Admission: it is the neighbouring LA that has mentioned alternative schools. Most children in the school come from this LA and not the LA that funds the school and is consulting.
For the record this school has 509 pupils in it. The County Council has severe budget problems and is educating children from another LA in fairly large numbers in this school. It seems unlikely they would want to continue to put money into this outpost of another LA.
Again, please do not think GCSE results count for much in these circumstances. Ofsted are crystal clear that it is lack of progress that is the huge issue. If the school assessed the progress of children accurately, exam results could be predicted to a fairly good degree. The school should know what the results are likely to be. I bet Ofsted do!
Having read the report it is poor progress, lack of accurate assessment of pupils' progress, poor teaching in English, maths and sciences in particular, Governors who haven't got a clue because the info they are given is duff and unsavoury language allowed in class because poor behaviour is not tackled. There is more.
Where is a new dynamic leadership team coming from? They cannot get good teachers as it is. There are other schools in nearby towns, one in the LA and one in the neighbouring LA. They are already working with another school for maths leadership and teaching. The report specifically says SEN children are bullied and that boys do less well than girls. It is also critical of the school for not realising children are under-achieving and has done nothing about it.
Parents are clearly in denial regarding the problems here and the size of the school must make it uneconomic. Why would parents want such a mediocre school? There will be great upheavals if it closes and other schools will be affected as they have already noted, but keeping this school open just seems heart over head!