The general ability of students is similar year to year.
Exam results need to be meaningful and allow comparisons between candidates who took exams years apart so employers can use them. In order to stop grade inflation which means it becomes impossible to compare grades year to year, the rough figures getting different grades does need to be very similar. There is a slight adjustment process to allow for some year cohorts being marginally stronger or weaker than usual ….but this will be very marginal as we are talking hundreds of thousands of students who have pretty similar spread of abilities each year.
Different grades can be useful for students in different ways - and often they are looking to get through different doors. The 4 in Maths won’t allow that student to do A Level Maths, but along with similar grades in other subjects too, will provide access to Btecs and maybe then to some unis. That 4 in maths, alongside some 6s in other subjects will let them access non-maths subjects at Alevel. Their 4 at GCSE will meet the minimum criteria for lots of degrees but probably not thii of we like Business with mathematical content, where A Level Margs might not be needed but a 7 at GCSE maths might be needed. The 4 in Maths will open the door to some apprenticeships and mean competence is evidenced.
For those who don’t get 4 in Eng and Maths, well in one level they simply haven’t reached the standard. If students became more able, boundaries would be shifted so more got 4s…..but basic ability over a full cohort just doesn’t change that much year to year.
For some things, having that minimum 4 or 5 probably is a sensible benchmark. But as others have said, the closed doors that a 3 or below can result in, means alternative, recognised qualifications are needed to show competence for those who are competent but just not good at the GCSE specification.
THISE who didn’t get the 4 shouldn’t automatically be re/taking GCSE - we know most don’t get the 4 again and again. A better, functional maths or English exam which shows basic skills in these subjects and proves competence would be better. It might not open the door to A Levels in those subjects or all degrees, but it could open the door to lots of jobs that actually don’t need lots of academic qualifications, or further training.
Of course there will always be some who can’t achieve that qualification either. The reality is that there are school leavers who are not fu tonality literate or numerate. To pretend they are or give qualifications to say they are when they’re not doesn’t help anyone really. But then there also needs to be more thought about what those young adults will do next.
I actually think the system which is set so exam grades mean the same thing year to year, to stop grade inflation is right. But it’s also the case trr if at there needs to be better provision of access to a recognised qualification to evidence competence in English and numeracy for those who are competent or can become so, for whom GCSE doesn’t work.