Anyone else struggling with grading?

[CuckooCuckooClock]

I’m feeling totally overwhelmed with the stress of giving predicted grades to my year 11s.
We have been told today that we are not allowed to predict more than 2 grades higher than the most recent mock without evidence.
I feel a bit sick thinking about bright kids who didn’t take the mocks seriously so did terribly. Now I’m going to be giving 2s and 3s to kids who would have achieved 5s and 6s.
I know they can resit in the autumn and that the usual system is unfair too but I feel the weight of the responsibility. And I don’t like it.
How’s everyone else coping?

Do you think any teach would be "brave" enough to give a student a grade that made them fail to achieve their Oxbridge offer? Will there be pressure on teachers to upgrade these candidates at the expense of others? I know they shouldn't but ….

Obviously this is less vital to Cambridge offer holders as Cambridge has said they will make the same offer for 2021 to allow candidates to sit the exam in the autumn exams should they miss grades.

To be honest, I don't know what many of my students' offers are. I guess if I had someone Oxbridge bound I'd assume A stars . I think that's a pressure whether it is Oxbridge or Oxford Brookes tbh . Every child's future matters, she says somewhat piously...

The girl I am most worried about needs BCC for the local uni .I am sure they will let her in, bums on seats etc. but notwithstanding I cannot hand on heart predict her that B. It breaks my heart.

Bright kids often go up 2 or 3 grades. Dd's school mark 10% harder for mocks as an incentive to start with. The pupils start to take it seriously! I teach primary these days but my dc4 is Y11. I don't envy you this task. Have moderated GCSEs in the past and even that causes disagreements among markers!

Thanks Dragon and Cuckoo

I'll just keep my fingers crossed.

(while sitting on my hands to stop myself emailing all his teachers with an 11th hour plea! 🤣)