how accurate are ppredicted grades/results from mocks?

[5madthings]

Ds1 is in yr 10 and oobviously has predicted grades and has also been doing mock gcse's. He is doing very well and his teachers are all very pleased with his work and his predicted ggrades and results from his mocks are all very ggood.

He is bright and works hard so is capable of ggetting good grades, I just wondered if the predicted ggrades and mocks are an accurate reflection of how well he should do next year?

I am also slightly concerned that having ssuch good predicted grades is a lot of pressure (tho ds1 seems unbothered).

Can any teachers of parents who have been through it say if they think predicted grades and mock results are an accurate reflection?

Bump :)

I'm interested too, as I think my DD's predictions seem optimistic, but I will be happy to be proved wrong .

You could ask your school what % of predictions are met versus missed or exceeded? I guess different schools might have different policies (e.g. realistic, versus something to aim for, versus safe).

I hope they are realistic, as DD is using predictions to think about 6th form options.

They have been given an 'expected' grade which was ddependent on SATS etc, only ds1 didn't do the sats which made that more complicated. And then a predicted grade from the teacher based on where they are at now, their work etc1 and the results of mocks.

I am not overly surprised at ds1's as he is bright, in top sets and always does well, i do feel it is a lot of pressure but he isn't bothered.

And his teachers at parents eve were very confident he will do well and meet his targets.

But I am just wary of expecting too much etc? I have just told him to work hard and try his best. We are lucky that he is disciplined and does his work and wants to do well. Unlike ds2 who is also very bright but not disciplined at all

Oh ours were given aspirational targets ie if they worked really hard, as well as the expected/predicted targets. Only as ds1's expected and predicted grades are all a/a* there was no aspirational target iyswim.

It's impossible to accurately predict the future. It's very difficult to give accurate predictions in an exam system where thanks to Gove the rules are changing every year.

Good predicted grades across the board are encouraging, but they aren't a promise.

Or rather his aspirational targets are the same as his predicted/expected grades.

@noble yes thats my concern.

Well he is working hard and is motivated which ishall I can ask for :)

It is worrying having children in an education system which seems to be controlled by the whims of Gove. Ds2 is ur7 so it will all be different for him anyway.

To be honest, we just ignored all predictions at GCSE and AS

As long as my kids were working hard, then they were achieving regardless of what the outcome is.

If they want to go to uni, A2 predictions are important, but in my experience it was university offers that was the real issue.