... which gives conditional offers based on predicted grades, then it's worth being aware of this decision by the Schools Adjudicator for Twyford CE School: www.gov.uk/government/publications/twyford-church-of-england-high-school-15-july-2022
It is long and complex, but important. Two of the main points seem to be:
- Use of predicted grades to filter out applicants is unfair because they are subjective.
- If places are allocated to applicants who received conditional offers ahead of those don't (but who nevertheless get the appropriate grades) then this is acting as an oversubscription criterion and needs to be made clear.
A quote re. point 1:
"I have also considered the position of those students who meet the entry requirements but who are nevertheless accorded lower priority in relation to admissions simply because they were ‘predicted’ a grade or grades lower than they achieved. I do not think that the system is fair to that group. They are just as ‘deserving’ of a place on academic grounds as pupils who achieve the same grades but who happened to have a better prediction. What distinguishes the two cases is a prediction by a third party which is a subjective rather than objective matter."
A lot of schools will be wide open to appeal on this!