A few thoughts:-
I'm of the firm belief that what we currently describe as "autistic spectrum" is actually up 20 seperate disorders that as yet we do not have the knowledge to required to make differential diagnoses for yet alone ascribe causal factors. The spectrum is just too HUGE in it's range of manifestations & presentations for me to think otherwise. Neurology is a science still toddling along in infancy, and collectively mankind does yet know what he doesn't know in this area.
A few potential causes?
In the recent past a lot of the higher functioning kids just ended up as teen suicides, social misfits, or went through the borstal/prison system without their being any recognition of their neurological differences - let alone any help available.
Sensory issues constitute a huge part of the daily problems for more children than is commonly acknowledged. My own son would have done just fine I suspect in a quite, plainly decorated one room village school house with a maximum of 30 pupils like that his Gran attended in primary. Clear instructions, routine, rote learning and an individual sloping desk would all have suited him just fine - especially with a teacher free from regulatory constraints to adapt her teaching to his learning style rather than that of the latest political diktat.
Im convinced by the link between brain and gut - be that diet or infection or allergy related. If drinking alcohol in pregnancy affects the brain why shouldn't some other aspects of nutrition? It's been proven that an apple grown 50 years ago had a FAR higher vitamin content than one grown today. It's also generally accepted fact that omega 3 supplementation helps ALL children's brain development. We just don't have the detailed answers to the questions raised by this topic just yet, and the little we do know is bogged down by political and money making factions all too often before any firm research conclusions can be drawn.
The twin thing - I'm immediately drawn to the idea of one twin perhaps not getting quite enough nutrition in the womb. Not of a degree serious enough to show up on growth scans etc, but enough to cause some degree of harm to one child. It's acknowledged that twin and multiple births are higher risks for more obvious disabilities than single ones and theres a lot of research out there in relation to twin:twin syndrome in relation to these.
More low birth weight, IVF & premature children are surviving - again not all the disabilities that result from this are the "obvious" ones.
Father's being older is being recognised as a risk factor for a variety of neurodisabilities from schizophrenia to autism. Nothing was ever the mans fault back in the 1970's - male issues in disability weren't even considered.
For some its genetic. Women choose their partners in a way that often wasn't possible even 50 years ago for many. Sadly sometime we unknowingly pick those with AS/ASD traits according to the old adage "birds of a feather".
We don't know what impact incidents such as Chernobyl have had, much less the myriad of pollutants & gmo in our foodstuffs and environment. It will be heartbreaking if we discover at a later date that the flouridation of municple water supplies contributed to the increase for example, as this was done in good faith in order to improve public health. Increased travel has brought with it increased exposure to a variety of pathogens + the vaccine debate continues to rage.
In evolutionary terms is it REALLY such an issue?
I'm often slightly shocked nowadays by the prevalence & promotion of "group think" even amongst the most highly educated. Not every single situtation in life is best solved by consensus and committee - a successful society needs it's original thinkers if it is not eventually to decay through inertia.
I honestly think that in order for mankind to scale the heights of evolution, discovery and civilisation DIFFERENT brain types were a necessary part of that whole process & that we've forgotten that in our wholesale move towards urban living and industrialisation of the last century or two.
A small historical village would have celebrated neurological difference as it would have increased the strength of the group in a purely survival sense. To thrive the group would have needed the bold risk taking warrior (adhd), the mechanical fixer (AS), the walking encylopedia of medical herbal knowledge (ASD?), the diplomat (NT), the creative (dyslexia?), the spritual seer (schizophrenic traits), the weather forecaster (SPD) etc, etc .
Now we are all too keen to hammer down any nails that stick out. perhaps forgetting that we owe our very existence to those whose thought patterns differ from the norm. We also forget that we may at some point in the future need these individuals in order to ensure our survival as a species against the impact of some as yet unknown disaster.