ARE/GD SAT system sitting their GCSE exams, there's no data for the new assessment structure, only the old one. You'll need to keep in mind that the old "4b" and the new "ARE" are not equal at all.

They could do that same report with the cohort that have just sat their GCSE exams though and get a clearer picture. However, that might change again once the things put in place to support last year's GCSE year are removed.