I read an interesting new theory today regarding the genetics of autism. It postulates a very simple model that would largely explain the complex discordance numbers associated with ASDs. If I can summarize correctly:
Sporadically, an egg or sperm cell will include ONE of a large number of simple, SPORADIC mutations that cause autism. (These, according to the model, represent the vast majority of autism cases.) A child with the mutation will often (particularly males) but not always manifest symptoms of autism. In either case, he/she will pass on the same mutation to half of his/her own sperm or egg cells.
It's written up here:
www.pnas.org/cgi/content/full/104/31/12831
I read about it here:
photoninthedarkness.blogspot.com